Quotes by TradingView
Sunday, January 24, 2021
Premium: TradeChat
No Result
View All Result
MrTopStep.com LLC
  • News
    • All
    • Reuters Business
    OP: Missing the Mark

    OP: Missing the Mark

    OP: Missing the Mark

    Protected: OP: Missing the Mark

    OP: Wall Street Welcomes Biden

    OP: Wall Street Welcomes Biden

    OP: Wall Street Welcomes Biden

    Protected: OP: Wall Street Welcomes Biden

    Thursday AP Morning Wire

    Thursday AP Morning Wire

    OP: Biden’s Big Day

    OP: Biden’s Big Day

    OP: Biden’s Big Day

    Protected: OP: Biden’s Big Day

    Inauguration Day AP Morning Wire

    Inauguration Day AP Morning Wire

    OP: Going Up?

    OP: Going Up?

  • Products
    • Chatroom Login
    • Wyckoff Trader
    • MIM
    • Polaris Trading Group
    • IM Pro Trading Room
    • The Opening Print
    • FREE Daily Opening Print
  • Stocks
    • All
    • Apple
    • Dow Jones
    • Earnings
    • Facebook (FB)
    • Goldman Sachs (GS)
    • IPO
    • M&A
    • Markets
    • Mining
    • Nasdaq
    • NYSE
    • Russell 2000
    • S&P 500
    • Twitter (TWTR:NYSE)
    • VIX
    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 22 JANUARY: | ASX up 1.3pc in huge week for Zip, Lynas | iCandy looks to double up in Chinese gaming market with Rocky Rampage launch |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 22 JANUARY: | ASX to fall, Apple lifts Wall Street | The tests ASX healthcare companies have upcoming in 2021 |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 21 JANUARY: | ASX gains 0.8pc | Greenhouse study shows AVZ Minerals could achieve lowest carbon footprint at Manono lithium-tin project |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 21 JANUARY: | ASX to rise | Eco-fibre play Nanollose leads ASX healthcare sector with 292% gain |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 20 JANUARY: | ASX hits 11 month high | China shares rise on c.bank’s liquidity boost; EV, healthcare stocks shine |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 20 JANUARY: | ASX to rise | 3 cannabis players discuss how to view the sector through a biotech lens |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 19 JANUARY: | ASX rises 1pc | US eyes Australian market as cannabis investment fund takes stake in Lifespot Health |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 19 JANUARY: | ASX to rise, $A eases amid greenback surge | Battery sector cries out for more graphite as shortfall looms |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 18 JANUARY: | ASX sheds 0.8pc | Tietto Minerals appoints COO to drive development of Abujar gold project | China, Hong Kong stocks climb on upbeat GDP data |

    Trending Tags

    • FEEDID-6
    • FEEDID-51
    • FEEDID-44
    • FEEDID-31
    • FEEDID-21
    • FEEDID-16
    • FEEDID-36
    • FEEDID-10
    • feedid-56
    • feedid-58
    • feedid-61
    • feedid-59
    • feedid-60
    • feedid-62
    • feedid-63
    • feedid-65
    • feedid-66
  • Charts

    The Cotton Row Journal, week of 18-22 Jan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 22 JANUARY: | ASX up 1.3pc in huge week for Zip, Lynas | iCandy looks to double up in Chinese gaming market with Rocky Rampage launch |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 22 JANUARY: | ASX to fall, Apple lifts Wall Street | The tests ASX healthcare companies have upcoming in 2021 |

    The Cotton Row Journal, week of 18-22 Jan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 21 JANUARY: | ASX gains 0.8pc | Greenhouse study shows AVZ Minerals could achieve lowest carbon footprint at Manono lithium-tin project |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 21 JANUARY: | ASX to rise | Eco-fibre play Nanollose leads ASX healthcare sector with 292% gain |

    The Cotton Row Journal, week of 18-22 Jan

  • Commentary
    • All
    • Market Recap
    • MrTopStep
    Edward Jones: Weekly Update

    Edward Jones: Weekly Update

    Chart of the Day: Coming Up (Smaller Companies Rally)

