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Need to Know: Stick to your favorite growth stocks and ‘just forget about what’s next’ with inflation, says this analyst

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Thursday, February 25, 2021
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Need to Know: Stick to your favorite growth stocks and ‘just forget about what’s next’ with inflation, says this analyst

MarketWatch


Need to Know

February 25, 2021

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Stick to your favorite growth stocks and ‘just forget about what’s next’ with inflation, says this analyst

By Jack Denton

Critical information for the U.S. trading day


(Photo by Cleland Rimmer/Getty Images)

Stocks rallied on Wednesday, as Federal Reserve officials made it clear they would keep monetary policy loose despite concerns about inflation, and markets may carry that momentum into Thursday.

The bull market is continuing its charge as investors are “burying their head in the sand” over inflation, said analyst Ipek Ozkardeskaya of Swiss bank Swissquote. She has our call of the day with what to stick to in this market: your favorite growth stocks.

Ozkardeskaya said that Fed Chair Jerome Powell, in his second day of Congressional testimony, talked about some elevated prices, like those caused by the global chip shortage, but shied away from ballooning asset prices and the recent spike in sovereign yields. And the market cheered it, even as inflation remains a key concern.

“The strong case for a rapid rise in consumer prices didn’t disappear overnight because Jerome Powell didn’t want to talk about it,” Ozkardeskaya said. Eventually, there will come a tightening in global financial conditions, she added.

But according to Ozkardeskaya, there is no reason for investors to halt equity purchases, as the Fed continues to flood the market with liquidity.

So what should investors buy? Some advise “value” stocks, which have lower price-to-earnings ratios and may be considered undervalued. Value stock prices are largely driven by earnings growth, so they may perform better than “growth” stocks when conditions tighten.

However, the average price-to-earnings ratio is well ahead of itself, Ozkardeskaya said, meaning there aren’t really any value stocks left.

“You won’t tell me that any stock out there is undervalued right now,” Ozkardeskaya said. “And, looking at the governments’ and central banks’ determination to push more cash in the system, it’s maybe just better to go with your regular, most loved growth stocks and just forget about what’s next.”

Ozkardeskaya also cited UBS research pointing to growth stocks marginally outperforming value stocks in times of liquidity tightening.

If there is a will, there is a way, the Swissquote analyst said. Powell made it clear that he is ready to deal with rising inflation and will keep financing conditions loose.

The buzz

The GameStop GME craze is back. Shares in the videogames retailer rose more than 100% on Wednesday, and are up around 50% further in the Thursday premarket. Trading was twice halted for volatility and Reddit suffered an outage as online personalities
and investors alike weighed in
on the renewed frenzy.

Other favorites of the Reddit group WallStreetBets, which drove a 2000% spike in GameStop stock in January, are moving higher today, with telecom Nokia FI: NOKIAjumping in early trading and shares in AMC AMC, a movie-theater chain, surging in the
premarket
.

There is a lot coming on the U.S. economic front. It is expected that 845,000 Americans filed jobless claims for the week of Feb. 20, a decline from 861,000 in the week prior. The final numbers will come out at 8:30 a.m. Eastern along with continuing jobless claims, as well as a revision on gross domestic product for the fourth quarter of 2020, and figures on durable and core capital goods orders.

Don’t expect bitcoin BTCUSD to be one of the cryptocurrencies that Mastercard MA plans to start allowing on its network. An executive at the payments services giant said bitcoin “doesn’t behave like a payment instrument” and is “too volatile.”

Chiefs at Goldman Sachs GS, Alphabet GOOGL, Intel INTC, and BlackRock BLK were among more than 160 CEOs that have backed President Joe Biden’s $1.9 trillion stimulus plan.

There are now more millionaires living in London than in New York. Research from property consultant Knight Frank also detailed how London has more homes considered “prime” — worth £2 million ($2.8 million) or more — than any other city.

The markets

Stock market futures DJIA FUTURESSP 500 FUTURESNasdaq-100 FUTURES are flat after rallying late in the day on Wednesday, with Dow futures pointing up slightly. European stocks UK: UKXDX: DAXFR: PX1 are playing catch-up with Wall Street, and Asian stocks JP: NIKHK: HSICN: SHCOMP surged.

The chart

Especially in the U.S., financial considerations still seem to dominate personal investment decisions, shown in this chart from Deutsche Bank DB researchers led by Jim Reid. Their research on environmental, social and governance, or ESG, investing sentiment drew on a survey of 460 global market participants.

The tweet

https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/1364690110541926400?s=20

And be sure to read the live blog recap of Powell’s latest semiannual Congressional testimony.

Random reads

This rescued Australian sheep was freed from wool weighing 78 pounds.

The Mars rover’s giant parachute carried a secret message from a puzzle-loving systems engineer.

Need to Know starts early and is updated until the opening bell, but

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, a morning briefing for investors, including exclusive commentary from Barron’s and MarketWatch writers.

Top Stories on MarketWatch

I’m 28, have no debt, a 401(k), Roth IRA and $45K and live in California. Should I save for a house or buy a Tesla Model 3?

‘Greed
is rearing its ugly head and killing brotherly love’: My husband and his brother are at war over an inheritance from a beloved neighbor. What can we do?

GameStop surges nearly 50% in premarket action; AMC gains
extended

Teladoc shares tumble 7% on Q4 results

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