Quotes by TradingView
Tuesday, February 7, 2023
Premium: TradeChat
No Result
View All Result
MrTopStep
  • News
    • All
    • Reuters Business
    CME Loses Key Battle in Potentially Costly Trader Lawsuit

    CME Loses Key Battle in Potentially Costly Trader Lawsuit

    24X5 Options Trading Begins Sunday, November 21

    ICE Notice

    ICE: Margin Rates Update for ICE Futures U.S. Oil Contracts

    ICE: Margin Rates Update for ICE Futures U.S. Gas Contracts

    CME Group Globex Labor Day Holiday Schedule

    Margin Rates Update for ICE Futures U.S. Power Contracts

    AP: US COVID-19 cases rising again, doubling over three weeks

    CME Group – US Independence Day Holiday Schedule: July 2-6, 2021

  • Products
    • Chatroom Login
    • Wyckoff Trader
    • MIM
    • Polaris Trading Group
    • IM Pro Trading Chat Room
  • Stocks
    • All
    • Apple
    • Dow Jones
    • Earnings
    • Facebook (FB)
    • Goldman Sachs (GS)
    • IPO
    • M&A
    • Markets
    • Mining
    • Nasdaq
    • NYSE
    • Russell 2000
    • S&P 500
    • Twitter (TWTR:NYSE)
    • VIX
    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 7 February: ASX sheds 0.5pc | CBA lifts cash rate forecast to 3.85pc; ARB dives | Australia’s rental market is as tough as it has ever been |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 07 FEBRUARY: US stocks extend losses | RBA poised to lift rates by 0.25pc | Will Newmont’s $24 billion Newcrest bid cause a gold takeover cascade? |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 6 February: ASX drops 0.25pc | UBS remains dovish on RBA | Gascoyne Resources releases exploration target |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 06 FEBRUARY: ASX to rise as investors hang hopes on a soft landing | After a successful $4.5 million cap raise and with cancer trial results to come, Kazia is optimistic for 2023 |

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 03 FEBRUARY: ASX to rise | Alphabet, Atlassian tumble on earnings | Aura gets 30-year guarantee for Mauritania uranium project |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 31 January: ASX swings to loss | Retail sales plummet; Megaport sheds 25pc | Avecho Biotechnology progresses CBD softgel trials for insomnia treatment |

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    Trending Tags

    • FEEDID-6
    • FEEDID-51
    • FEEDID-44
    • FEEDID-31
    • FEEDID-21
    • FEEDID-16
    • FEEDID-36
    • FEEDID-10
    • feedid-56
    • feedid-58
    • feedid-61
    • feedid-59
    • feedid-60
    • feedid-62
    • feedid-63
    • feedid-65
    • feedid-66
  • Charts
    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 7 February: ASX sheds 0.5pc | CBA lifts cash rate forecast to 3.85pc; ARB dives | Australia’s rental market is as tough as it has ever been |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 07 FEBRUARY: US stocks extend losses | RBA poised to lift rates by 0.25pc | Will Newmont’s $24 billion Newcrest bid cause a gold takeover cascade? |

    $ up, cotton down, easy money.

    Jason Sen: Forex

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 6 February: ASX drops 0.25pc | UBS remains dovish on RBA | Gascoyne Resources releases exploration target |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 06 FEBRUARY: ASX to rise as investors hang hopes on a soft landing | After a successful $4.5 million cap raise and with cancer trial results to come, Kazia is optimistic for 2023 |

    Dollar dipsey doodle at 10150.

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 03 FEBRUARY: ASX to rise | Alphabet, Atlassian tumble on earnings | Aura gets 30-year guarantee for Mauritania uranium project |

  • Commentary
    • All
    • Market Recap
    • MrTopStep
    Danny’s View:  Do We Have A Major Turn Coming?

    Danny’s View: Do We Have A Major Turn Coming?