    Chart of the Day: Coming Up (Smaller Companies Rally)

    links

    Danny’s Links: January 22nd 2020

    OP: Missing the Mark

    OP: Missing the Mark

    OP: Missing the Mark

    Protected: OP: Missing the Mark

    S&P 500 repurchasers return to favor as Netflix looks at joining them

    S&P 500 repurchasers return to favor as Netflix looks at joining them

    OP: Wall Street Welcomes Biden

    OP: Wall Street Welcomes Biden

    links

    Danny’s Links:

    Washington Post: 900,000 filed for jobless claims last week, a historically high level as Biden inherits worst job market of any modern president

  • Education
    • All
    • Economics
    • Trading Methods
    • Trading Psychology
    • Trading Room
    • Trading Rules
    • Webinars
    GMTT / Chart of the day / Apple / Oct 27, 2020

    GMTT / Chart of the day / Apple / Oct 27, 2020

    NASDOG.com: Corn, What Changed Today?

    NASDOG.com: Corn, What Changed Today?

    NASDOG.com: Stocks Getting Serious; Quick Word on Beans

    NASDOG.com: Stocks Getting Serious; Quick Word on Beans

    NASDOG.com: Full For a Bull

    NASDOG.com: Full For a Bull

    HotSpots for 01/02/2020 for $ES $YM $NQ

    HotSpots for 01/02/2020 for $ES $YM $NQ

    HotSpots for 12/31/2019 for $ES $YM $NQ

    HotSpots for 12/30/2019 for $ES $YM $NQ

    HotSpots for 12/27/2019 for $ES $YM $NQ

    HotSpots for 12/25/2019 for $ES $YM $NQ

  • NYSE Holidays
  • Video
  • News
    • All
    • Reuters Business
    OP: Missing the Mark

    OP: Missing the Mark

    OP: Missing the Mark

    Protected: OP: Missing the Mark

    OP: Wall Street Welcomes Biden

    OP: Wall Street Welcomes Biden

    OP: Wall Street Welcomes Biden

    Protected: OP: Wall Street Welcomes Biden

    Thursday AP Morning Wire

    Thursday AP Morning Wire

    OP: Biden’s Big Day

    OP: Biden’s Big Day

    OP: Biden’s Big Day

    Protected: OP: Biden’s Big Day

    Inauguration Day AP Morning Wire

    Inauguration Day AP Morning Wire

    OP: Going Up?

    OP: Going Up?

  • Products
    • Chatroom Login
    • Wyckoff Trader
    • MIM
    • Polaris Trading Group
    • IM Pro Trading Room
    • The Opening Print
    • FREE Daily Opening Print
  • Stocks
    • All
    • Apple
    • Dow Jones
    • Earnings
    • Facebook (FB)
    • Goldman Sachs (GS)
    • IPO
    • M&A
    • Markets
    • Mining
    • Nasdaq
    • NYSE
    • Russell 2000
    • S&P 500
    • Twitter (TWTR:NYSE)
    • VIX
    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 22 JANUARY: | ASX up 1.3pc in huge week for Zip, Lynas | iCandy looks to double up in Chinese gaming market with Rocky Rampage launch |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 22 JANUARY: | ASX to fall, Apple lifts Wall Street | The tests ASX healthcare companies have upcoming in 2021 |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 21 JANUARY: | ASX gains 0.8pc | Greenhouse study shows AVZ Minerals could achieve lowest carbon footprint at Manono lithium-tin project |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 21 JANUARY: | ASX to rise | Eco-fibre play Nanollose leads ASX healthcare sector with 292% gain |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 20 JANUARY: | ASX hits 11 month high | China shares rise on c.bank’s liquidity boost; EV, healthcare stocks shine |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 20 JANUARY: | ASX to rise | 3 cannabis players discuss how to view the sector through a biotech lens |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 19 JANUARY: | ASX rises 1pc | US eyes Australian market as cannabis investment fund takes stake in Lifespot Health |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 19 JANUARY: | ASX to rise, $A eases amid greenback surge | Battery sector cries out for more graphite as shortfall looms |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 18 JANUARY: | ASX sheds 0.8pc | Tietto Minerals appoints COO to drive development of Abujar gold project | China, Hong Kong stocks climb on upbeat GDP data |

