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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 24 JUNE: ASX to slip | Wall St rallies late, copper drops | Medlab teams up with Malaysian consumer health giant to crack open an eager Asian market |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 23 JUNE: REITs lift ASX 0.3pc, energy, mining, lithium stocks tumble | Netccentric secures e-commerce influencer deal with TikTok | Asia shares struggle, oil tumbles |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 23 JUNE: ASX to rise | US stocks end lower, snapping rally | Sparc to get industry pulling its coat on, with commercial graphene right around the corner |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 22 JUNE: ASX drops 0.2pc; UK inflation hits 40-year high of 9.1pc | Besra Gold’s drilling at Jugan continues to impress | Indian shares drop over 1% after pullback rally fizzles |

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 21 JUNE: ASX bounces 1.4pc, ends 7-day losing streak | Resource Base begins step-out drilling after ‘significant’ REE discovery | China Evergrande sticks to restructuring plan target of before end-July |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 21 JUNE: ASX to rise | European stocks rebound, bitcoin bounce fades | Arizona Lithium gears up for EV supply chain support with 5 year deal for world class lithium lab |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 20 JUNE: ASX drops 0.6pc as miners plunge | Culpeo Minerals discovers new copper zone at Lana Corina project | BOJ maintains ultra-low rates, warns against sharp yen falls |

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

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    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

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Home Futures Softs

None is Bad News

Varner Brothers by Varner Brothers
June 25, 2014
in Softs
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The “old man” said that notice periods were usually opposite what one would think would make sense, and so too is the July 14 notice.  Zero notices normally means the cert stock is so well wanted that price would jump up on the news.  Not so, as the July and the spread turned double ugly today.  July is finally doing what we thought it would, but its too late for specs to participate in what is now a merchant professional game of cards.  Since July traded one extreme on the high side, we now expect it to trade the extreme the other way.  July is still way over-priced, so look out below.

 

We attempted and failed at buying Puts and selling futures for Dec on Monday.  Nothing done, then the rug gets pulled out.  It rained again in Texas, and now we hear of farmers complaining about washouts and seed rot.  Who would have thought?

 

                                                Varner View
No change here, sell Dec on any rally one catches that makes sense, and some that don’t.  We whiffed Monday, so will keep trying.  We have one eye on the CRB, and continue to believe that it has reached a multi-month top at the 670 level.  The ag markets and the CRB have not been well correlated lately, and our bias is for ag markets to move lower through summer, unless there is a genuine weather problem.  Regards Monday’s acreage, we are sticking with something around 11.2 M, but there are much larger issues in numbers elsewhere.Technicals 

Spot July is doing what we thought it would, but we admit to not seeing the 700 point rally in a week from 84c to 91c.  July is in the area of several targets previously mentioned, but the most glaring target is the massive gap below 7975 on the spot chart.  Regards Dec, there is one more negative seasonal due on 6/28.  Sell it.

 

 

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