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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 21 JANUARY: | ASX gains 0.8pc | Greenhouse study shows AVZ Minerals could achieve lowest carbon footprint at Manono lithium-tin project |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 21 JANUARY: | ASX to rise | Eco-fibre play Nanollose leads ASX healthcare sector with 292% gain |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 20 JANUARY: | ASX hits 11 month high | China shares rise on c.bank’s liquidity boost; EV, healthcare stocks shine |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 20 JANUARY: | ASX to rise | 3 cannabis players discuss how to view the sector through a biotech lens |

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    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 19 JANUARY: | ASX rises 1pc | US eyes Australian market as cannabis investment fund takes stake in Lifespot Health |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 19 JANUARY: | ASX to rise, $A eases amid greenback surge | Battery sector cries out for more graphite as shortfall looms |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 18 JANUARY: | ASX sheds 0.8pc | Tietto Minerals appoints COO to drive development of Abujar gold project | China, Hong Kong stocks climb on upbeat GDP data |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 18 JANUARY: | ASX to fall, global equities lower | Neuroscientific is researching a potential cure for post-COVID lung damage |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 15 JANUARY: | ASX down 0.6pc over the week | Lithium sector springs back to life amid acquisition deals and price rises | China stocks fall as consumer, liquor firms retreat |

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    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 21 JANUARY: | ASX gains 0.8pc | Greenhouse study shows AVZ Minerals could achieve lowest carbon footprint at Manono lithium-tin project |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 20 JANUARY: | ASX to rise | 3 cannabis players discuss how to view the sector through a biotech lens |

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Price & Time: Do or Die Time for the Greenback

DailyFx by DailyFx
Monday, August 5, 2013
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Price & Time: Do or Die Time for the Greenback
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Foreign Exchange Price & Time at a Glance:

EUR/USD:

PT_do_orDie_body_Picture_4.png, Price & Time: Do or Die Time for the Greenback

Charts Created using Marketscope – Prepared by Kristian Kerr

  • EUR/USD failed last week during a cyclical turn window near the 61.8% retracement of the year-to-date range in the 1.3340 area
  • However, while above the 2nd square root progression of last month’s high at 1.3110 our near-term trend bias has to remain higher in the exchange rate
  • Traction over 1.3340 is needed to alleviate concerns that a cyclical peak is in place and trigger a more important move higher
  • Short-term cycle studies are negative over the next couple of days
  • The 2nd square root progression of the June high near 1.3185 is immediate support, but only under 1.3115 turns us negative on the rate

Strategy: Took profit on our euro longs. Like the short side if 1.3115 gives.

Instrument Support 2 Support 1 Spot Resistance 1 Resistance 2
EUR/USD *1.3110 1.3185 1.3250 1.3300 *1.3340

GBP/USD:

PT_do_orDie_body_Picture_3.png, Price & Time: Do or Die Time for the Greenback

Charts Created using Marketscope – Prepared by Kristian Kerr

  • GBP/USD rebounded aggressively last week from just below the 50% retracement of the July range in the 1.5125 area
  • However, while below last month’s 1.5435 cyclical high our trend bias will remain negative in Cable
  • The 4th square root progression of the 2Q13 high near 1.5250 is a near-term downside pivot, but weakness below 1.5125 is really needed to force a more important move lower
  • Short cycles are bit muddled here, but a minor turn window is seen over the next day or so
  • Strength over 1.5435 will turn us positive on the Pound

Strategy: Continue to like the short side while below 1.5435.

Instrument Support 2 Support 1 Spot Resistance 1 Resistance 2
GBP/USD *1.5125 1.5250 1.5345 1.5375 *1.5435

NZD/USD:

PT_do_orDie_body_Picture_2.png, Price & Time: Do or Die Time for the Greenback

Charts Created using Marketscope – Prepared by Kristian Kerr

  • NZD/USD has come under steady downside pressure since failing last month at the 50% retreacement of the late 2011 range in the .8100 area
  • Weakness below .7860 has shifted our trend bias to negative in the Kiwi
  • A convergence of Fibonacci and Gann levels in the .7650 area is now key support and weakness below is needed to trigger the next important decline
  • Tuesday and the end of the week look like minor turn cycle turn windows in the rate
  • The polarity principle suggests the .7860 area is now key resistance and strength back through this level is needed alter the negative structure and turn us positive on the Bird

Strategy: Like selling Kiwi on strength over the next few days.

Instrument Support 2 Support 1 Spot Resistance 1 Resistance 2
NZD/USD 0.7590 *0.7650 0.7760 *0.7860 0.7945

Focus Chart of the Day: FXCM DOLLAR INDEX

PT_do_orDie_body_Picture_1.png, Price & Time: Do or Die Time for the Greenback

The next couple of days look important for the FXCM Dollar Index. We have been looking for a resumption of the broader USD uptrend and the move last week through key resistance at 10,800 seemingly confirmed this notion. If our interpretation of the cyclical picture is correct then the index should form another higher low over the next day or two and move higher again into the end of the week. Traction over the 61.8% retracement of the July range at 10,890 during this time will be further proof that a new leg higher is indeed underway. The 10,800 area is now immediate support, but only weakness below 10,700 would signal that our broader positive cyclical bias is wrong and a more ominous USD decline is in the making.

— Written by Kristian Kerr, Senior Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

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