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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

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    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 01 JULY: ASX too open slightly up | Wall street caps a dismal first half | Graphite has a huge role to play in the renewables future… but why hasn’t the market realised it yet? |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 30 JUNE: ASX loses 10.2pc for financial year; bitcoin drops below $US20k | Buru Energy expects ‘record revenue’ from Ungani oil field sales | Japan’s worst factory output slump in two years |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 30 JUNE: ASX to open slightly down | Wall Street wavers | Manganese miners Bryah and OM say there’s even more drilling on their minds |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 29 JUNE: ASX ends four-day winning streak | How ASX BNPL stocks fell from grace | Indian shares slip as inflation fears resurface |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 29 JUNE: ASX to fall | S&P tracks for worst start to the year since 1970 | Caeneus eyes potential for deeper nickel mineralisation at Highway |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 28 JUNE: Energy, utility and materials stocks push ASX up 0.86pc | 4DMedical signs deal to supply lung imaging technology to Australian radiology clinics | Asia stocks edge down |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 28 JUNE: ASX to nudge downwards | Tech stocks weigh on wall street | Swedish nickel explorer Bayrock eyes an age of opportunity in historic transition to green energy |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 27 JUNE: Bank rally powers ASX higher, miners rebound | Latrobe Magnesium draws $10m funding for demo production plant | China’s May industrial profits slump again despite easing COVID curbs |

    Trending Tags

    • FEEDID-6
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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 1 JULY: Late sell-off drags ASX to 0.4pc loss | Bass Oil to acquire onshore assets from Beach Energy and Cooper Energy in $1.3m deal | Shares of Mitsui, Mitsubishi hit by Russia’s move on Sakhalin-2 project |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 01 JULY: ASX too open slightly up | Wall street caps a dismal first half | Graphite has a huge role to play in the renewables future… but why hasn’t the market realised it yet? |

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Chart of the Day: How Hawkish Can You Go?

    Chart of the Day: How Hawkish Can You Go?

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 30 JUNE: ASX loses 10.2pc for financial year; bitcoin drops below $US20k | Buru Energy expects ‘record revenue’ from Ungani oil field sales | Japan’s worst factory output slump in two years |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 30 JUNE: ASX to open slightly down | Wall Street wavers | Manganese miners Bryah and OM say there’s even more drilling on their minds |

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 29 JUNE: ASX ends four-day winning streak | How ASX BNPL stocks fell from grace | Indian shares slip as inflation fears resurface |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 29 JUNE: ASX to fall | S&P tracks for worst start to the year since 1970 | Caeneus eyes potential for deeper nickel mineralisation at Highway |

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    Danny’s View:  Special Edition – Is The Low In For The S&P 500?

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    Chart of the Day: How Hawkish Can You Go?

    Chart of the Day: How Hawkish Can You Go?

    Danny’s View:  Bears Have the Benefit of the Doubt

    Danny’s View: Bears Have the Benefit of the Doubt

    Taylor 3 Day Cycle – Polaris Trading Group

    Taylor 3 Day Cycle – Polaris Trading Group

    Danny’s View: S&P 500 -Quarter Rebalance Makes For A Choppy Trading Day

    Danny’s View:  S&P Enters the Quarter-End Rebalance on a Strong Note

    Danny’s View: S&P Enters the Quarter-End Rebalance on a Strong Note

    Danny’s View:  S&P 500 – Embrace the CHOP

    Danny’s View: S&P 500 – Embrace the CHOP

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader

    Danny’s View:  Bulls Still Have Control But Could Lose It Any Minute

    Danny’s View: Okay, Bulls, Prove It!

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Need to Know: What happened to ‘buy the dip’? Wall Street’s terrible start may just be bad enough to tempt in some buyers, says strategist.

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January 24, 2022
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Need to Know: What happened to ‘buy the dip’? Wall Street’s terrible start may just be bad enough to tempt in some buyers, says strategist.

MarketWatch


Need to Know



January 24, 2022

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What happened to ‘buy the dip’? Wall Street’s terrible start may just be bad enough to tempt in some buyers, says strategist.



By Barbara Kollmeyer

Critical information for the U.S. trading day


AFP via Getty Images

Welcome to the week after the worst week for the Nasdaq (COMP) and S&P 500 (SPX)since March 2020.

While Federal Reserve tightening at the doorstep, a thus-far not great earnings season, continued COVID-19 fallout and even some geopolitical worries have been battering sentiment, here is Jefferies global equity strategist Sean Darby with another view:

“Our sense is that equity markets are experiencing the proverbial ‘shakeout’ thatperhaps should have unfolded in 4Q2021. We were one quarter too early,” said Darby, adding that the team has been “surprised to see how little discounting has taken place in view of faster tightening cycle,” said Darby, in a note to clients.

That said, he doesn’t see much mainstream panic out there, noting investors poured $8.73 billion into emerging-market themed equities and developed Europe last week.

