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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 7 December: ASX to fall | Dow +0.04% S&P -0.1% Nasdaq -0.2% | US oil was 4.1 per cent lower |

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 5 December: Shares chartered their worst one-day decline in more than a month | Reserve Bank of Australia’s decision to leave rates at 4.35 per cent |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 4 December: Shares rally as gold hits all-time high, Bitcoin above US$40k for first time this year | ADX Energy extends collaboration with MND through farm-out of gas exploration prospects in Upper Austria |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

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    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 7 December: ASX to fall | Dow +0.04% S&P -0.1% Nasdaq -0.2% | US oil was 4.1 per cent lower |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 6 December: ASX up almost 2pc as iron ore, lithium miners jump; Evolution Mining down 14pc | Phase 3 extension on the cards as Latin’s Salinas resource vaults 56pc |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 5 December: Shares chartered their worst one-day decline in more than a month | Reserve Bank of Australia’s decision to leave rates at 4.35 per cent |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 5 December: ASX to fall, Wall Street rally hits a wall | Hillgrove’s ‘rotainers’ have arrived at Port Adelaide | 30 years ago, a disruptive tech devastated copper prices. It could be about to happen again |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 4 December: Shares rally as gold hits all-time high, Bitcoin above US$40k for first time this year | ADX Energy extends collaboration with MND through farm-out of gas exploration prospects in Upper Austria |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 4 December: ASX to jump higher | S&P/ASX 200 futures were tipping a 65-point, or 0.9 per cent jump | Gold: US$2,071.25 (+1.68%) |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 1 December: A Friday fizzer for Aussie markets as energy and tech stocks drag | Mitre Mining acquires transformational Chilean silver-gold project |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 1 December: ASX to open lower | Dow +1% S&P -0.1% Nasdaq -0.7% | Spot gold -0.5% to $US2034 |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 30 November: ASX climbs again as IRESS jumps 16pc | Cettire down 10pc as big shareholder dumps stock | Boss Energy captures trace uranium from start-up wells at Honeymoon project |

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 7 December: ASX to fall | Dow +0.04% S&P -0.1% Nasdaq -0.2% | US oil was 4.1 per cent lower |

    Daily Game Plan

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 6 December: ASX up almost 2pc as iron ore, lithium miners jump; Evolution Mining down 14pc | Phase 3 extension on the cards as Latin’s Salinas resource vaults 56pc |

    Daily Game Plan

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 5 December: Shares chartered their worst one-day decline in more than a month | Reserve Bank of Australia’s decision to leave rates at 4.35 per cent |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 5 December: ASX to fall, Wall Street rally hits a wall | Hillgrove’s ‘rotainers’ have arrived at Port Adelaide | 30 years ago, a disruptive tech devastated copper prices. It could be about to happen again |

    Daily Game Plan

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 4 December: Shares rally as gold hits all-time high, Bitcoin above US$40k for first time this year | ADX Energy extends collaboration with MND through farm-out of gas exploration prospects in Upper Austria |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 4 December: ASX to jump higher | S&P/ASX 200 futures were tipping a 65-point, or 0.9 per cent jump | Gold: US$2,071.25 (+1.68%) |

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    Do We Have a “Good” Low or Is This a Setup?

    Do We Have a “Good” Low or Is This a Setup?

    August Opex: Will Things Get Ugly?

    Are We Setting Up for an Opex Bounce?

    S&P Sits at Key Support as Trends Turn Bearish

    Correction Continues As Recent Lows Are on Watch

    Bulls Are Looking for a Bounce After Slow Start to August

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Any Fourth Quarter Rally Could Be Underwhelming

Stock Trader's Almanac by Stock Trader's Almanac
September 13, 2018
in Charts, Commentary, News, Stocks, Technical Analysis
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Any Fourth Quarter Rally Could Be Underwhelming
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As of today’s close DJIA is up 5.1% year-to-date, S&P 500 is up 8.0% and NASDAQ is up a solid 15.5%. All three indexes are just a few percentage points below their respective all-time highs. S&P 500 and NASDAQ were at their highs in August while DJIA still has not cleared its January high. Nonetheless, DJIA, S&P 500 and NASDAQ are all well above historical average levels for this time of the year compared to past midterm years. S&P 500 and NASDAQ are also well above respective averages in all years.

Comparing “All Years” (solid red line) to “All Midterm” years (solid black line) in the charts above there is a well pronounced fourth quarter rally in both whether the index was positive for the year or not. The rally is present in “Midterm” years beginning right around the start of October and begins slightly later in October in “All” years. However, the magnitude of past fourth quarter rallies in “Midterm” years is notably greater across all three indexes than in “All” years. This pattern would seem to suggest that this year’s solid, above average midterm year gains could lead to a less than spectacular fourth quarter rally.


Read the full article at AlmanacTrader.com


As always, please use protective buy and sell stops when trading futures and options.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. Any decision to purchase or sell as a result of the opinions expressed in the forum will be the full responsibility of the person(s) authorizing such transaction(s). BE ADVISED TO ALWAYS USE PROTECTIVE STOP LOSSES AND ALLOW FOR SLIPPAGE TO MANAGE YOUR TRADE(S) AS AN INVESTOR COULD LOSE ALL OR MORE THAN THEIR INITIAL INVESTMENT. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.

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