    Trending Tags

    • FEEDID-6
    • FEEDID-51
    • FEEDID-44
    • FEEDID-31
    • FEEDID-21
    • FEEDID-16
    • FEEDID-36
    • FEEDID-10
    • feedid-56
    • feedid-58
    • feedid-61
    • feedid-59
    • feedid-60
    • feedid-62
    • feedid-63
    • feedid-65
    • feedid-66
  • Charts

    The Cotton Row Journal, week of 18-22 Jan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 22 JANUARY: | ASX up 1.3pc in huge week for Zip, Lynas | iCandy looks to double up in Chinese gaming market with Rocky Rampage launch |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 22 JANUARY: | ASX to fall, Apple lifts Wall Street | The tests ASX healthcare companies have upcoming in 2021 |

    The Cotton Row Journal, week of 18-22 Jan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 21 JANUARY: | ASX gains 0.8pc | Greenhouse study shows AVZ Minerals could achieve lowest carbon footprint at Manono lithium-tin project |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 21 JANUARY: | ASX to rise | Eco-fibre play Nanollose leads ASX healthcare sector with 292% gain |

    The Cotton Row Journal, week of 18-22 Jan

  • Commentary
    • All
    • Market Recap
    • MrTopStep
    Edward Jones: Weekly Update

    Edward Jones: Weekly Update

    Chart of the Day: Coming Up (Smaller Companies Rally)

    Chart of the Day: Coming Up (Smaller Companies Rally)

    links

    Danny’s Links: January 22nd 2020

    OP: Missing the Mark

    OP: Missing the Mark

    OP: Missing the Mark

    Protected: OP: Missing the Mark

    S&P 500 repurchasers return to favor as Netflix looks at joining them

    S&P 500 repurchasers return to favor as Netflix looks at joining them

    OP: Wall Street Welcomes Biden

    OP: Wall Street Welcomes Biden

    links

    Danny’s Links:

    Washington Post: 900,000 filed for jobless claims last week, a historically high level as Biden inherits worst job market of any modern president

  • Education
    • All
    • Economics
    • Trading Methods
    • Trading Psychology
    • Trading Room
    • Trading Rules
    • Webinars
    GMTT / Chart of the day / Apple / Oct 27, 2020

    GMTT / Chart of the day / Apple / Oct 27, 2020

    NASDOG.com: Corn, What Changed Today?

    NASDOG.com: Corn, What Changed Today?

    NASDOG.com: Stocks Getting Serious; Quick Word on Beans

    NASDOG.com: Stocks Getting Serious; Quick Word on Beans

    NASDOG.com: Full For a Bull

    NASDOG.com: Full For a Bull

    HotSpots for 01/02/2020 for $ES $YM $NQ

    HotSpots for 01/02/2020 for $ES $YM $NQ

    HotSpots for 12/31/2019 for $ES $YM $NQ

    HotSpots for 12/30/2019 for $ES $YM $NQ

    HotSpots for 12/27/2019 for $ES $YM $NQ

    HotSpots for 12/25/2019 for $ES $YM $NQ

  • NYSE Holidays
  • Video
No Result
View All Result
MrTopStep.com LLC
Home Commentary

ECB Smarter than the Fed?

AlgoFast by AlgoFast
Tuesday, August 6, 2013
in Commentary
0 0
0
ECB Smarter than the Fed?
15
SHARES
109
VIEWS
Share on FacebookShare on Twitter

ECBWith the Fed making its interest rate decision Wednesday 7-31-2013, and the ECB and BOE making their interest rate decisions the very next day, I wanted to compare some of the main differences between the central banks.  They differ in more ways that most people may think.  The structure, politics, objectives, mechanisms for achieving those objectives are all very different.  While the ECB preaches PRICE STABILITY over everything else, the Fed has left fingerprints of artificial manipulation all over the stock, bond, commodity, and housing markets.

It’s obvious that what the Fed is doing to stocks in not a shining example of price stability.  When Bernanke made his June statement, found here, we saw a positive picture from the Fed.  “Economic activity has been expanding…Labor market conditions have shown further improvement…Household spending and business fixed investment advanced, and the housing sector has strengthened further”-The Fed  What happened after this good news?  The stock market sold off hard.  It was like taking stimulants away from a kid with ADD.  The markets went into withdrawal.  Prices are not higher on real economic performance.  They’re not higher because of increased efficiency, improved technology, or anything that should legitimately improve the price of a stock.