    Danny’s View:  Blowout Jobs Report Has S&P On Its Heels

    Danny’s View: Blowout Jobs Report Has S&P On Its Heels

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    Danny’s View:  Markets Shrug Off Fed Worries

    Danny’s View: Markets Shrug Off Fed Worries

    Danny’s View:  All About What The Fed Says (Not What It Does)

    Danny’s View: All About What The Fed Says (Not What It Does)

    Taylor 3 Day Cycle – Polaris Trading Group

    Taylor 3 Day Cycle – Polaris Trading Group

    The Washington Post – US stocks open higher, putting market on track for 3rd gain

    Danny’s View: Starting The Week With A Needed Pullback

    Danny’s View:  Bulls Are In Control For Now

    Danny’s View: Bulls Are In Control For Now

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

  • Education
    • All
    • Economics
    • Trading Methods
    • Trading Psychology
    • Trading Room
    • Trading Rules
    • Webinars
    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

    Chart of the Day: PINS Stock

    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

    Chart of the Day: Trading the S&P 500 and the S&P Futures

    Here’s Why You Need Mr. Top Step

    Here’s Why You Need Mr. Top Step

    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

    Chart of the Day: Etsy Stock Tumbles

    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

    Monthly Trading Time: The Good, The Bad and The Ugly

    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

    Chart of the Day: Can Apple Stock Hit Record Highs?

    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

    Chart of the Day: Can GOOGL Stock Stay Up?

    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

    Chart of the Day: GameStop Stock Raises Capital

    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

    Chart of the Day: Another Go at Amazon Stock

  • NYSE Holidays
  • Video
  • News
    • All
    • Reuters Business
    CME Loses Key Battle in Potentially Costly Trader Lawsuit

    CME Loses Key Battle in Potentially Costly Trader Lawsuit

    24X5 Options Trading Begins Sunday, November 21

    ICE Notice

    ICE: Margin Rates Update for ICE Futures U.S. Oil Contracts

    ICE: Margin Rates Update for ICE Futures U.S. Gas Contracts

    CME Group Globex Labor Day Holiday Schedule

    Margin Rates Update for ICE Futures U.S. Power Contracts

    AP: US COVID-19 cases rising again, doubling over three weeks

    CME Group – US Independence Day Holiday Schedule: July 2-6, 2021

  • Products
    • Chatroom Login
    • Wyckoff Trader
    • MIM
    • Polaris Trading Group
    • IM Pro Trading Chat Room
  • Stocks
    • All
    • Apple
    • Dow Jones
    • Earnings
    • Facebook (FB)
    • Goldman Sachs (GS)
    • IPO
    • M&A
    • Markets
    • Mining
    • Nasdaq
    • NYSE
    • Russell 2000
    • S&P 500
    • Twitter (TWTR:NYSE)
    • VIX
    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 7 February: ASX sheds 0.5pc | CBA lifts cash rate forecast to 3.85pc; ARB dives | Australia’s rental market is as tough as it has ever been |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 07 FEBRUARY: US stocks extend losses | RBA poised to lift rates by 0.25pc | Will Newmont’s $24 billion Newcrest bid cause a gold takeover cascade? |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 6 February: ASX drops 0.25pc | UBS remains dovish on RBA | Gascoyne Resources releases exploration target |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 06 FEBRUARY: ASX to rise as investors hang hopes on a soft landing | After a successful $4.5 million cap raise and with cancer trial results to come, Kazia is optimistic for 2023 |

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 03 FEBRUARY: ASX to rise | Alphabet, Atlassian tumble on earnings | Aura gets 30-year guarantee for Mauritania uranium project |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 31 January: ASX swings to loss | Retail sales plummet; Megaport sheds 25pc | Avecho Biotechnology progresses CBD softgel trials for insomnia treatment |

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    Trending Tags

    • FEEDID-6
    • FEEDID-51
    • FEEDID-44
    • FEEDID-31
    • FEEDID-21
    • FEEDID-16
    • FEEDID-36
    • FEEDID-10
    • feedid-56
    • feedid-58
    • feedid-61
    • feedid-59
    • feedid-60
    • feedid-62
    • feedid-63
    • feedid-65
    • feedid-66
  • Charts
    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 7 February: ASX sheds 0.5pc | CBA lifts cash rate forecast to 3.85pc; ARB dives | Australia’s rental market is as tough as it has ever been |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 07 FEBRUARY: US stocks extend losses | RBA poised to lift rates by 0.25pc | Will Newmont’s $24 billion Newcrest bid cause a gold takeover cascade? |

    $ up, cotton down, easy money.

    Jason Sen: Forex

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 6 February: ASX drops 0.25pc | UBS remains dovish on RBA | Gascoyne Resources releases exploration target |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 06 FEBRUARY: ASX to rise as investors hang hopes on a soft landing | After a successful $4.5 million cap raise and with cancer trial results to come, Kazia is optimistic for 2023 |

    Dollar dipsey doodle at 10150.

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 03 FEBRUARY: ASX to rise | Alphabet, Atlassian tumble on earnings | Aura gets 30-year guarantee for Mauritania uranium project |

  • Commentary
    • All
    • Market Recap
    • MrTopStep
    Danny’s View:  Do We Have A Major Turn Coming?

