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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 6 JUNE: ASX drops 1.2pc | Risks of a hard landing have gone up: CBA’s Aird | Austral’s exploration alliance with Glencore could deliver greater copper production |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 6 JUNE: ASX to slip | Apple resets record high, RBA rate call pending | ASX high purity alumina plays |

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 5 JUNE: ASX rallies | banks advance, gold miners tumble | Dimerix raises $8.7 million to advance Phase 3 trial for kidney drug |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 5 JUNE: ASX to surge | RBA policy decision awaited | Lithium trailblazer Iggy Tan is back in the saddle and gearing up for a new James Bay adventure |

    Was Trading on the Floor Easier Than on the Screens?

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 2 JUNE: ASX to rise | S&P 500 lifts in broad rally, techs extend gains | Cannon-Brookes’ Sun Cable win shows the growing appetite for renewables |

    The MIM Has Been Dominating the Sell Side

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 1 JUNE: ASX rises, led by rally in health stocks | Paladin bounces back | Surefire Resources’ drilling confirms extension of mineralisation at Yidby gold project |

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 6 JUNE: ASX drops 1.2pc | Risks of a hard landing have gone up: CBA’s Aird | Austral’s exploration alliance with Glencore could deliver greater copper production |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 6 JUNE: ASX to slip | Apple resets record high, RBA rate call pending | ASX high purity alumina plays |

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 5 JUNE: ASX rallies | banks advance, gold miners tumble | Dimerix raises $8.7 million to advance Phase 3 trial for kidney drug |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 5 JUNE: ASX to surge | RBA policy decision awaited | Lithium trailblazer Iggy Tan is back in the saddle and gearing up for a new James Bay adventure |

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 2 JUNE: ASX to rise | S&P 500 lifts in broad rally, techs extend gains | Cannon-Brookes’ Sun Cable win shows the growing appetite for renewables |

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 1 JUNE: ASX rises, led by rally in health stocks | Paladin bounces back | Surefire Resources’ drilling confirms extension of mineralisation at Yidby gold project |

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    Remember What We’ve Said About Mondays — Slow & Steady

    Was Trading on the Floor Easier Than on the Screens?

    The MIM Has Been Dominating the Sell Side

    Use AI-Driven Rally to Reposition For Worst Months

    Bulls Are in Control, But How Sustainable Is the Current Rally?

    Can We Get an Options Squeeze for “Fry-Day?”

    The Selloff Is Putting Us Back Into The Painful Range Trade

    A Few Individual Stock Trades Stand Out

    Like a Tractor in a Rainstorm, the S&P Is Stuck in the Mud

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Home Futures Softs

None is Bad News

Varner Brothers by Varner Brothers
June 25, 2014
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The “old man” said that notice periods were usually opposite what one would think would make sense, and so too is the July 14 notice.  Zero notices normally means the cert stock is so well wanted that price would jump up on the news.  Not so, as the July and the spread turned double ugly today.  July is finally doing what we thought it would, but its too late for specs to participate in what is now a merchant professional game of cards.  Since July traded one extreme on the high side, we now expect it to trade the extreme the other way.  July is still way over-priced, so look out below.

 

We attempted and failed at buying Puts and selling futures for Dec on Monday.  Nothing done, then the rug gets pulled out.  It rained again in Texas, and now we hear of farmers complaining about washouts and seed rot.  Who would have thought?

 

                                                Varner View
No change here, sell Dec on any rally one catches that makes sense, and some that don’t.  We whiffed Monday, so will keep trying.  We have one eye on the CRB, and continue to believe that it has reached a multi-month top at the 670 level.  The ag markets and the CRB have not been well correlated lately, and our bias is for ag markets to move lower through summer, unless there is a genuine weather problem.  Regards Monday’s acreage, we are sticking with something around 11.2 M, but there are much larger issues in numbers elsewhere.Technicals 

Spot July is doing what we thought it would, but we admit to not seeing the 700 point rally in a week from 84c to 91c.  July is in the area of several targets previously mentioned, but the most glaring target is the massive gap below 7975 on the spot chart.  Regards Dec, there is one more negative seasonal due on 6/28.  Sell it.

 

 

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