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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

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    OP: Summer Stock Market Slowdown Comes Early

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    OP: Summer Stock Market Slowdown Comes Early

    Protected: OP: Summer Stock Market Slowdown Comes Early

    OP: Spring Break? Low Market Volumes Continue

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    Bloomberg Opinion: Mind the Gap

    OP: S&P Futures Close Lower After Monday’s 17th New High

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 07 APRIL: ASX hits best close since COVID with 0.6% rise | Crowd Media calls on investee technology to produce ‘Digital Dom’ talking head | Indian shares rise after RBI holds key rates steady |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 06 APRIL: ASX adds 0.8% as travel stocks take flight | Golden Deeps widens Namibia drilling plan to include historic copper-vanadium mine | China stocks fall as healthcare, consumer companies weigh |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 6 APRIL: ASX to rise | Dow and S&P 500 reset record highs | These ASX explorers say ‘company makers’ still lurk in one of WA’s oldest, richest gold provinces |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 01 APRIL: ASX steadies after jittery start, up 0.6% ahead of Easter break | Creso Pharma launches three CBD-based tea products under cannaQIX brand | China stocks climb on consumer, healthcare boost; Hong Kong rises |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 1 APRIL: ASX to rise | Tech rally lifts S&P 500 to new high | Eagle Mountain gears up in pursuit of copper context |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 31 MARCH: ASX adds $37b in surge to five-week high | Zenith Minerals test work returns high gold recoveries at Split Rocks | China stocks fall weighed by material, property shares |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 31 MARCH: ASX to rise | Wall St Stumbles, gold Loses lustre | Digital Wine Ventures is up by 120pc in a month after striking two big deals in a week |

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 9 APRIL: ASX to slip | Wall St poised to end higher | Thinking of getting into ASX water stocks? Here’s what the experts think |

    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

    Chart of the Day: The Russell 2000 (IWM)

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

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    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

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    OP: Summer Stock Market Slowdown Comes Early

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    links

    Danny’s Top Links – April 9, 2021

    OP: Summer Stock Market Slowdown Comes Early

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    OP: Spring Break? Low Market Volumes Continue

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Jared Woodard Analysis: Risk

Options Profits by Options Profits
Friday, August 30, 2013
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Jared Woodard Analysis: Risk
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A look at some key estimates of market risk suggests that this is not a good time to be adding short volatility exposure. If you’re an active trader eager to sell puts, this is not the time.

Equity Market Risk Dashboard

Source: Condor Options

Box plots in the chart above mark, in order, the minimum, first quartile, median, third quartile, and maximum values for each risk indicator, with the current value shown as a red cross. Indicators are, in descending order, the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX); SPY one year at the money implied volatility; S&P 500 two month IV momentum, measured as the difference between exponentially-weighted 15- and 30-day moving averages of ATM IV; S&P 500 one month volatility of volatility, measured as the two-week standard deviation of daily log changes in 1M IV; SPX SKEW index, provided by the CBOE; and iPath S&P 500 VIX Short Term Futures (VXX)three month rolling beta with SPX as the benchmark.

Implied volatility momentum and the volatility of one month implied vol are both above their two year median values. In the past, this is the sort of situation in which it has been better to stay away than to jump in, even though option premium looks expensive. The fact that one year implied volatility is only just above the first quartile is a positive sign, although with a bit more selling this week we could see that measure start to rise as well.

In early August, I posted an important chart showing where the cheapest hedges were. iShares MSCI EAFE Index Fund (EFA) was down on Tuesday more than the S&P 500, and iShares MSCI Brazil Index (EWZ), which we traded as good contrarian vol short, was only down 1.25% and is acting much better than developed market indexes.

OptionsProfits can be followed on Twitter at twitter.com/OptionsProfits.

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