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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 24 MARCH: ASX falls 0.2pc; big four banks slide | Macquarie vies for big role in offshore wind | Block dives amid Hindenburg fraud claims |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 23 MARCH: ASX falls 0.7pc at close, nine sectors in the red | PNG hatches $4.5b plan for new LNG train, gas fields | Andrew Forrest sparks a merger and acquisition race for small miners |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 23 MARCH: Wall street fluctuates | The Fed overnight lifted rates as expected | After Neuren’s success, which other ASX health stocks are knocking on the US FDA door? |

    Fed’s on Tap. Big Ranges Expected

    Fed’s on Tap. Big Ranges Expected

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 22 MARCH: ASX jumps 0.9pc | biggest daily gain in 2 months | BPH Energy resumes trading following PEP-11 controversy |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 22 MARCH: ASX to rise, equities rally in Europe, New York | ASX banking stocks outperforming American, European rivals | Is Australia’s lithium moat drying up? |

    2-Day Fed Meeting Starts Today (Back Up Send)

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 21 MARCH: ASX to rally | Dow, S&P 500 advance in broad rebound | Corella perfectly poised to supply high purity alumina to lithium-ion battery markets |

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    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 24 MARCH: ASX falls 0.2pc; big four banks slide | Macquarie vies for big role in offshore wind | Block dives amid Hindenburg fraud claims |

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 23 MARCH: ASX falls 0.7pc at close, nine sectors in the red | PNG hatches $4.5b plan for new LNG train, gas fields | Andrew Forrest sparks a merger and acquisition race for small miners |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 23 MARCH: Wall street fluctuates | The Fed overnight lifted rates as expected | After Neuren’s success, which other ASX health stocks are knocking on the US FDA door? |

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 22 MARCH: ASX to rise, equities rally in Europe, New York | ASX banking stocks outperforming American, European rivals | Is Australia’s lithium moat drying up? |

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

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Home Futures Softs

None is Bad News

Varner Brothers by Varner Brothers
June 25, 2014
in Softs
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The “old man” said that notice periods were usually opposite what one would think would make sense, and so too is the July 14 notice.  Zero notices normally means the cert stock is so well wanted that price would jump up on the news.  Not so, as the July and the spread turned double ugly today.  July is finally doing what we thought it would, but its too late for specs to participate in what is now a merchant professional game of cards.  Since July traded one extreme on the high side, we now expect it to trade the extreme the other way.  July is still way over-priced, so look out below.

 

We attempted and failed at buying Puts and selling futures for Dec on Monday.  Nothing done, then the rug gets pulled out.  It rained again in Texas, and now we hear of farmers complaining about washouts and seed rot.  Who would have thought?

 

                                                Varner View
No change here, sell Dec on any rally one catches that makes sense, and some that don’t.  We whiffed Monday, so will keep trying.  We have one eye on the CRB, and continue to believe that it has reached a multi-month top at the 670 level.  The ag markets and the CRB have not been well correlated lately, and our bias is for ag markets to move lower through summer, unless there is a genuine weather problem.  Regards Monday’s acreage, we are sticking with something around 11.2 M, but there are much larger issues in numbers elsewhere.Technicals 

Spot July is doing what we thought it would, but we admit to not seeing the 700 point rally in a week from 84c to 91c.  July is in the area of several targets previously mentioned, but the most glaring target is the massive gap below 7975 on the spot chart.  Regards Dec, there is one more negative seasonal due on 6/28.  Sell it.

 

 

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