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    OP: 3600?

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    OP: Wall Street Welcomes Biden

    OP: Wall Street Welcomes Biden

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    Thursday AP Morning Wire

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    OP: Biden’s Big Day

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 25 JANUARY: | ASX closes 0.4% higher at new 11-month high, Fatfish digital insurance subsidiary Fatberry records ‘explosive’ revenue results|

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 25 JANUARY: | ASX to rise | Palladium supply is drying up. These Aussie stocks could open the floodgates |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 22 JANUARY: | ASX up 1.3pc in huge week for Zip, Lynas | iCandy looks to double up in Chinese gaming market with Rocky Rampage launch |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 22 JANUARY: | ASX to fall, Apple lifts Wall Street | The tests ASX healthcare companies have upcoming in 2021 |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 21 JANUARY: | ASX gains 0.8pc | Greenhouse study shows AVZ Minerals could achieve lowest carbon footprint at Manono lithium-tin project |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 21 JANUARY: | ASX to rise | Eco-fibre play Nanollose leads ASX healthcare sector with 292% gain |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 20 JANUARY: | ASX hits 11 month high | China shares rise on c.bank’s liquidity boost; EV, healthcare stocks shine |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 20 JANUARY: | ASX to rise | 3 cannabis players discuss how to view the sector through a biotech lens |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 19 JANUARY: | ASX rises 1pc | US eyes Australian market as cannabis investment fund takes stake in Lifespot Health |

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    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 25 JANUARY: | ASX closes 0.4% higher at new 11-month high, Fatfish digital insurance subsidiary Fatberry records ‘explosive’ revenue results|

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 25 JANUARY: | ASX to rise | Palladium supply is drying up. These Aussie stocks could open the floodgates |

    The Cotton Row Journal, week of 18-22 Jan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 22 JANUARY: | ASX up 1.3pc in huge week for Zip, Lynas | iCandy looks to double up in Chinese gaming market with Rocky Rampage launch |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 22 JANUARY: | ASX to fall, Apple lifts Wall Street | The tests ASX healthcare companies have upcoming in 2021 |

    The Cotton Row Journal, week of 18-22 Jan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

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    OP: 3600?

    OP: 3600?

    Danny’s Top Links – January 25, 2021

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    Edward Jones: Weekly Update

    Edward Jones: Weekly Update

    Chart of the Day: Coming Up (Smaller Companies Rally)

    Chart of the Day: Coming Up (Smaller Companies Rally)

    links

    Danny’s Links: January 22nd 2020

    OP: Missing the Mark

    OP: Missing the Mark

    OP: Missing the Mark

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    S&P 500 repurchasers return to favor as Netflix looks at joining them

    S&P 500 repurchasers return to favor as Netflix looks at joining them

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    GMTT / Chart of the day / Apple / Oct 27, 2020

    GMTT / Chart of the day / Apple / Oct 27, 2020

    NASDOG.com: Corn, What Changed Today?

    NASDOG.com: Corn, What Changed Today?

    NASDOG.com: Stocks Getting Serious; Quick Word on Beans

    NASDOG.com: Stocks Getting Serious; Quick Word on Beans

    NASDOG.com: Full For a Bull

    NASDOG.com: Full For a Bull

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    OP: 3600?

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    OP: Missing the Mark

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    OP: Wall Street Welcomes Biden

    OP: Wall Street Welcomes Biden

    OP: Wall Street Welcomes Biden

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    Thursday AP Morning Wire

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    OP: Biden’s Big Day

    OP: Biden’s Big Day

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 25 JANUARY: | ASX closes 0.4% higher at new 11-month high, Fatfish digital insurance subsidiary Fatberry records ‘explosive’ revenue results|

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 25 JANUARY: | ASX to rise | Palladium supply is drying up. These Aussie stocks could open the floodgates |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 22 JANUARY: | ASX up 1.3pc in huge week for Zip, Lynas | iCandy looks to double up in Chinese gaming market with Rocky Rampage launch |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 22 JANUARY: | ASX to fall, Apple lifts Wall Street | The tests ASX healthcare companies have upcoming in 2021 |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 21 JANUARY: | ASX gains 0.8pc | Greenhouse study shows AVZ Minerals could achieve lowest carbon footprint at Manono lithium-tin project |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 21 JANUARY: | ASX to rise | Eco-fibre play Nanollose leads ASX healthcare sector with 292% gain |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 20 JANUARY: | ASX hits 11 month high | China shares rise on c.bank’s liquidity boost; EV, healthcare stocks shine |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 20 JANUARY: | ASX to rise | 3 cannabis players discuss how to view the sector through a biotech lens |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 19 JANUARY: | ASX rises 1pc | US eyes Australian market as cannabis investment fund takes stake in Lifespot Health |

    Trending Tags

    • FEEDID-6
    • FEEDID-51
    • FEEDID-44
    • FEEDID-31
    • FEEDID-21
    • FEEDID-16
    • FEEDID-36
    • FEEDID-10
    • feedid-56
    • feedid-58
    • feedid-61
    • feedid-59
    • feedid-60
    • feedid-62
    • feedid-63
    • feedid-65
    • feedid-66
  • Charts
    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 25 JANUARY: | ASX closes 0.4% higher at new 11-month high, Fatfish digital insurance subsidiary Fatberry records ‘explosive’ revenue results|

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 25 JANUARY: | ASX to rise | Palladium supply is drying up. These Aussie stocks could open the floodgates |

    The Cotton Row Journal, week of 18-22 Jan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 22 JANUARY: | ASX up 1.3pc in huge week for Zip, Lynas | iCandy looks to double up in Chinese gaming market with Rocky Rampage launch |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 22 JANUARY: | ASX to fall, Apple lifts Wall Street | The tests ASX healthcare companies have upcoming in 2021 |

    The Cotton Row Journal, week of 18-22 Jan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

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    • MrTopStep
    OP: 3600?

