As bitcoin busts out new records, these market watchers see $250,000 and even $400,000 on the horizon
By Barbara Kollmeyer
Critical information for the U.S. trading day
ozan kose/Agence France-Presse/Getty Images
A positive day for stocks is building after the Federal Reserve pledged to keep policy accommodative until the economy is on its feet. And investors remain hopeful that U.S. lawmakers will get a stimulus deal done.
To be sure, equities have had a pretty decent 2020, considering the misery brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic. But the S&P 500’s SPX year-to-date gain of 14% has nothing on how one group of alternative assets have been faring.
Up over 200% this year, cryptocurrency superstar bitcoin BTCUSD sailed to a new record of $22,000, tapping above $23,000 at one point early on Thursday, a day after reaching above $20,000. And we’ve got a couple of fresh calls on the cryptocurrency that indicate it may have much, much further to go.
Try $400,000, says Scott Minerd, chief investment officer of investment bank Guggenheim Partners, who made that prediction to Bloomberg News late on Wednesday.
Minerd said his bank started allocating toward bitcoin when it was at $10,000, and while that becomes challenging as the price is now closer to $20,000, “our fundamental work shows that bitcoin should be worth about $400,000.”
The leap from here to $400,000 is based on “scarcity and relative valuation such as things like gold as a percentage of GDP [gross domestic product]. Bitcoin actually has a lot of the attributes of gold and at the same time has an unusual value in terms of transactions,” said Minerd.
Wall Street wasn’t exactly hot for bitcoin in the early days, but interest from institutional investors has been growing as they look for ways to shield from the threat of future inflation. Larry Fink, the founder and chief executive officer of the world’s largest asset manager BlackRock, said earlier this month that bitcoin could possibly turn into a global market asset.
Read:
Paul Tudor Jones says bitcoin ‘reminds him of…internet stocks of 1999’
Another big bull on bitcoin, Goldman Sachs alumnus Raoul Pal, tweeted early on Thursday that he sees bitcoin 10 times higher a year from now. His December 2021 target is $250,000, Pal said in an emailed comment.
In the words of Pal, the chief executive officer of Global Macro Investor and co-founder of Real Vision financial and Crypto TV, “bitcoin is eating the world” when it comes to asset returns.
The markets
Stock futures YM00ES00NQ00 are rising, while European equities XX:SXXP are also in the green, and Asian markets had a mostly positive day. Oil prices CL00 are higher and the pound GBPUSD is rising on post-Brexit deal hopes and ahead of the outcome of a Bank of England policy meeting.
The buzz
Weekly and continuing jobless claims, and housing starts — the number of homes on which construction has started — alongside the Philadelphia Federal index are all ahead.
Extra doses in vials of the COVID-19 vaccine from drug company Pfizer PFE and its partner BioNTech BNTXcould boost the U.S. supply by 40%. The Food and Drug Administration approved the use of leftover vaccines, which were being reported by pharmacists. The first case of an allergic reaction to the vaccine has been reported by an Alaska health worker.
French President Emmanuel Macron has tested positive for COVID-19, and Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez is among those now quarantining after coming in contact with him. A Hong Kong police dog is also now in quarantine after contracting coronavirus.
Social media micromessenger Twitter TWTRwill remove any posts it deems misleading about COVID-19 vaccines.
“We’re still talking and I think we’re gonna get there.” That was Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell on Wednesday afternoon, after leading lawmakers failed to reach a deal. Talks will roll on for Thursday.
The chart
Random reads
Some parts of the U.S. Northeast are bracing for 2 feet of snow on Thursday.
A beloved “Lord of the Rings” actor has now been vaccinated against COVID-19.
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