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    Is half carry enough?

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 7 February: ASX sheds 0.5pc | CBA lifts cash rate forecast to 3.85pc; ARB dives | Australia’s rental market is as tough as it has ever been |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

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    $ up, cotton down, easy money.

    Jason Sen: Forex

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    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 6 February: ASX drops 0.25pc | UBS remains dovish on RBA | Gascoyne Resources releases exploration target |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 7 February: ASX sheds 0.5pc | CBA lifts cash rate forecast to 3.85pc; ARB dives | Australia’s rental market is as tough as it has ever been |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 07 FEBRUARY: US stocks extend losses | RBA poised to lift rates by 0.25pc | Will Newmont’s $24 billion Newcrest bid cause a gold takeover cascade? |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 6 February: ASX drops 0.25pc | UBS remains dovish on RBA | Gascoyne Resources releases exploration target |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 06 FEBRUARY: ASX to rise as investors hang hopes on a soft landing | After a successful $4.5 million cap raise and with cancer trial results to come, Kazia is optimistic for 2023 |

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 03 FEBRUARY: ASX to rise | Alphabet, Atlassian tumble on earnings | Aura gets 30-year guarantee for Mauritania uranium project |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 31 January: ASX swings to loss | Retail sales plummet; Megaport sheds 25pc | Avecho Biotechnology progresses CBD softgel trials for insomnia treatment |

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

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  • Charts

    Is half carry enough?

    Jason Sen: FX

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 7 February: ASX sheds 0.5pc | CBA lifts cash rate forecast to 3.85pc; ARB dives | Australia’s rental market is as tough as it has ever been |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 07 FEBRUARY: US stocks extend losses | RBA poised to lift rates by 0.25pc | Will Newmont’s $24 billion Newcrest bid cause a gold takeover cascade? |

    $ up, cotton down, easy money.

    Jason Sen: Forex

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 6 February: ASX drops 0.25pc | UBS remains dovish on RBA | Gascoyne Resources releases exploration target |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 06 FEBRUARY: ASX to rise as investors hang hopes on a soft landing | After a successful $4.5 million cap raise and with cancer trial results to come, Kazia is optimistic for 2023 |

    Dollar dipsey doodle at 10150.

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    Danny’s View:  All About What The Fed Says (Not What It Does)

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    Taylor 3 Day Cycle – Polaris Trading Group

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    The Washington Post – US stocks open higher, putting market on track for 3rd gain

    Danny’s View: Starting The Week With A Needed Pullback

    Danny’s View:  Bulls Are In Control For Now

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Home Futures Softs

None is Bad News

Varner Brothers by Varner Brothers
June 25, 2014
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The “old man” said that notice periods were usually opposite what one would think would make sense, and so too is the July 14 notice.  Zero notices normally means the cert stock is so well wanted that price would jump up on the news.  Not so, as the July and the spread turned double ugly today.  July is finally doing what we thought it would, but its too late for specs to participate in what is now a merchant professional game of cards.  Since July traded one extreme on the high side, we now expect it to trade the extreme the other way.  July is still way over-priced, so look out below.

 

We attempted and failed at buying Puts and selling futures for Dec on Monday.  Nothing done, then the rug gets pulled out.  It rained again in Texas, and now we hear of farmers complaining about washouts and seed rot.  Who would have thought?

 

                                                Varner View
No change here, sell Dec on any rally one catches that makes sense, and some that don’t.  We whiffed Monday, so will keep trying.  We have one eye on the CRB, and continue to believe that it has reached a multi-month top at the 670 level.  The ag markets and the CRB have not been well correlated lately, and our bias is for ag markets to move lower through summer, unless there is a genuine weather problem.  Regards Monday’s acreage, we are sticking with something around 11.2 M, but there are much larger issues in numbers elsewhere.Technicals 

Spot July is doing what we thought it would, but we admit to not seeing the 700 point rally in a week from 84c to 91c.  July is in the area of several targets previously mentioned, but the most glaring target is the massive gap below 7975 on the spot chart.  Regards Dec, there is one more negative seasonal due on 6/28.  Sell it.

 

 

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