12 March, 2026

Global oil prices have rose again on today after three more cargo vessels were hit in the Gulf. Brent crude rose by over 9% in Asian trading to over $100 a barrel, now trading at around $97.50.

This came despite the International Energy Agency (IEA) saying on Wednesday that it will release a record 400 million barrels of oil in an attempt to curb the economic impact of the US-Israel war with Iran. The Strait of Hormuz, a key waterway for energy shipments, remains effectively closed over concerns that they could be prone to further attacks.

Across Markets…

The Australian sharemarket erased $40 billion in value on Thursday as oil prices rallied back above $US100 a barrel after an attack on two tankers in Iraqi waters, and Oman evacuated vessels from its key export terminal.

The S&P/ASX 200 Index dropped 114.50 points, or 1.3 per cent, to 8629, with energy the sole sector to climb amid renewed fears about the oil price from the escalating Iran war.

Brent crude surged by 9.7 per cent to $US100.86 per barrel as Iraq stopped operations at its oil ports after two tankers were targeted, and Bloomberg reported that Oman had shifted ships away from the port of Mina Al Fahal as a precaution.

Wilson Asset Management portfolio strategist Damien Boey warned that the latest turmoil could escalate into a much larger economic shock.

“Attacks on neighbouring Gulf countries, destroying their oil infrastructure or attacking their oil infrastructure, that’s not sending exactly the right messages to markets,” Boey said. “Because of higher uncertainty, higher oil prices, and tightening financial conditions, we could see world growth momentum stall.”

On the ASX, energy stocks rallied. Woodside Energy climbed 2.1 per cent to $31.05, Karoon Energy 4.8 per cent to $1.98, and Ampol 2.9 per cent to $30.27.

Yancoal jumped 10.5 per cent to $7.71 – a 52-week high, and Whitehaven Coal gained 6.7 per cent to $9.29 as coal prices continued to rise amid the oil chaos in the Middle East and as UBS upgraded its forecasts.

Elsewhere, the prospect of an interest rate rise in Australia next week weighed on the rest of the bourse. ANZ, Commonwealth Bank and Morgan Stanley are the latest banks to bring forward their rate increase expectations to this month.

The rate-sensitive technology sector tumbled with Xero dropping 4.1 per cent to $78.48 and WiseTech 2.6 per cent to $47.96. Real estate stocks were heavily sold as Goodman Group fell 3.3 per cent to $26.18 and Scentre 1.4 per cent to $3.49.

The risk-off sentiment hit the materials sector with BHP down 1.9 per cent to $50.98, Newmont 2.9 per cent to $160.95 and Rio Tinto 1.4 per cent to $153.09. Banks were also sold off, with ANZ falling 2.5 per cent to $37.02 and National Australia Bank 2 per cent to $46.40.

Source: AFR

Pic of the day

Local Equity News

Aguia Resources Targets May Production After Securing Key Concession for Tres Estradas Phosphate Project

  • Tres Estradas mining concession secured, accelerating path to phosphate production.

  • Colombian gold operations show record production and improving recoveries.

  • Dual-asset progress with production targets and ongoing exploration growth.

Aguia Resources (ASX: AGR) has achieved a significant milestone with the National Mining Agency of Brazil (ANM) granting its Tres Estradas mining concession, paving the way for an operational license and a targeted production start-up by early May 2026.

This pivotal announcement is complemented by ongoing positive operational developments at its Colombian gold project.

The operational license is anticipated within 4-6 weeks of the concession approval, moving the project closer to production.

The mine site has been ready since 24 December 2025, with environmental requirements for the operational license completed on 22 January 2026.

Phosphate Production Pathway

The processing plant for Tres Estradas is scheduled for commissioning by end-April 2026, specifically targeting 30 April 2026.

Production start-up is then targeted for 4 May 2026, setting a clear timeline for the project.

Installation of the weighbridge platform has been completed.

Minor delays related to the weighbridge and ROM storage extension have been noted, but the project remains on track for April commissioning.

Aguia’s Pampafos product was officially launched on 11 March 2026 at EXPODIRETO, introducing the product to the market ahead of full-scale production.

Company materials from February 2026 indicate that Pampafos is priced at AUD 220/tonne for a 12% P2O5 product, highlighting its market positioning.

Colombian Gold Operations Improving

At the Santa Barbara Gold Project in Colombia, Aguia reported strong operational performance.

February gold production reached a record approximately 470 grams at an average grade of 4 g/t Au.

Metallurgical optimisation has led to batch recoveries consistently above 85%.

The Merrill-Crowe precipitation system, which became fully operational in early March 2026, is expected to boost gold recovery by an additional 5%.

Exploration and Resource Growth

Exploration at the Passo Feio project continues to show promising results, with auger P2O5 assays returning up to 18.49% (averaging 5.03%).

A mineral resource estimate for Passo Feio is expected by mid-2026.

The Tres Estradas Measured & Indicated resource stands at 83 Mt at 4.11% P2O5.

The proximity of Passo Feio to the processing plant has the potential to reduce logistics costs by more than 60%, supporting future growth opportunities.​​​​​​​

Source: SmallCaps​​​​​​​

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