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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 15 JANUARY: | ASX down 0.6pc over the week | Lithium sector springs back to life amid acquisition deals and price rises | China stocks fall as consumer, liquor firms retreat |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 15 JANUARY: | ASX to rise | Wall St lifts on Biden stimulus |The potential life-changers on Tolga Kumova’s radar in 2021 |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 14 JANUARY: | ASX gains 0.4pc | Consumer firms drag China shares lower; Alibaba, Tencent boost Hong Kong | Azure Minerals starts accelerated exploration and resource drilling program at Andover |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 14 JANUARY: | ASX to edge up | Here’s what ASX stockspert Bhavdip143 likes so much about the $35m Chimeric IPO |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 13 JANUARY: | ASX snaps loosing streak | China stocks mixed on profit-taking; consumer, healthcare down | BPH Energy’s investee Advent closer to drilling Baleen gas target, carbon capture and storage research |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 12 JANUARY: | ASX falls 0.3pc | iCandy Interactive offers sneak peek into first of four new mobile games | China stocks rebound, Hong Kong hovers near 1-year high |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 12 JANUARY: | ASX to edge up, Wall St retreats | Airbnb breaks into top 10 US stocks for Australian investors |

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    The Cotton Row Journal, week of 11-15 Jan

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    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 15 JANUARY: | ASX down 0.6pc over the week | Lithium sector springs back to life amid acquisition deals and price rises | China stocks fall as consumer, liquor firms retreat |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 15 JANUARY: | ASX to rise | Wall St lifts on Biden stimulus |The potential life-changers on Tolga Kumova’s radar in 2021 |

    The Cotton Row Journal, week of 11-15 Jan

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    NASDOG.com: Corn, What Changed Today?

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Varner Bros. – Cotton Row Journal

Varner Brothers by Varner Brothers
Monday, June 3, 2019
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Corn = Cotton 2010

Corn may be entering the type year that cotton had in the market year 2010/11.  After China announced and followed through on an historical inventory build, it became possible to zero out the US end stocks.  Corn has reached this line in theory, with many analysts opining failed and prevent acres that wipe out corn’s end stocks to nothing.  Cotton’s function in its zero year was not only to discourage use, but to force returns.  If failed and prevent corn acres are really 9 to 13 M, then corn will have its own mirror image of cotton, circa spring 2011.  

We turned in a 23.0 Mb US production, a little above our recent estimate of 22.5 Mb, but below the almost perfect situation of today which calculated 24.5 Mb.  Then there are shipments, which are beginning to have that look of love.  Today’s figure of 443 krb was best this year, and best since 1st week of June 2018.  The target avg of 427 krb suddenly looks realistic.  Sales of 290 krb were very good, with Viet high at 121 and India 2nd at 78.  New crop sales were good at 136 krb.  Combined sales were 427 krb, very good.

Varner View

New crop balance sheet is beginning to swell in both directions, with a huge crop and a huge export figure.  With the jump in shipments, a slightly larger old crop figure to about 14.825 Mb is our latest fine-tuning.  Then there is the old crop roll and new crop sales total, pushing up the value for the first week of Aug to something near last year.  That was 8.47 Mrb, a record.  The big issue with assuming that 2019/20 will be a banner shipment year is that there is poor correlation between assuming that a year will end as it begins.  Things change often.  We are negative, but good demand and the corn fireworks keeps us from doing much.  Besides, our exit on short July at 6525 was good enough to coast for a while.

Technicals

A rather dull week as we head into the 3rd of June, otherwise known as Ode to Billie Joe day.  Cotton has satisfied initial retrace levels, but there are others all the way to 7525 July and 7425 Dec.  Seasonal is up to 6/13, as is momentum.



As always, please use protective buy and sell stops when trading futures and options.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. Any decision to purchase or sell as a result of the opinions expressed in the forum will be the full responsibility of the person(s) authorizing such transaction(s). BE ADVISED TO ALWAYS USE PROTECTIVE STOP LOSSES AND ALLOW FOR SLIPPAGE TO MANAGE YOUR TRADE(S) AS AN INVESTOR COULD LOSE ALL OR MORE THAN THEIR INITIAL INVESTMENT. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.

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