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    OP: Wall Street Welcomes Biden

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    OP: Biden’s Big Day

    OP: Biden’s Big Day

    OP: Biden’s Big Day

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    Inauguration Day AP Morning Wire

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 21 JANUARY: | ASX gains 0.8pc | Greenhouse study shows AVZ Minerals could achieve lowest carbon footprint at Manono lithium-tin project |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 21 JANUARY: | ASX to rise | Eco-fibre play Nanollose leads ASX healthcare sector with 292% gain |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 20 JANUARY: | ASX hits 11 month high | China shares rise on c.bank’s liquidity boost; EV, healthcare stocks shine |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 20 JANUARY: | ASX to rise | 3 cannabis players discuss how to view the sector through a biotech lens |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 19 JANUARY: | ASX rises 1pc | US eyes Australian market as cannabis investment fund takes stake in Lifespot Health |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 19 JANUARY: | ASX to rise, $A eases amid greenback surge | Battery sector cries out for more graphite as shortfall looms |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 18 JANUARY: | ASX sheds 0.8pc | Tietto Minerals appoints COO to drive development of Abujar gold project | China, Hong Kong stocks climb on upbeat GDP data |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 18 JANUARY: | ASX to fall, global equities lower | Neuroscientific is researching a potential cure for post-COVID lung damage |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 15 JANUARY: | ASX down 0.6pc over the week | Lithium sector springs back to life amid acquisition deals and price rises | China stocks fall as consumer, liquor firms retreat |

    Trending Tags

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    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 21 JANUARY: | ASX gains 0.8pc | Greenhouse study shows AVZ Minerals could achieve lowest carbon footprint at Manono lithium-tin project |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 21 JANUARY: | ASX to rise | Eco-fibre play Nanollose leads ASX healthcare sector with 292% gain |

    The Cotton Row Journal, week of 18-22 Jan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 20 JANUARY: | ASX hits 11 month high | China shares rise on c.bank’s liquidity boost; EV, healthcare stocks shine |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 20 JANUARY: | ASX to rise | 3 cannabis players discuss how to view the sector through a biotech lens |

    Bloomberg Chart of the Day

    Jason Sen: FX

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    OP: Wall Street Welcomes Biden

    OP: Wall Street Welcomes Biden

    links

    Danny’s Links:

    Washington Post: 900,000 filed for jobless claims last week, a historically high level as Biden inherits worst job market of any modern president

    OP: Wall Street Welcomes Biden

    Protected: OP: Wall Street Welcomes Biden

    Chart of the Day: Who Needs Earnings?

    Chart of the Day: Who Needs Earnings?

    OP: Biden’s Big Day

    OP: Biden’s Big Day

    OP: Biden’s Big Day

    Protected: OP: Biden’s Big Day

    OP: Going Up?

    OP: Going Up?

    Two Presentations Worth Watching for Tuesday

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    GMTT / Chart of the day / Apple / Oct 27, 2020

    GMTT / Chart of the day / Apple / Oct 27, 2020

    NASDOG.com: Corn, What Changed Today?

    NASDOG.com: Corn, What Changed Today?

    NASDOG.com: Stocks Getting Serious; Quick Word on Beans

    NASDOG.com: Stocks Getting Serious; Quick Word on Beans

    NASDOG.com: Full For a Bull

    NASDOG.com: Full For a Bull

    HotSpots for 01/02/2020 for $ES $YM $NQ

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    HotSpots for 12/31/2019 for $ES $YM $NQ

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    OP: Wall Street Welcomes Biden

    OP: Wall Street Welcomes Biden

    OP: Wall Street Welcomes Biden

    Protected: OP: Wall Street Welcomes Biden

    Thursday AP Morning Wire

    Thursday AP Morning Wire

    OP: Biden’s Big Day

    OP: Biden’s Big Day

    OP: Biden’s Big Day

    Protected: OP: Biden’s Big Day

    Inauguration Day AP Morning Wire

    Inauguration Day AP Morning Wire

    OP: Going Up?

    OP: Going Up?

    OP: Going Up?

    Protected: OP: Going Up?

    OP: Be the Tortoise

    OP: Be the Tortoise

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 21 JANUARY: | ASX gains 0.8pc | Greenhouse study shows AVZ Minerals could achieve lowest carbon footprint at Manono lithium-tin project |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 21 JANUARY: | ASX to rise | Eco-fibre play Nanollose leads ASX healthcare sector with 292% gain |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 20 JANUARY: | ASX hits 11 month high | China shares rise on c.bank’s liquidity boost; EV, healthcare stocks shine |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 20 JANUARY: | ASX to rise | 3 cannabis players discuss how to view the sector through a biotech lens |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 19 JANUARY: | ASX rises 1pc | US eyes Australian market as cannabis investment fund takes stake in Lifespot Health |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 19 JANUARY: | ASX to rise, $A eases amid greenback surge | Battery sector cries out for more graphite as shortfall looms |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 18 JANUARY: | ASX sheds 0.8pc | Tietto Minerals appoints COO to drive development of Abujar gold project | China, Hong Kong stocks climb on upbeat GDP data |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 18 JANUARY: | ASX to fall, global equities lower | Neuroscientific is researching a potential cure for post-COVID lung damage |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 15 JANUARY: | ASX down 0.6pc over the week | Lithium sector springs back to life amid acquisition deals and price rises | China stocks fall as consumer, liquor firms retreat |

