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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 14 JANUARY: | ASX to edge up | Here’s what ASX stockspert Bhavdip143 likes so much about the $35m Chimeric IPO |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 13 JANUARY: | ASX snaps loosing streak | China stocks mixed on profit-taking; consumer, healthcare down | BPH Energy’s investee Advent closer to drilling Baleen gas target, carbon capture and storage research |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 13 JANUARY: | ASX to slide, Wall St mixed | Felix becomes 2021’s first ASX tech IPO; shares edge upwards |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 12 JANUARY: | ASX falls 0.3pc | iCandy Interactive offers sneak peek into first of four new mobile games | China stocks rebound, Hong Kong hovers near 1-year high |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 12 JANUARY: | ASX to edge up, Wall St retreats | Airbnb breaks into top 10 US stocks for Australian investors |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 11 JANUARY: | ASX dips | Digital Wine Ventures dominates McLaren Vale wine region as orders surge over holiday season | China stocks slip on Sino-U.S. tensions |

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 15 JANUARY: | ASX down 0.6pc over the week | Lithium sector springs back to life amid acquisition deals and price rises | China stocks fall as consumer, liquor firms retreat |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 15 JANUARY: | ASX to rise | Wall St lifts on Biden stimulus |The potential life-changers on Tolga Kumova’s radar in 2021 |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 14 JANUARY: | ASX gains 0.4pc | Consumer firms drag China shares lower; Alibaba, Tencent boost Hong Kong | Azure Minerals starts accelerated exploration and resource drilling program at Andover |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 14 JANUARY: | ASX to edge up | Here’s what ASX stockspert Bhavdip143 likes so much about the $35m Chimeric IPO |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 13 JANUARY: | ASX snaps loosing streak | China stocks mixed on profit-taking; consumer, healthcare down | BPH Energy’s investee Advent closer to drilling Baleen gas target, carbon capture and storage research |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 13 JANUARY: | ASX to slide, Wall St mixed | Felix becomes 2021’s first ASX tech IPO; shares edge upwards |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 12 JANUARY: | ASX falls 0.3pc | iCandy Interactive offers sneak peek into first of four new mobile games | China stocks rebound, Hong Kong hovers near 1-year high |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 12 JANUARY: | ASX to edge up, Wall St retreats | Airbnb breaks into top 10 US stocks for Australian investors |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

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  • Charts

    The Cotton Row Journal, week of 11-15 Jan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

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    GMTT – chart of the day – Coffee – Jan 15, 2021

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 15 JANUARY: | ASX down 0.6pc over the week | Lithium sector springs back to life amid acquisition deals and price rises | China stocks fall as consumer, liquor firms retreat |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 15 JANUARY: | ASX to rise | Wall St lifts on Biden stimulus |The potential life-changers on Tolga Kumova’s radar in 2021 |

    The Cotton Row Journal, week of 11-15 Jan

    Jason Sen: Emini S&P Nasdaq Emini Dow Jones

    Jason Sen: Dax FTSE EuroStoxx

    Jason Sen: FX

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    OP: Be the Tortoise

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    Danny’s Top Links – January 14, 2021

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    NYSE Holidays 2020 Stock Market Schedule

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    GMTT / Chart of the day / Apple / Oct 27, 2020

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    NASDOG.com: Corn, What Changed Today?

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    NASDOG.com: Stocks Getting Serious; Quick Word on Beans

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Home Futures Softs

A Mile Wide Miss

Varner Brothers by Varner Brothers
Wednesday, August 7, 2013
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A Mile Wide Miss
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texasLast year’s state yield in Texas was 623 #/a, and this year we are calling it 670 #/a.  Abandonment was 41.2% a year ago, and this year we have it at 38.2%.  These figures are not arrived at using just the state crop indexes, but are the compilation of all 16 districts, each broken down by dry and irrigated status.  Production for Texas this year is pegged at 4.85 Mb, much above several other estimates we have heard at 4.0 Mb down to 3.5 Mb.  Table shows our figures for each district’s abandonment.  1-N and 1-S figures are crucial to getting the production right.

What bothers us about Texas is that we have heard of no other estimates as high as ours, and this makes for some uncomfortable musings.  Whenever an estimate is released to the public, it does bring a little pressure to get it right.  As for the overall US estimate, our last figure was 14.2 Mb, and the one cranked out today is flat 14.0 Mb.  The 200kb were lost in TX, NC and GA.  Other states inched up, as there could be some new yield records in AR, CA, and AL.

Varner View

There was the 13nth rumor of the summer about China possibly selling off some reserve stocks, but the market has heard this so much it does not respond.  Technicians seem to be very larded up on the bull breakout idea, with Dec rising well into the 90s.  A push above 8600 would turn on all of the “trend following” folks.  And a drop below 8400 would bust up the bull party.  We favor the downside breakout, but understand that a row crop with a small carryout can pretty much do whatever it wants before harvest kicks in.  One more thing – exports are the number that no one wants to discuss.  It’s a very difficult issue for poor cotton traders to get their arms around.

Technicals

The high of the week is right at trend line resistance.  Dec did not take out the high or low of the first half of July in the 2nd half, so the market did not tip its hand either way.  A seasonal low is due in mid Aug, average date 11 Aug.

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