Here’s what the Fed does well…they have a kick ass PR team.  They measure every single word as if it would be scrutinized by millions of people.  It wasn’t always this way.  Volker used to just come out of no where with big interest rate changes, and very few ever cared about what had to say.  The Fed Chairman’s statement following an interest rate or policy decision has become a mainstay in today’s financial media.  After Volker, Greenspan came in, and what can I say?  The man loves to hear himself speak.  According to Greenspan lore, he takes an hour long bath every morning.  Anyone who takes a bath every day has a lot of time to think about what he’s going to say.  He was very careful with his words, and knew people were hanging on every word.  Bernanke is much more of an academic than his predecessors, not enjoying the spotlight but performing his job with as much scientific precision as he’s capable of.  He views the statement as a tool for creating transparency and stability.  He wants to plan ahead, let everyone know the plan, and then do his best not to screw up the wording.  He’s pretty good at it too.

Here’s what I don’t like about the Fed.  There is no control on spending.  The dual mandate… (I hate that word by the way. Why don’t they just say objective?) The dual mandate of low unemployment and moderate inflation were a great idea, but now we realize that there are no controls over Fed tools.  They can spend as much money as they want with no repercussions.  It seems like they are achieving their goals of lowering unemployment while keeping inflation under control.  Stocks are up, unemployment is coming down, inflation measures like the PCE CPI and PPI are under control, and the housing market is making a big rebound.

Despite these positive signs, what is the cost?  Does monetary policy have a long term effect on unemployment or economic growth?  We’re flooding the market with easy money, but is that the reason we are recovering?  Our Debt to GDP ratio is not in a healthy state.  Quantitative Easing isn’t bringing our debt down, and if it is moving GDP, it isn’t much.  It’s definately not moving real GDP over the long term according to most economists.  We need to solve this problem with one of two solutions.  There should be a third mandate of stable debt/gdp or a simplified objective like the ECB’s price stability.

Take a look at the ECB’s Objective:

To maintain price stability is the primary objective of the Eurosystem and of the single monetary policy for which it is responsible. This is laid down in the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union, Article 127 (1).

“Without prejudice to the objective of price stability”, the Eurosystem shall also “support the general economic policies in the Union with a view to contributing to the achievement of the objectives of the Union”. These include inter alia “full employment” and “balanced economic growth”.

The Treaty establishes a clear hierarchy of objectives for the Eurosystem. It assigns overriding importance to price stability. The Treaty makes clear that ensuring price stability is the most important contribution that monetary policy can make to achieve a favourable economic environment and a high level of employment.

This policy is so clean.  It’s really simple.  Now take a look at the benefits the ECB claims are achieved through the price stability.

  • improving the transparency of the price mechanism. Under price stability people can recognise changes in relative prices (i.e. prices between different goods), without being confused by changes in the overall price level. This allows them to make well-informed consumption and investment decisions and to allocate resources more efficiently;
  • reducing inflation risk premia in interest rates (i.e. compensation creditors ask for the risks associated with holding nominal assets). This reduces real interest rates and increases incentives to invest;
  • avoiding unproductive activities to hedge against the negative impact of inflation or deflation;
  • reducing distortions of inflation or deflation, which can exacerbate the distortionary impact on economic behaviour of tax and social security systems;
  • preventing an arbitrary redistribution of wealth and income as a result of unexpected inflation or deflation;
  • and contributing to financial stability.

The first benefit is transparency.  The dual mandate used by the Fed gives them the ability to go one way or the other depending on which mandate they are more worried about.  This leaves us guessing what they’re going to do, and it requires a lengthy statement for true transparency.  They ECB statement is much shorter, and to the point.  “At today’s meeting the Governing Council of the ECB decided that the interest rate on the main refinancing operations and the interest rates on the marginal lending facility and the deposit facility will remain unchanged at 0.50%, 1.00% and 0.00% respectively.” (Aug 1, 2013)  That’s pretty straight forward.  There is little room for misinterpretation.

