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MrTopStep
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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

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    Was Trading on the Floor Easier Than on the Screens?

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 2 JUNE: ASX to rise | S&P 500 lifts in broad rally, techs extend gains | Cannon-Brookes’ Sun Cable win shows the growing appetite for renewables |

    The MIM Has Been Dominating the Sell Side

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 1 JUNE: ASX rises, led by rally in health stocks | Paladin bounces back | Surefire Resources’ drilling confirms extension of mineralisation at Yidby gold project |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 1 JUNE: ASX to slip | Energy sector paces S&P 500 lower | Meet the gold explorer that thinks it can be the next Bellevue |

    Use AI-Driven Rally to Reposition For Worst Months

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 31 MAY: ASX hits two-month low as traders up bet for RBA rate rise | Vulcan Energy signs geothermal project agreement with car maker Stellantis |

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    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 5 JUNE: ASX rallies | banks advance, gold miners tumble | Dimerix raises $8.7 million to advance Phase 3 trial for kidney drug |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 5 JUNE: ASX to surge | RBA policy decision awaited | Lithium trailblazer Iggy Tan is back in the saddle and gearing up for a new James Bay adventure |

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 2 JUNE: ASX to rise | S&P 500 lifts in broad rally, techs extend gains | Cannon-Brookes’ Sun Cable win shows the growing appetite for renewables |

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 1 JUNE: ASX rises, led by rally in health stocks | Paladin bounces back | Surefire Resources’ drilling confirms extension of mineralisation at Yidby gold project |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 1 JUNE: ASX to slip | Energy sector paces S&P 500 lower | Meet the gold explorer that thinks it can be the next Bellevue |

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    ‘Thin to Win’ Is Today’s Theme

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    CME Loses Key Battle in Potentially Costly Trader Lawsuit

    CME Loses Key Battle in Potentially Costly Trader Lawsuit

    24X5 Options Trading Begins Sunday, November 21

    ICE Notice

    ICE: Margin Rates Update for ICE Futures U.S. Oil Contracts

    ICE: Margin Rates Update for ICE Futures U.S. Gas Contracts

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    Margin Rates Update for ICE Futures U.S. Power Contracts

    AP: US COVID-19 cases rising again, doubling over three weeks

    CME Group – US Independence Day Holiday Schedule: July 2-6, 2021

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    • VIX
    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 5 JUNE: ASX rallies | banks advance, gold miners tumble | Dimerix raises $8.7 million to advance Phase 3 trial for kidney drug |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 5 JUNE: ASX to surge | RBA policy decision awaited | Lithium trailblazer Iggy Tan is back in the saddle and gearing up for a new James Bay adventure |

    Was Trading on the Floor Easier Than on the Screens?

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 2 JUNE: ASX to rise | S&P 500 lifts in broad rally, techs extend gains | Cannon-Brookes’ Sun Cable win shows the growing appetite for renewables |

    The MIM Has Been Dominating the Sell Side

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 1 JUNE: ASX rises, led by rally in health stocks | Paladin bounces back | Surefire Resources’ drilling confirms extension of mineralisation at Yidby gold project |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 1 JUNE: ASX to slip | Energy sector paces S&P 500 lower | Meet the gold explorer that thinks it can be the next Bellevue |

    Use AI-Driven Rally to Reposition For Worst Months

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 31 MAY: ASX hits two-month low as traders up bet for RBA rate rise | Vulcan Energy signs geothermal project agreement with car maker Stellantis |

    Trending Tags

    • FEEDID-6
    • FEEDID-51
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  • Charts
    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 5 JUNE: ASX rallies | banks advance, gold miners tumble | Dimerix raises $8.7 million to advance Phase 3 trial for kidney drug |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 5 JUNE: ASX to surge | RBA policy decision awaited | Lithium trailblazer Iggy Tan is back in the saddle and gearing up for a new James Bay adventure |

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 2 JUNE: ASX to rise | S&P 500 lifts in broad rally, techs extend gains | Cannon-Brookes’ Sun Cable win shows the growing appetite for renewables |

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 1 JUNE: ASX rises, led by rally in health stocks | Paladin bounces back | Surefire Resources’ drilling confirms extension of mineralisation at Yidby gold project |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 1 JUNE: ASX to slip | Energy sector paces S&P 500 lower | Meet the gold explorer that thinks it can be the next Bellevue |

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

  • Commentary
    • All
    • Market Recap
    • MrTopStep

    Was Trading on the Floor Easier Than on the Screens?

    The MIM Has Been Dominating the Sell Side

    Use AI-Driven Rally to Reposition For Worst Months

    Bulls Are in Control, But How Sustainable Is the Current Rally?

    Can We Get an Options Squeeze for “Fry-Day?”

