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    Can We Get an Options Squeeze for “Fry-Day?”

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 26 MAY: ASX drifts up, but posts weekly loss of 1.7pc | Andrew Forrest ‘unconvinced of the commercial viability’ of Sun Cable’s project | New moves driving Australia’s aim to become a global hydrogen powerhouse |

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    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 25 MAY: ASX to fall, Wall Street and Europe sell-off | US Treasury secretary Janet Yellen warned the country would run out of cash by June 1 | Alma raises $2m for more drilling at Briggs copper project, eyes MRE update in Q3 |

    The Selloff Is Putting Us Back Into The Painful Range Trade

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 24 MAY: ASX drops, weighed down by BHP, Fortescue | France bans short-haul flights to cut carbon emissions | BMG Resources strikes pegmatites in Coolgardie |

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    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 25 MAY: ASX to fall, Wall Street and Europe sell-off | US Treasury secretary Janet Yellen warned the country would run out of cash by June 1 | Alma raises $2m for more drilling at Briggs copper project, eyes MRE update in Q3 |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 24 MAY: ASX drops, weighed down by BHP, Fortescue | France bans short-haul flights to cut carbon emissions | BMG Resources strikes pegmatites in Coolgardie |

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 23 MAY: ASX slips at close; St Barbara shares drop 3.3pc | UK inflation rate may fall at sharpest pace in 30 years | BHP warns of $1.3 billion cost blow from new IR laws |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 23 MAY: ASX to open higher | Nasdaq leads gains on Wall Street | New high-quality investors back Widgie’s $12m placement to fund continued Mt Edwards growth |

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    • MrTopStep

    Can We Get an Options Squeeze for “Fry-Day?”

    The Selloff Is Putting Us Back Into The Painful Range Trade

    A Few Individual Stock Trades Stand Out

    Like a Tractor in a Rainstorm, the S&P Is Stuck in the Mud

    ‘Thin to Win’ Is Today’s Theme

    3 Lessons From My Mistake. Opex & Powell Are on Tap!

    Finally a Break Out of the Range. Can The Move Last?

    UPDATE: More Profit Trimming

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The Cotton Row Journal, week of 8-12 March

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March 11, 2021
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90c No Problem
Another good week in a long line for sales and exports.  Sales at 225 krb had China high at 62, Viet 2nd at 31, and Turk 3rd at 30.  New crop sales were splendid at 92 krb, led by Mex with 56 and Turk for 23.  Combined sales were 317, roughly avg since Nov.  Shipments were hot at 375 krb, with the target avg now 293. 

Weather forecast for the Llano Estacado has crawfished to a mere 1/4", and that's it for 10 days, according to Weather Underground.  Another service shows the east half of 1N can get 1.5", the west half 1", ditto for the north of 2N.  It shows the north part of 1S getting 1/2", and the further south less and less.  Rain chances start Fri late afternoon and go till about noon Sat.

 

 

                                                Varner View

Weather and demand remain locked in to the bull side, aided by row crop alternatives that are clinging to a high level of profitable prices.  The only thing a bear can point to is a modest rise in the $, and bloated spec long positions.  The uncertainty surrounding the Uighur issue and child labor in Xinjiang has convinced some traders that China has bought more cotton than needed so as to get ahead of bans.  Supposedly they are now buying more yarn than cotton to circumvent the ban.  Difficult to know, but we don't see the ban as being effective, and China will work an end run.  Glancing at the world balance sheet after the report, it remains larded with too much cotton, 95 Mb in the end.  If the Chinese hoarding years are excluded, this is the 2nd largest world carryout all-time, as is the 80% ratio.  Mother Nature has chopped off 10 Mb from this year's supply, but this market is overly supplied.  The location of much of the stocks is what has prompted a run to 95c. 
 

                                           Technicals

This is the 2nd week of Mar, and is exact timing for the Fib count of 144 months from the major low in Mar 2008 at 4001c.  Next week is exact timing for a 233 month Fib count from the major low of Oct 2001 at 2820.  The end of this month is the 1 year anniversary of the major low at 4835. 


 

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