The other benefit that really grabs my attention is that price stability [is used for] “preventing an arbitrary redistribution of wealth and income as a result of unexpected inflation or deflation.”  That is so drastically different than the Fed, it’s not even funny.  To support a stronger economic recovery and to help ensure that inflation, over time, is at the rate most consistent with its dual mandate, the Committee decided to continue purchasing additional agency mortgage-backed securities at a pace of $40 billion per month and longer-term Treasury securities at a pace of $45 billion per month.-The Fed 

This $40 billion per month of mortgage backed securities bought is causing a massive redistribution of wealth.  If you are not a homeowner, you’re kind of getting screwed right now.  The sad part is that young homeowners were one of the largest segments to sell out of their homes when the market tanked in 2009, and the smallest segment to buy in since then.  Between 2006 and 2011, the number of people age 25 to 34 who owned homes fell 7 percentage points. The next age group, 35 to 44, saw their home-ownership rate decline 6.3 percentage points. In contrast, the ownership rate for those ages 55 to 59 fell 3.3 percentage points, and the rate for Americans 60 to 64 fell 1.9 percentage points. The national average decline was 2.7 percentage points.-http://realestate.msn.com/blogs/post–housing-recovery-leaves-young-people-behind

Our national debt will have to be repaid by generations to come.  It’s on our executive and legislative branches of government to control spending.  Of coarse our spending problems go way beyond the QE with healthcare defense and entitlements, but $85 billion  a month?  Is that really necessary?  The Fed is only acting under guidelines and government mandates laid out for them by Federal Reserve Act of 1913.  It was amended in 1930 to create the FOMC.  In the 70s, it was amended to require the Board and the FOMC “to promote effectively the goals of maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates.”-section 2A of the act.

It’s been fourty three years since the last amendment.  We’ve learned a lot since then.  We’ve learned a lot since the housing crisis and the credit crisis.  It’s time to amending the Federal Reserve Act again.

-JB

 

Justin Bouchard

See more at: https://www.algofast.com/our_blog

Tags: featured
Previous Post

The Sevens Report 8.6.13

Next Post

Cropcast Headlines: Rain Gives a Boost to Corn and Soybeans

Related Posts

Edward Jones: Weekly Update
Commentary

Edward Jones: Weekly Update

Sunday, January 24, 2021
Chart of the Day: Coming Up (Smaller Companies Rally)
Commentary

Chart of the Day: Coming Up (Smaller Companies Rally)

Friday, January 22, 2021
links
Commentary

Danny’s Links: January 22nd 2020

Friday, January 22, 2021
Next Post
Cropcast Headlines: Rain Gives a Boost to Corn and Soybeans

Cropcast Headlines: Rain Gives a Boost to Corn and Soybeans

Please login to join discussion

Search

No Result
View All Result

MrTopStep Live Stream

Popular Posts

  • NYSE Holidays 2020 Stock Market Schedule

    NYSE Holidays 2021 | Stock Market Calendar

    2436 shares
    Share 987 Tweet 604
  • S&P 500 projections: What the locals in the pit think

    246 shares
    Share 98 Tweet 62
  • Tuesday more of the same; be long, but careful

    238 shares
    Share 95 Tweet 60
  • The dead cat bounce

    190 shares
    Share 76 Tweet 48
  • After 6 up days in a row, we’re looking for the S&P to go south

    171 shares
    Share 68 Tweet 43

Subscribe to our Newsletter

The information in these Market Commentaries do not constitute a solicitation of the purchase or sale of any futures or options contracts.

Connect

Facebook Twitter Youtube

Office Hours

Monday-Friday: 7:30 AM- 4:00 PM
Order online 24/7

Ph: (207) 358-8545‬

email: info@mrtopstep.com

We Accept

© 2020 - MrTopStep All Rights Reserved.

No Result
View All Result
  • News
  • Products
    • Chatroom Login
    • Wyckoff Trader
    • MIM
    • Polaris Trading Group
    • IM Pro Trading Room
    • The Opening Print
    • FREE Daily Opening Print
  • Stocks
  • Charts
  • Commentary
  • Education
  • NYSE Holidays
  • Video

© 2020 - MrTopStep All Rights Reserved.

Welcome Back!

Login to your account below

Forgotten Password?

Create New Account!

Fill the forms below to register

All fields are required. Log In

Retrieve your password

Please enter your username or email address to reset your password.

Log In