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    Can We Get an Options Squeeze for “Fry-Day?”

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 26 MAY: ASX drifts up, but posts weekly loss of 1.7pc | Andrew Forrest ‘unconvinced of the commercial viability’ of Sun Cable’s project | New moves driving Australia’s aim to become a global hydrogen powerhouse |

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 25 MAY: ASX to fall, Wall Street and Europe sell-off | US Treasury secretary Janet Yellen warned the country would run out of cash by June 1 | Alma raises $2m for more drilling at Briggs copper project, eyes MRE update in Q3 |

    The Selloff Is Putting Us Back Into The Painful Range Trade

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 24 MAY: ASX drops, weighed down by BHP, Fortescue | France bans short-haul flights to cut carbon emissions | BMG Resources strikes pegmatites in Coolgardie |

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    Like a Tractor in a Rainstorm, the S&P Is Stuck in the Mud

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 26 MAY: ASX to open flat | Nvidia sparks tech frenzy on Wall Street | Tech baron Alex Waislitz believes future is bright for Jayride as post-Covid travel booms |

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 25 MAY: ASX to fall, Wall Street and Europe sell-off | US Treasury secretary Janet Yellen warned the country would run out of cash by June 1 | Alma raises $2m for more drilling at Briggs copper project, eyes MRE update in Q3 |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 24 MAY: ASX drops, weighed down by BHP, Fortescue | France bans short-haul flights to cut carbon emissions | BMG Resources strikes pegmatites in Coolgardie |

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 23 MAY: ASX slips at close; St Barbara shares drop 3.3pc | UK inflation rate may fall at sharpest pace in 30 years | BHP warns of $1.3 billion cost blow from new IR laws |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 23 MAY: ASX to open higher | Nasdaq leads gains on Wall Street | New high-quality investors back Widgie’s $12m placement to fund continued Mt Edwards growth |

  • Commentary
    • All
    • Market Recap
    • MrTopStep

    Can We Get an Options Squeeze for “Fry-Day?”

    The Selloff Is Putting Us Back Into The Painful Range Trade

    A Few Individual Stock Trades Stand Out

    Like a Tractor in a Rainstorm, the S&P Is Stuck in the Mud

    ‘Thin to Win’ Is Today’s Theme

    3 Lessons From My Mistake. Opex & Powell Are on Tap!

    Finally a Break Out of the Range. Can The Move Last?

    UPDATE: More Profit Trimming

    Range Trade (Somehow) Continues to Tighten

  • Education
    • All
    • Economics
    • Trading Methods
    • Trading Psychology
    • Trading Room
    • Trading Rules
    • Webinars
    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Quantitative Statistics and Analysis, Make Better Trading Decisions – Free Webinar – Saturday 12:00pm ET

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Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

Dave Wienke by Dave Wienke
September 29, 2020
in Charts, Currencies, Energy, futures-equities, futures-fixed-income, futures-metals, Levels
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Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan
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Tuesday September 29, 2020                                                        Trading
Desk: (312) 236-8907

 

TODAY’S GAME PLAN:  from
the trading desk, this is not research

DATA/HEADLINES:  
8:30ET Advance Trade; 9:00ET Case-Shiller Home Price Index; 9:15ET Fed’s Williams, Harker speak;  10:00ET Consumer Confidence: 11:40ET Fed’s Clarida; 1:00ET Fed’s Quarles speaks  /  9:00ET IT’S DEBATE NIGHT!

Hopes of a new stimulus package likely rest on developments today after House Democrats released their $2.2 trillion proposal late yesterday.
Speaker Pelosi and Treasury Secretary Mnuchin will hold further phone conversations today. If there is no deal, Democrats said they will proceed with a vote on the plan and then leave town for pre-election campaigning. 

TODAY’S HIGHLIGHTS:

  • U.S. judge to weigh whether to drop criminal case against ex-Trump adviser Flynn

    link
  • Trump warned Americans to expect more coronavirus cases in the weeks ahead, as the U.S. deploys tens of millions of new, rapid tests
  • China’s top financial officials are evaluating ways to contain the risks posed by Evergrande
  • Putin To Be Among First To Receive 'Controversial' Sputnik Vaccine
  • Joe Biden’s chances of winning the Electoral College slipped to 77.4%, according to the latest run of poll aggregator FiveThirtyEight’s election forecasting
    model
  • Starting today, the NFL's waiver claim priority will be reflective of 2020 records

The end-of-month rebound in global equities faded as investors assessed a scaled-back fiscal stimulus proposal in the U.S. against the rising
toll of the pandemic. Global markets are mixed as investors also awaited a pivotal U.S. presidential debate.

EQUITIES:  

Future contracts on major U.S. equity indexes retreated as the recent rally cooled off amid a rising number of deaths related to the pandemic
and a cloudy outlook on U.S. fiscal stimulus. While there were some signs of progress in talks over a fresh U.S. coronavirus relief bill, investors were mostly in a wait-and-see mode ahead of the first presidential debate tonight. 

December E-mini S&P futures +0.15%,
Nasdaq -0.35%, Russell 2000 futures -0.2%, Dow futures -0.15%. SPX held below the 50dma which we are using as a closing short term pivot. It makes sense for some weakness or pause here ahead of the debate…  

QQQ has the
279.50 area as closing key resistance.

Banks led the S&P 500 Index to its biggest gain in two weeks as investors found buying opportunities after the gauge fell to its lowest since
July last week.

