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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 21 JANUARY: | ASX gains 0.8pc | Greenhouse study shows AVZ Minerals could achieve lowest carbon footprint at Manono lithium-tin project |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 21 JANUARY: | ASX to rise | Eco-fibre play Nanollose leads ASX healthcare sector with 292% gain |

    The Cotton Row Journal, week of 18-22 Jan

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Home Options

Tesla Options Analysis

Options Profits by Options Profits
Friday, October 4, 2013
in Options
0 0
0
Tesla Options Analysis
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SHARES
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Tesla (TSLA) shares have been on fire this year- lifting from the $40 to $195 level in just six months as market participants debated the future of the fully electric car maker led by the charismatic visionary Elon Musk. optionsprofit-330-img
TSLA Options rank 7th among all listed single stocks for total volume over the past month- with average daily volume near 130,000 contracts and more than 700,000 contracts of open interest outstanding.

Yesterday TSLA literally caught fire — with a video showing the battery compartment of a model S on fire hitting youtube before 2pm and becoming widely noted in the early afternoon. Shares sold off violently from $185 to 175 in about 30minutes and TSLA quickly issued a press release explaining the fire was caused by an accident, but the volatility has persisted as traders both pro and retail began to jump in and out of the stock.

Option flow caught fire as well in the last 90mins of the day- with nearly 300,000 contract trading by end of session–the 5th busiest day ever for the name.

The volume and volatility chart shows ends in a clear X where the vol and p/c skew spike as shares decline, and current implied volatility is well over 65% in all terms- which implies daily moves near 3% for the forseeable future.

Is this the end of the bubble-like run for TSLA shares? Or is this simply a pause for a company that is revolutionizing and set to dominate the auto market. That’s the $64,000 question here. My feeling is that shares will continue to whip- but that the fire issue will be extinguished quickly. For traders who like the fast lane (ok, sorry, no more auto puns) I’d consider the one-day Oct 4 160-165 put spread sale. Bid about $0.70 on the screen, the trade might require a strong stomach, but present a pretty simple 6:1 risk/reward that will play out over the next 36 hours, or so.

OptionsProfits can be followed on Twitter at twitter.com/OptionsProfits

 

By Henry Schwartz

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