“The bottom line is that risk assets were already underperforming in 2021 (biotech, SPACs) and that the current de-risking has admonished both the more speculative areas and popular, high PE shares mostly in the U.S. credit spreads are widening in the U.S. but have to adjust from record negative real levels,” said Darby.

So OK, investors are dipping into Europe and EM, but when are the dip buyers going to make a dent in the Wall Street selling? Our call of the day, from RBC head of U.S. equity strategy Lori Calvasina and strategist Sara Mahaffy, sees a contrarian buy signal on the horizon.

“There was one piece of very good news for stocks in our weekly indicators last week. Net bullishness on the AAII survey fell to -25.7% last week, close to pandemic lows (-29%),” said the pair. That mostly had to do with bulls being in retreat, while bears have “moved up but are not at past peaks yet,” said Calvasina and Mahaffy.

“On a four-week average, this indicator is at -8%, close to our -10% contrarian buy threshold (below the -10% threshold, the S&P 500 has been up 15% on average over the next 12 months 86% of the time). Note that in 2020, retail investor sentiment remained below the -10% four week average threshold for 12 weeks — but first got there in mid March,” they said.


RBC U.S. Equity Strategy, AAII, Bloomberg. Performance and AAII as of 01/13/2022.

That same indicator was also cited by Yardeni Research’s Dr. Ed. Yardeni, who noted the weekly bull/bear ratio [BBR] dropped to 1.59 during the Jan. 18 week from 4.00 at last year’s peak during the July 13 week.

“The way the market traded this past week, the BBR likely fell closer to 1.00, which in the past has been a remarkably good buying indicator. The market does seem poised for a significant rebound, perhaps after the end of the latest FOMC meeting and Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference on Wednesday,” said Yardeni.

Still, Yardeni said the current panic attack that he thinks began Jan 5., when the Fed released minutes of the Dec. 14-15 Federal Open Market Committee meeting, could “linger for a while.”

“During those previous three taper tantrums in the financial markets, the Fed had room to back off because inflation was so low, and it did so to calm the markets. That’s not likely to happen today because inflation is a serious problem,” he said.

Read:
Is the market crashing? No. Here’s what’s happening to stocks, bonds as the Fed aims to end the days of easy money, analysts say.

The buzz

IBM (IBM) will report after the close, in what will be a huge earnings week, with Microsoft (MSFT), Apple (AAPL), Tesla (TSLA), McDonald’s (MCD) and Robinhood (HOOD) among the names on tap.

An activist investor is set to push Peloton Interactive (PTON) to fire its CEO and seek a sale, as shares have slumped in recent months. Meanwhile, another public relations disaster could be looming, after a key “Billions” character was shown suffering a heart attack while using a Peloton machine.

And watch shares of Kohl’s (KSS), after a consortium backed by activist hedge fund Starboard Value LP reportedly offered $9 billion for the retail chain.

The Markit manufacturing and services purchasing managers indexes are due after the market open, in a week that will bring us a Fed meeting and more inflation data.

China has lifted a month-long COVID-19 lockdown on 13 million residents in X’ian, but anyone who buys anti-fever drugs will be required to test for the virus. And the World Health Health Organization’s Europe director says the omicron coronavirus variant could bring an end to the pandemic in Europe.

And here’s why El Salvador’s president is donning a McDonald’s uniform on his Twitter (TWTR) profile, following bitcoin’s recent plunge. Note, cryptos are back under pressure for Monday, with bitcoin (BTCUSD) pushing further below $35,000.

The chart

Russian stocks (RU:RTS)are collapsing and the ruble (USDRUB) has dropped to a fresh low after the U.S. ordered families of its diplomats to leave Ukraine amid fears of an imminent Russian invasion. Another report said President Joe Biden could send U.S. troops to the Baltic states.

Read how the standoff couldtrigger market shock waves.

The markets

Stock futures (ES00)(YM00)(NQ00)are slipping in some bumpy
premarket trading
after last week’s selling. European stocks (XX:SXXP) are getting hammered and Asia markets were mostly lower. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury (BX:TMUBMUSD10Y) is down 3 basis points to 1.725%.

Read:
Is the market crashing? No. Here’s what’s happening to stocks, bonds as the Fed aims to end the days of easy money, analysts say

The tickers

Here are the most active stock tickers on MarketWatch as of 6 a.m. Eastern.

Ticker
Security name
(TSLA)
Tesla
(GME)
GameStop
(AMC)
AMC Entertainment
(NIO)
NIO
(AAPL)
Apple
(NFLX)
Netflix
(AMZN)
Amazon
(NVDA)
Nvidia
(BBIG)
Vinco Ventures
(BABA)
Alibaba
Random reads

Here’s to screaming, exhausted pandemic-mom style.

A Spanish engineer made a ‘WhatsApp’ device for his noncellphone-using grandma.

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