    Danny’s View: Do We Have A Major Turn Coming?

    Danny’s View:  Blowout Jobs Report Has S&P On Its Heels

    Danny’s View: Blowout Jobs Report Has S&P On Its Heels

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    Danny’s View:  Markets Shrug Off Fed Worries

    Danny’s View: Markets Shrug Off Fed Worries

    Danny’s View:  All About What The Fed Says (Not What It Does)

    Danny’s View: All About What The Fed Says (Not What It Does)

    Taylor 3 Day Cycle – Polaris Trading Group

    Taylor 3 Day Cycle – Polaris Trading Group

    The Washington Post – US stocks open higher, putting market on track for 3rd gain

    Danny’s View: Starting The Week With A Needed Pullback

    Danny’s View:  Bulls Are In Control For Now

    Danny’s View: Bulls Are In Control For Now

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

  • Education
    • All
    • Economics
    • Trading Methods
    • Trading Psychology
    • Trading Room
    • Trading Rules
    • Webinars
    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

    Chart of the Day: PINS Stock

    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

    Chart of the Day: Trading the S&P 500 and the S&P Futures

    Here’s Why You Need Mr. Top Step

    Here’s Why You Need Mr. Top Step

    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

    Chart of the Day: Etsy Stock Tumbles

    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

    Monthly Trading Time: The Good, The Bad and The Ugly

    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

    Chart of the Day: Can Apple Stock Hit Record Highs?

    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

    Chart of the Day: Can GOOGL Stock Stay Up?

    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

    Chart of the Day: GameStop Stock Raises Capital

    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

    Chart of the Day: Another Go at Amazon Stock

  • NYSE Holidays
  • Video
No Result
View All Result
MrTopStep
Home Commentary

Bloomberg: Markets

Tradechat by Tradechat
June 19, 2020
in Commentary, News
0 0
0
Bloomberg: Markets
108
SHARES
760
VIEWS
Share on FacebookShare on Twitter

Markets

Quadruple Witching Set to Add Fuel to Month of Stock Turbulence

By Lu WangJune 18, 2020, 5:10 PM EDT Updated on June 19, 2020, 7:23 AM EDT

  •  June’s trading volume poised for the second-highest on record
  •  If history is any guide, market may head lower after the event

In this article

SPXS&P 5003,115.34USD+1.85+0.06%GSGOLDMAN SACHS GP203.84USD-2.35-1.14%0249362DNOMURA SECURITIESPrivate Company

In a month where U.S. stock trading has surged and reversals ruled the market, traders are facing another layer of uncertainty on Friday.

Options and futures on indexes and equities are scheduled to expire, a quarterly event known as quadruple witching that typically spurs trading volume as large derivatives positions roll over. While spikes in volume usually occur around the open and close, providing windows of robust liquidity, large price swings can happen suddenly at any time of the day.

Quadruple witching usually coincides with a rebalancing of major indexes such as the S&P 500 and can spark some of the busiest trading days of the year. While the global market turmoil in March prompted S&P Dow Jones Indices to postpone the last rebalancing, the quadruple witching alone was enough to trigger a volume surge. More than 18 billion shares changed hands on March 20, almost double the average in the previous three months.

Bloomberg: Markets

This time, the need to adjust stock positions appears to be higher than usual. About $1.8 trillion of S&P 500 options are scheduled to expire, making it the third-largest non-December expiration on record, data compiled by Goldman Sachs Group Inc. showed. The index rebalancing could force $48 billion of trades, up from $30 billion six months ago, S&P Dow Jones estimated.

“Investors need to be prepared,” said Chris Gaffney, president of world markets at TIAA Bank. “When we see the run-up like we’ve seen and you have investors trying to protect their portfolios, protect the gains and having the uncertainty still out there, you’ve got some big options positions in the markets right now and the decisions to roll them or not on that day is what drives the volatility.”

S&P 500 futures rose 0.8% as of 7:22 a.m. in New York. The underlying index is up 2.4% since last Friday, when it capped its worst week since March.

After a relentless run that drove the S&P 500’s gain from its March trough to over 40%, the market has settled in a new range where traders have been whipsawed by hopes for a sharp economic recovery and fears over a second wave of coronavirus infections. Stocks last week posted their worst decline since the depths of the bear market. That looked set to continue Monday when shares tumbled 2.5%, but the S&P 500 staged a rebound to close higher by 0.8%.