    Trending Tags

    • FEEDID-6
    • FEEDID-51
    • FEEDID-44
    • FEEDID-31
    • FEEDID-21
    • FEEDID-16
    • FEEDID-36
    • FEEDID-10
    • feedid-56
    • feedid-58
    • feedid-61
    • feedid-59
    • feedid-60
    • feedid-62
    • feedid-63
    • feedid-65
    • feedid-66
  • Charts
    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 21 JANUARY: | ASX gains 0.8pc | Greenhouse study shows AVZ Minerals could achieve lowest carbon footprint at Manono lithium-tin project |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 21 JANUARY: | ASX to rise | Eco-fibre play Nanollose leads ASX healthcare sector with 292% gain |

    The Cotton Row Journal, week of 18-22 Jan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 20 JANUARY: | ASX hits 11 month high | China shares rise on c.bank’s liquidity boost; EV, healthcare stocks shine |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 20 JANUARY: | ASX to rise | 3 cannabis players discuss how to view the sector through a biotech lens |

    Bloomberg Chart of the Day

    Jason Sen: FX

  • Commentary
    • All
    • Market Recap
    • MrTopStep
    OP: Wall Street Welcomes Biden

    OP: Wall Street Welcomes Biden

    links

    Danny’s Links:

    Washington Post: 900,000 filed for jobless claims last week, a historically high level as Biden inherits worst job market of any modern president

    OP: Wall Street Welcomes Biden

    Protected: OP: Wall Street Welcomes Biden

    Chart of the Day: Who Needs Earnings?

    Chart of the Day: Who Needs Earnings?

    OP: Biden’s Big Day

    OP: Biden’s Big Day

    OP: Biden’s Big Day

    Protected: OP: Biden’s Big Day

    OP: Going Up?

    OP: Going Up?

    Two Presentations Worth Watching for Tuesday

  • Education
    • All
    • Economics
    • Trading Methods
    • Trading Psychology
    • Trading Room
    • Trading Rules
    • Webinars
    GMTT / Chart of the day / Apple / Oct 27, 2020

    GMTT / Chart of the day / Apple / Oct 27, 2020

    NASDOG.com: Corn, What Changed Today?

    NASDOG.com: Corn, What Changed Today?

    NASDOG.com: Stocks Getting Serious; Quick Word on Beans

    NASDOG.com: Stocks Getting Serious; Quick Word on Beans

    NASDOG.com: Full For a Bull

    NASDOG.com: Full For a Bull

    HotSpots for 01/02/2020 for $ES $YM $NQ

    HotSpots for 01/02/2020 for $ES $YM $NQ

    HotSpots for 12/31/2019 for $ES $YM $NQ

    HotSpots for 12/30/2019 for $ES $YM $NQ

    HotSpots for 12/27/2019 for $ES $YM $NQ

    HotSpots for 12/25/2019 for $ES $YM $NQ

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Jared Woodard Analysis: Risk

Options Profits by Options Profits
Friday, August 30, 2013
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Jared Woodard Analysis: Risk
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A look at some key estimates of market risk suggests that this is not a good time to be adding short volatility exposure. If you’re an active trader eager to sell puts, this is not the time.

Equity Market Risk Dashboard

Source: Condor Options

Box plots in the chart above mark, in order, the minimum, first quartile, median, third quartile, and maximum values for each risk indicator, with the current value shown as a red cross. Indicators are, in descending order, the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX); SPY one year at the money implied volatility; S&P 500 two month IV momentum, measured as the difference between exponentially-weighted 15- and 30-day moving averages of ATM IV; S&P 500 one month volatility of volatility, measured as the two-week standard deviation of daily log changes in 1M IV; SPX SKEW index, provided by the CBOE; and iPath S&P 500 VIX Short Term Futures (VXX)three month rolling beta with SPX as the benchmark.

Implied volatility momentum and the volatility of one month implied vol are both above their two year median values. In the past, this is the sort of situation in which it has been better to stay away than to jump in, even though option premium looks expensive. The fact that one year implied volatility is only just above the first quartile is a positive sign, although with a bit more selling this week we could see that measure start to rise as well.

In early August, I posted an important chart showing where the cheapest hedges were. iShares MSCI EAFE Index Fund (EFA) was down on Tuesday more than the S&P 500, and iShares MSCI Brazil Index (EWZ), which we traded as good contrarian vol short, was only down 1.25% and is acting much better than developed market indexes.

OptionsProfits can be followed on Twitter at twitter.com/OptionsProfits.

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