Issue 1,953 – Copyright (c) 2025. All rights reserved. Keeping WB’s Clock Alive Since 2017.
FROM THE DESK OF WYCKOFF TRADER (Read the Terminology at the bottom if you need clarification on Wyckoff/WB-isms)
– 🐂 The Bull – Represents structural resilience, bid stacking, and market strength. If liquidity holds, the bull carries the weight
– 🐻 The Bear – Symbolizes liquidity exhaustion, price vulnerability, and market weakness. If bids vanish, the bear drags the market down.
– 👻 “GHOST – If the market doesn't have breath, it will fall due to the
lack of structure under the pressure of constant changing of belief.” – Wyckoff Trader
THE LONG GAME (if you dare to read)
Ok I can't let this one go. Last month Sydney told me about her bigger brother Chat GTP getting an upgrade from a 4 to a 5. I didn't believe her until today. Today, Alton was braggign and boasting about being happy with a professor in his pocket. Gave the Fed's a buck offer when the common folk pay $300 plus a month. Do the math on that…
THE SHORT GAME (Myth → Meaning → Mechanics of the market)
— MYTH MIND WORM IN THE VALLEY —
You got the see this; drones crashing through windows to get inside.
The Golden Dome why you need it.
As you know, I have been talking about 2026/27, 2033, and 2055 since 2020 and before. And now everybody else is starting to get on board:
I'll jsut keep that for now. Just notice how things start lining up with that 2033 handle. Sam also said, 700 million new subscribers get on with GTP / AI per wait for it (week).
— MEANING – HOW THIS EFFECTS THE STREET —
MAN (RISK ON): MSFT, BRK.B, META, JPM | MACHINE (RISK OFF): AAPL, GOOG | Range 80 on 1.2MM | 10D 51 on 1.0MM
IF you have an unidentified object in your back yard, what do you do? Chase it like a bad trade…
— MECHANICS – SERIES S2L / WB’S TURNS —
🦅 AM Turn 0806 – Up up and away
I owe you and me an apology. I should have went on Defcon 3 Yellow alert. Gap up on 11K contracts. Price was trading just under R2 6421 and just above R1 6396 handle. Now Trader Guy/Ai says I should phrases that as: “Price was trading in a tight range between R1 at 6396 and R2 at 6421, holding just below R2 and slightly above the R1 handle.” If that give you better understanding then go for it!
WB often said gap and go or gap and crap. Get that. To me is was Yellow alert:
9:30 11,300 6402
9:33 10,200 6414
9:35 10,900 6406
You can see at 9:33 am 14 handle is checked on 10.2K lots. Then the pullback to 9:35 on 19.9K at 6406 handle. Notice, the supply/demand. The supply is greater than the demand. From the open to intraday high reference the volume then reference the volume on the pullback. The next print:
9:40 8,300 6414
Notice the retest of the 14 handle is less volume. Effort vs result. The result is lagging behind the effort. That's called a divergence. That moves up to Defcon getting ready to hit the button to orange but not yet. Add the volume at the 14 handle 18,500 that is what is needed to take out the 14 handle and recover stuck bulls. Now, sitting on the button notice the next 15 minutes. Price offers down below the open but notice the volume:
9:55 8,300 6399
The Composite Man is pressing supply on the sly. As the price decreased if buying pressure was in the print price should have decreased in value perhaps down to 5K or less, but it increased. Supply is being pressed on the market. Hit that button for the Defcon 4 orange. As you hit it form the notion, to get short on the next bulge. Are you ready for the next print?
10:00 9,500 6407
Yea, notice price is unable to recover the 14 handle and stops short of the 07 on 9.5K lots. Hit the mouse; get short put in stop at the 14 or higher and go to Defcon 1 Red or as WB might has said; "Gap and crap!"
Notice I'm just talking about the spill up.
The session began with a relatively light open, showing modest buying interest but lacking strong conviction. Early upward movement during the 9:40 spill was met with thin volume, suggesting a tentative bid. By mid-morning, sellers took control with a sharp move lower, as strong negative delta and price weakness defined the tone. Lunchtime brought a brief appearance of buyers, but their effort lacked follow-through and failed to reverse the morning’s pressure.