The turbulence came with higher trading volume. Halfway into June, more than 13 billion shares have changed hands each day on average, on course for the second-busiest month since at least 2008. And that’s after the past two sessions, where volumes slumped.

While trading activity is bound to rise Friday, the impact of quadruple witching on the market’s overall direction is difficult to predict. Take S&P 500 options for instance. Despite an elevated level in open interest, Goldman Sachs found that fewer than 2 million expiring contracts are within 10% of where the underlying index trades. That’s the smallest amount in at least a decade and underscores how the velocity of the rebound left many hedges useless.

That led to what strategists including Rocky Fishman called a “light” gamma. Put another way, the value of options contracts with high sensitivity to the S&P 500’s move is very low, making the expiration less likely to drive the index’s move on Friday. Estimated at $80 billion, the gross gamma of S&P 500 options sat at the 4th percentile of its three-year range.

relates to Quadruple Witching Set to Add Fuel to Month of Stock Turbulence

“June’s options are likely to generate less market-moving equity flow than their notional size would imply,” Fishman wrote in a note to clients earlier this month.

Another way to look at the event is through the lens of options dealers, who typically need to hedge their positions by buying or selling underlying stocks. Their holdings are often scrutinized to gauge the potential impact, with “long gamma” indicating they’re pushing against the prevailing trend while “short gamma” points to a tendency to go with the trend.

To Charlie McElligott, a cross-asset strategist at Nomura Securities, the fact that the S&P 500 has been hovering around the 3,100-3,150 level in recent days suggested that the overall dealer profile remains “moderately long- to neutral-Gamma.” After the event, the gamma-related equity exposure could shrink by nearly 42%, he estimated.

If history is any guide, investors may need to get ready for a market pullback or a wider trading range, McElligott warned. Since 1994, the options expiration in June has seen stocks falling 88% of the time over the following week, with the S&P 500 sliding 1.2% on average, the firm’s data showed.

That pattern, along with some deteriorating momentum and breadth indicators, is a recipe for market weakness to Russ Visch, a technical analyst with BMO Capital Markets.

“Between the current technicals and the historical tendencies, the bias appears to be the downside for equities all the way out into next week,” said Visch. “The short-term pullback which began last week is not over yet.”

— With assistance by Vildana HajricUP NEXT

Previous Post

CNBC: 5 things to know before the stock market opens Friday

Next Post

Heisenberg Report

Related Posts

Danny’s View:  Do We Have A Major Turn Coming?
Commentary

Danny’s View: Do We Have A Major Turn Coming?

February 6, 2023
Danny’s View:  Blowout Jobs Report Has S&P On Its Heels
Commentary

Danny’s View: Blowout Jobs Report Has S&P On Its Heels

February 3, 2023
From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:
Analysis

From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

February 3, 2023
Next Post
Heisenberg Report

Heisenberg Report

Please login to join discussion

Search

No Result
View All Result

MrTopStep Live Stream

Popular Posts

  • NYSE Holidays 2020 Stock Market Schedule

    NYSE Stock Market Holidays 2022 | Stock Market Calendar

    3307 shares
    Share 1335 Tweet 822
  • Market On Close: Trend down day and the MOC capitulated but sector wise a bit bullish.

    650 shares
    Share 260 Tweet 163
  • 1920s Stock Market Chart

    545 shares
    Share 218 Tweet 136
  • Introduction to T-Theory – Magic-T

    478 shares
    Share 191 Tweet 120
  • S&P 500 projections: What the locals in the pit think

    345 shares
    Share 138 Tweet 86

The information in these Market Commentaries do not constitute a solicitation of the purchase or sale of any futures or options contracts.

Connect

Facebook Twitter Youtube

Office Hours

Monday-Friday: 7:30 AM- 4:00 PM
Order online 24/7

Ph: (207) 358-8545‬

email: info@mrtopstep.com

We Accept

© 2020 - MrTopStep All Rights Reserved.

No Result
View All Result
  • News
  • Products
    • Chatroom Login
    • Wyckoff Trader
    • MIM
    • Polaris Trading Group
    • IM Pro Trading Chat Room
  • Stocks
  • Charts
  • Commentary
  • Education
  • NYSE Holidays
  • Video

© 2020 - MrTopStep All Rights Reserved.

Welcome Back!

Login to your account below

Forgotten Password? Sign Up

Create New Account!

Fill the forms below to register

All fields are required. Log In

Retrieve your password

Please enter your username or email address to reset your password.

Log In