European stock markets slipped as a rebound in the previous session fizzled out, with investors remaining cautious ahead of the first U.S. presidential
debate.  The Stoxx 600 Index was lower by 0.3% after recording its biggest daily gain in three months on Monday.  Banks are the worst performers after the rally in the sector yesterday. Eurostoxx 50 trades only 0.1% lower having been down as much as 0.8%.
Banks, insurance, and real estate are the worst performing sectors.

Most markets in the Asian region were down, with Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index dropping 0.9% and Jakarta Composite falling 0.6%, while South Korea's
Kospi Index gained 0.9% and the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.2%. Chinese property and banking stocks fell in Hong Kong, following a report about limits on housing mortgages. South Korea outperformed other emerging Asian stock markets as overnight gains
in the US lifted sentiment and investors looked to rebalance their books into month-end and a handful of regional holidays.

FIXED INCOME: 
 

A quiet start to the session with Treasury yields trading within a basis point of Monday’s closing levels on below-average futures volumes. Focal
points include consumer confidence data, New York Fed conference on Treasury market and first presidential debate tonight.

METALS: 

Gold held onto Monday’s rebound as investors weighed prospects for further stimulus in the U.S. and Europe. Spot gold inched up 0.3% to touch
its highest in almost a week on Tuesday, supported by a pull-back in the dollar, as investors waited for the first U.S. presidential debate and further developments on a new U.S. coronavirus relief bill.

ENERGY:  

Oil prices fell as Europe and the United States grappled with a surge in new coronavirus infections and investors were cautious ahead of the
first U.S. presidential debate. In a clear sign of weak demand in Japan, the world’s fourth-biggest crude buyer, official data showed the country’s imports of oil in August fell more than 25% from a year earlier. We continue to highlight the 50day and 200
day moving averages as key resistance in WIT.

CURRENCIES:  

The US$ is lower for a second straight day as markets awaited the first debate between the U.S. presidential candidates, and signs of progress
in U.S. fiscal stimulus talks. GBP/USD rises 0.3%, helped by optimistic reports around Brexit; the EU said it won’t abandon talks with the U.K. even if Boris Johnson’s government does not withdraw its plan to break international law.

TECHNICAL LEVELS: 
(futures)    

ESZ

TYZ

Dec Gold

CLX

DXZ

Resistance

3517.00

141’12

1998.6*

45.00

97.100

 

3495.00

141’03

1983.8

44.05

96.400*

 

3431.50*

140’24*

1953.3

42.45

96.000

 

3400.00

140’13

1942.6

41.82*

95.145

 

3363.00

140’00

1902.0

41.41

94.650

Settlement

3346.00

139’20

1882.3

40.60

94.193

 

3319/20

139’12

1848.4*

38.54

93.630*

 

3300.00

139’02+

1831.0

37.68

92.900

 

3261.00

138’18

1800.0

35.94*

92.390

 

3233.00

138’03+

1738.5

33.52

91.400*

Support

3198/99

137’15

1699.6*

32.00

90.900

Colors within the report:
Green
is always the 200 period (day, week).
Red is always 21,
Blue = 50,
Brown =
100
  *Stars have added importance

Equity movers in early trading, as of 7:35am ET:

Advancers

  • WINT +19.5% (+$1.16); Windtree Announces FDA Acceptance of IND Application for a Phase 2 Clinical Trial Studying KL4 Surfactant in Acute Lung
    Injury in Adults with COVID-19
  • ORGS +16% (+$0.80); Orgenesis Shares Rise as Company to Buy Koligo Therapeutics
  • SOHU +14.2% (+$2.56)
  • JIH +11.4% (+$1.18)
  • ANGO +10.1% (+$1.08); AngioDynamics First Quarter Adjusted EPS Beats Highest Estimate
  • SPRO +9.8% (+$0.91)
  • CRMD +9.5% (+$0.51); CorMedix Rated New Market Outperform at JMP
  • FLDM +7.7% (+$0.56); Fluidigm Gets Boosted Funding for Covid-19 Test Expansion
  • INOV +7.5% (+$1.99)
  • SHLL +7.5% (+$3.61)
  • SRNE +5.7% (+$0.58)
  • BIG +5.6% (+$2.69)
  • AVXL +4.5% (+$0.21)
  • GRAF +4.5% (+$1.09)
  • FIT +4.1% (+$0.27); Google Submits New Fitbit Deal Concessions in EU Review
  • FMCI +3.8% (+$0.94)
  • NGG +3.7% (+$2.02)
  • IPOB +3.2% (+$0.53)

Decliners

  • IRWD -20.8% (-$1.98)
  • PLL -15.5% (-$5.75)
  • SPI -10.2% (-$1.04)
  • CBAT -8.4% (-$0.22)
  • PRTY -5.7% (-$0.17)
  • NKLA -4.1% (-$0.80); Nikola’s Milton Accused by a Second Woman of Sexual Assault
  • HSBC -3.9% (-$0.78)
  • BZUN -3.5% (-$1.20)
  • ZTO -3.4% (-$1.08)
  • UNFI -3.3% (-$0.63); United Natural Slides After Reporting Planned CEO Departure
  • AXSM -3.2% (-$2.46); Axsome Therapeutics Rated New Underperform at BofA
  • OI -3.2% (-$0.34)
  • HST -2.9% (-$0.32); Park Hotels, Pebblebrook Among BofA Lodging Upgrades; Host Cut
  • BEKE -2.9% (-$1.78)
  • SFIX -2.1% (-$0.58)
  • BDN -2.2% (-$0.23)

 

 

David Wienke

Cabrera Capital Markets, LLC 

  

Tags: aucldxesngqqqshanghai compsp500stoxx 600tyusdvixWTI
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