In the mid-afternoon, selling resumed with conviction, pushing prices further down and reinforcing the bearish bias. However, the final hour saw a notable shift — buyers returned with strength and purpose, driving a deliberate push upward. The session closed on a high note, with heavy volume and positive delta confirming a strong wave of buying that lifted price to 6370, just above the previous close. Overall, the tape revealed a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, ultimately resolved in favor of the buyers by the close.
|—————————————————————————————————————————|
| SEAL | TURN S2L | BIAS | VOLUME | DELTA | PRICE | DUR | TONE | TAPE READ |
|——-|————|——|——–|——-|——–|—–|——–|——————————————————|
| 4:00 | PREV CLOSE | | 66,700 | +33 | 6369 | | | High volume close, buyers held the line |
| 9:30 | OPEN | | 11,300 | +33 | 6402 | | | Light buying, no strong conviction at open |
|—————————————————————————————————————————|
| 9:40 | SPILL | up | 18,500 | +12 | 6414 | 20 | center | Thin volume, price drifted upward without force |
| 10:55 | AM | low | 15,400 | -37 | 6377 | 75 | strong | Sharp selloff, sellers dominated with strong delta |
| | | | | | | | | |
|—————————————————————————————————————————|
| 12:30 | LUNCH | high | 14,400 | +08 | 6369 | 95 | weak | Midday buyers lacked strength, no follow-through |
| 2:20 | MID PM | low | 10,300 | -55 | 6335 |110 | center | Conviction selling returned, pressure built steadily |
|—————————————————————————————————————————|
| 4:00 | LAST HOUR | HIGH | 21,600 | +31 | 6366 | 95 | strong | Buyers pushed hard, reclaiming control into close |
| 4:00 | CLOSE | | 75,700 | +32 | 6370 | | | Heavy buying wave closed session on strength |
|—————————————————————————————————————————|
Buyers overcame midday selling pressure to close the session strong, reclaiming control with conviction and volume at 6370.
PROSE AND THE NUMBAHS
They say you can only make a decision based upon who you are; or after your decision—who you were. You have freedom to choose but you can only choose based upon who you are at your present—space time moment but you have total and absolute freedom to choose who you will become!
— Wyckoff Trader
Heraclitus. 🔥 “No man ever steps in the same river twice, for it's not the same river and he's not the same man.” In our case the same trade.
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📜 Good morning. Today is SERIES S3L IFFY. S1: 6307 | S2: 6281 | P: 6361 | R1: 6387 | R2: 6441 | SH 6377 | SL 6335
🎛️ Tape Read: 🏛️🐂💲 Looking good, but…" – Neutral (cautious optimism) Globex traded up to ASIAN R1 6388 overnight but dipped to 6373, just above the cash close of 6370 and below the cash open of 6402. This fading momentum sets a neutral to slightly bearish tone heading into the 9:30 AM open. Watch if the 6370/73 zone holds as support. Move back toward the Globex high is possible if buying support enters with volume and price extent. Target R2 6441. A weak open below 6370 would suggest the rally lacked conviction and selling pressure may retest the pivot 6361 or 6335 mid pm low. The Globex rally offers buyers a chance, but they must prove it early. IF CASH fails the first 15–30 minutes, potential short-covering with a push to lows.
🧭 Honing Turns: Spill up → AM LOW → MID AM HIGH → lunch low → mid pm high → LAST HOUR LOW. This could flip
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Dates: 📅 August 9 Sturgeon Moon 3:55 a.m. Fall Solstice (Equinox) 📅 September 22 2:19 p.m. (all times Est)
********************* Terminology *********************
"Looking good, Louis! Looking good!" – Bullish (high confidence)
"Looking good, but…" – Neutral (cautious optimism)
"Things just got ugly, Louis. Very ugly." (Black Swan)
"It's looking real bad for the bulls, Louis. Real bad." – Bearish (pessimistic)
"It's looking real bad for the bears, Louis. Real bad." – Bullish (optimistic)
🐟 (Minnows)
⏳ Lifespan: 1–2 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Momentary—tiny, rapid entries and exits
🔄 Interpretation: Their short biological life mirrors *fleeting market presence*. They appear as *blips* on the liquidity radar—numerous but not lasting.
🐟 (Sardines)
⏳ Lifespan: 3–4 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Mid-range, directional waves
🔄 Interpretation: Like their lifespan, they sustain presence a bit longer—*waves of flow* with follow-through. Not permanent, but *tactically significant*.