    The Selloff Is Putting Us Back Into The Painful Range Trade

    A Few Individual Stock Trades Stand Out

    Like a Tractor in a Rainstorm, the S&P Is Stuck in the Mud

    ‘Thin to Win’ Is Today’s Theme

  • Education
    • All
    • Economics
    • Trading Methods
    • Trading Psychology
    • Trading Room
    • Trading Rules
    • Webinars
    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Quantitative Statistics and Analysis, Make Better Trading Decisions – Free Webinar – Saturday 12:00pm ET

    Quantitative Statistics and Analysis, Make Better Trading Decisions – Free Webinar – Saturday 12:00pm ET

    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

    Chart of the Day: PINS Stock

    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

    Chart of the Day: Trading the S&P 500 and the S&P Futures

    Here’s Why You Need Mr. Top Step

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    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

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    Monthly Trading Time: The Good, The Bad and The Ugly

    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

    Chart of the Day: Can Apple Stock Hit Record Highs?

    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

    Chart of the Day: Can GOOGL Stock Stay Up?

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MrTopStep
Home Analysis Imbalances

Use This Reading to Crush the Month-End Rotation

Contributor by Contributor
June 10, 2021
in Imbalances, MiM, MrTopStep
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Use This Reading to Crush the Month-End Rotation
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Most users and readers that see or use Mr. Top Step’s Market Imbalance Meter — what we call the “MiM” — tend to use it near the open and the close. However, it can also be used for playing a month-end rotation. 

Generally, the MiM is used for finding the overall market’s daily imbalance. That is, which way the orders are leaning as we near the close. Is the market “big to sell?” Will there be “a big flip to buy in the final 10 minutes?”

The MiM was an important tool for traders just a few weeks ago. While Mr. Top Step’s Danny Riley called out the bottom in the ES within two minutes and two points, the MiM helped confirm the move he was looking for; it provided the confidence bulls needed to press their longs into the close. 

Danny Riley is Mr. Top Step’s 39-year veteran of the CME trading floor and ran one of the largest S&P desks on the floor. Here’s what he’s thinking each morning before the stock market opens. 

But there’s a different use for the MiM too, which is playing the month-end rotations. Everyone knows that when the S&P 500 or the MSCI funds rebalance, there’s going to be a massive flood of buy and sell orders. 

In some cases, you know what stocks will be added or dropped. But it’s hard to gauge on the fly. Or is it? 

Trading the Month-End Rotation With the MiM

Month-end rebalance closing orders
A look at the Top 10 symbols on the buy and sell side.

The MiM doesn’t just give us the aggregate imbalance of orders, it gives us the top 10 symbols on both the buy side and the sell side. The above order chart shows a massive imbalance on a number of these names. 

An imbalance of $400 million on a single stock? Sometimes the MiM for the whole market is $400 million. That gives some perspective on what’s possible with individual stocks. That number is going to move these names, even if the opportunity only comes a few times a month. 

Just look at some of these late-day spikes we saw in Disney, Tesla, Kimberly-Clark and JPMorgan. Morgan Stanley and Moderna (not pictured) also gave us some pretty good spikes too. 

MiM Buy Imbalance

Now on the downside, notice the same thing. On the chart above, I showed a bit into the next session, just to highlight the magnitude of the move. 

On the chart below, I only showed up until the close, which gives you an idea of how these names finished the day. I remember that awful feeling of seeing my stocks puke at the end of the day and not knowing what the cause was or if they would recover in the next session. Now I have a much better understanding of what’s behind some of these move — the curtain has been pulled back a bit.

MiM Sell Imbalance

As we all know, there’s no crystal ball when it comes to trading stocks, options or futures. But the Market Imbalance Meter may be as close as it comes. Knowing how the “Big Money” is placing its bets can give our trading room a big wave to ride — or a warning sign to stay out of the water. Come check it out now, risk free for 30 days.

Generating Alpha

If you look at our regular MiM closing reports — which can be found here — most do not have such large imbalance days. However, if it’s a month-end rotation session for a large fund (like the MSCI in this case), you better believe there’s the potential for hundreds of millions of dollars to flow into or out of these individual names. 

Knowing which names are going to see that type of aggressive flow in the final 10 minutes of the day is highly valuable, as you can see on the charts above. 

It’s not hard to look at a chart of eBay or Kimberly-Clark and explain the big move by saying there was almost $300 million to buy or sell in just a few minutes. 

It’s not a daily strategy. But a month-end rotation is no joke. And if trading some of these moves isn’t in your arsenal, that’s fine! However, it at least helps to know what’s going on and it’s one way the MiM can help do just that.

Come on — check it out now. Like we said, it’s risk free for 30 days.

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