    OP: 3600?

    Danny’s Top Links – January 25, 2021

    OP: 3600?

    Protected: OP: 3600?

    Edward Jones: Weekly Update

    Edward Jones: Weekly Update

    Chart of the Day: Coming Up (Smaller Companies Rally)

    Chart of the Day: Coming Up (Smaller Companies Rally)

    links

    Danny’s Links: January 22nd 2020

    OP: Missing the Mark

    OP: Missing the Mark

    OP: Missing the Mark

    Protected: OP: Missing the Mark

    S&P 500 repurchasers return to favor as Netflix looks at joining them

    S&P 500 repurchasers return to favor as Netflix looks at joining them

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    GMTT / Chart of the day / Apple / Oct 27, 2020

    GMTT / Chart of the day / Apple / Oct 27, 2020

    NASDOG.com: Corn, What Changed Today?

    NASDOG.com: Corn, What Changed Today?

    NASDOG.com: Stocks Getting Serious; Quick Word on Beans

    NASDOG.com: Stocks Getting Serious; Quick Word on Beans

    NASDOG.com: Full For a Bull

    NASDOG.com: Full For a Bull

    HotSpots for 01/02/2020 for $ES $YM $NQ

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MrTopStep.com LLC

Fed over…time for the next narrative(s)

Contributor by Contributor
Thursday, September 17, 2020
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The Market Ear
Emergency tools will go back in tool box after crisis has passed – Powell
Three “main” risks;

1, risk of Fed disappointing (recall June disappointment)

2, possible negative re balancing month/quarter end flow (US pensions funds some $170bn, Norges around $15 bn, Japanese pensions some $22bn, total around $200 bn)

3, indecisive US election result

Remember VIX post Fed in June?

People have sold protection into the Fed event, maybe they will chase it after the Fed event just as they did in June?



Refinitiv

Tech´s earnings growth problem

Tech will lag the rest of the S&P by around 50% next year in terms of earnings growth.



Bernstein

Blackstone warns of lost decade…expect “anemic” stock market returns

Blackstone’s Executive Vice Chairman Tony James says;

Interest rates will normalize and companies will face “plenty of headwinds”..

Near zero interest rates has been the main driver of equities

Will Value ever shine again?


Barclays

Goldman: the exclusive black list of stocks meeting the “Rule of 10”

Firms meeting the criteria have a track record of 10%+ sales growth during each of the trailing two years and the expectation that 10%+ revenue growth will continue for each of the next two years. Stocks meeting these criteria have a strong track record of outperformance



Goldman

GS: here are the “future five”

“we highlight potential “future five” stocks that our equity analysts believe are well-positioned and have compelling growth opportunities: ISRG, ADSK, NOW, PYPL, VRTX”

Chart: The “future five” market cap rank in the S&P 500 over time



Goldman

Blackout (but not important as it used to be…)

“We are approaching our estimated S&P 500 blackout window (9/21/20 – 11/6/20). As of today we estimate ~40% of S&P 500 corporates are in blackout prior to their quarterly earnings, with ~70% to enter blackout by 9/21. During blackout companies are not prohibited from buying shares, but are limited in their ability to implement discretionary repurchases”.

Note: Q2 ’20 buyback executions at ~$103.0bn (R3000 and S&P 500) stand, down 47% y/y and down 54% q/q.



GS

China will start to matter as we get closer to elections

The crowd is increasingly negative to China. Bilateral tensions have changed to focusing on tech, capital markets and geopolitics.



GS

THE Jaws – is this the biggest Jaws out there?

Hard to trade from a shorter time perspective, but worth having in the back of your head for the longer term book…



Crescat

Recovery interrupted (#1): EU airlines

The European sector has reduced already record low schedules by 10% over the last 4 weeks due to weak advance booking data for the second half, especially October and November. Demand will remain challenging as virus concerns increase and governments keep changing policies. Q3 capacity is at -66% of 2019 levels and Q4 capacity at -50%



Sanford Bernstein

Recovery interrupted (#5): CITI ECO index rolling over

CITI economic index rolled over recently…will Spuz follow?



Refinitiv

Buybacks: making a comeback?

Starting to rise again.

Nice steady quarter-on-quarter momentum….

Will this also come back to print new all time highs some time in 2021?

Impossible is nothing



Goldman

Lowest outstanding quantity on loan on the SPY since Corona hit the world

Will people give back “all” the loans before the big one lower?



JPM

Which one do you trust – NASDAQ or bond volatility?

MOVE moving lower, VXN moving higher…



Refinitiv

—

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