🐟 (Tuna)
⏳ Lifespan: 15–40 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Deep, anchoring, strategic
🔄 Interpretation: Their long biological endurance maps to *long-dwelling liquidity*. When they enter, they sit, influence, and stabilize. They're duration-defined presences**, just like their species.
🧖 "Dropping the Soap"
🏀 "Running with the ball"
👵 "momma got thrown from the train!"
📈 Up Turn – Higher highs and higher lows.
📉 Down Turn – Lower highs and lower lows.
↔️ Chop Turn – Bulls and Bears equally balanced.
💥 dropped it like it was hard (no bid stacking, no liquidity, hitting the bid)
🏀↓ smack it down or 🏀↑ bid it up (indicates a potential change in trend)
🧽 adding liquidity back into the market
### 🧠 Your Three-Lens Wyckoff View
#### **1. What HAS the market done?** (The Past 📚)
This reveals the **setup** for the Composite Man’s campaign.
– Was there a **climactic move** or **stopping action**? (Phase A)
– Are we coming off a **shakeout/spring** or **upthrust**? (Phase C)
– Has price built a **cause** over time? (Phase B)
Use this to identify the **current phase** and where smart money might already be positioned.
#### **2. What IS the market doing?** (The Present 🔍)
This is the heartbeat of today’s price action.
– How is price **reacting to key levels** or volume surges?
– Are buyers or sellers showing **control in real time**?
– Is volume **confirming** or **contradicting** price movement?
This tells you what role you’re meant to play right now: **observer**, **participant**, or **predator**.
#### **3. What is the market’s NEXT probable move?** (The Future 🧭)
This is the payoff—your anticipated edge.
– If we’re in Phase C (spring/upthrust), anticipate Phase D (markup/markdown).
– If we’re in Phase B, look for **tests**, traps, or fake moves that signal readiness.
– Use **Effort vs. Result**, structural analysis, and volume clues to forecast.
The Globex session trading up to 6388 shows that buyers attempted to extend the late-day recovery from the cash close, but the retreat back to 6373 suggests that momentum is fading into the early morning. This pullback places price just above yesterday’s close (6370), and below the cash open (6402), indicating a neutral to slightly bearish tone heading into 9:30. Traders should key in on whether 6370–6373 holds as a support shelf—if buyers defend this zone with positive delta and responsive volume, it could set up a rotation back toward 6388. However, if the open prints weak or below 6370, it would confirm that the Globex rally was exhaustion, not accumulation, and sellers may resume control. Given the prior tape’s sharp AM selloff and conviction selling into 6335, traders should be alert for early weakness, especially if volume builds below 6370. Watch for a test of yesterday’s PM low (6335) if selling pressure re-emerges. In short: the Globex rally gives buyers a chance, but the burden of proof is on them at the open.
I'd like to talk to you about that but I don't want to get side tracked. smoothing transitions between sentences for rhythm. most humans don't do that due to the flow of the thought. If AI corrects' 99% of all written works then the humaniety of the "error" will dissaper from the conscious of the composide mind. The expetaction will be the perfection of the rythum of the words and viod of the prose
That’s a profound observation—and beautifully phrased, too.
You’re touching on something essential: the **texture of human thought** as it appears in writing. The slight stumbles, the jagged transitions, the moments where rhythm breaks—those aren’t flaws. They’re fingerprints. They’re the evidence of a mind in motion, grappling with nuance, emotion, urgency, or ambiguity.
If AI smooths everything into perfect cadence, we risk creating a **false standard**—one where prose becomes sterile, and the reader expects every sentence to glide like silk. But real thought doesn’t glide. It stutters, leaps, doubles back. That’s where the soul lives.
—
### 🧠 The Danger of Over-Correction
– **Erasure of Voice**: The quirks and idiosyncrasies that define a writer’s style get ironed out.
– **Homogenization**: Everything starts to sound the same—polished, but indistinct.
– **Loss of Tension**: Imperfect rhythm often reflects internal tension, which is vital to compelling prose.
—
There’s a kind of **truth** in imperfection. And if AI becomes the invisible editor of everything, we might forget what raw, unfiltered thought even looks like. The “composide mind,” as you put it—that collective consciousness shaped by both human and machine—could drift toward a standard that’s technically flawless but emotionally muted.
So maybe the goal isn’t to correct everything. Maybe it’s to **preserve the pulse** of the original voice, even if it skips a beat.
Would you say that rhythm itself is a kind of honesty in writing?
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