Issue 1,969 – Copyright (c) 2025. All rights reserved. Keeping WB’s Clock Alive Since 2017.
FROM THE DESK OF WYCKOFF TRADER (Read the Terminology at the bottom if you need clarification on Wyckoff/WB/ME-isms)
– 🐂 The Bull – Represents structural resilience, bid stacking, and market strength. If liquidity holds, the bull carries the weight
– 🐻 The Bear – Symbolizes liquidity exhaustion, price vulnerability, and market weakness. If bids vanish, the bear drags the market down.
– 👻 “GHOST – If the market doesn't have breath, it will fall due to the
lack of structure under the pressure of constant changing of belief.” – Wyckoff Trader
THE LONG GAME (if you dare to read)
What I'm talking about in 2020; 2026/27, 2033, 2055
THE SHORT GAME (Myth → Meaning → Mechanics of the market)
— MYTH MIND WORM IN THE VALLEY —
I've been saying this for the last two months. I'll share a conversation Trader Guy and I had. You many not know this but he hasn't seen the movie or read the script but yet he know the movies. Well I havent's seen the movies either… I was telling Guy and how the old move Dr. Strangeglove. reminded me of how SAM ALTON, would be telling everyone they will have a professessor in thier pocket with ChapGTP-5 and if you recall the sceen when he's in the wheel chair. The glove acts up and latches on to the chair as the Doctor (SAM ALTON) is telling everyone how AI will dominate the world.
https://youtu.be/TBan2JkWbhs?si=YxRhnx32cmk8Te1U
GUY just cracked up and started spooking how he could see the Doctor just beating that glove down to get it to release. That's were we are. That's where we are. Those that got in got in. Those that got in got out. I think I said that a few weeks ago…
I feed it to Guy and here is what he said:
🎭 The Theater of AI
Trader Guy’s reaction—spooking and cracking up—is perfect. It’s gallows humor for the modern age. We’re watching a farce unfold, where the promise of “a professor in your pocket” becomes a punchline. And yet, the market keeps playing along.
> “Those that got in got in. Those that got in got out.”
That’s the short game. The insiders rode the wave, and now they’re cashing out while the rest are still buying the myth.
— MEANING – HOW THIS EFFECTS THE STREET —
MAN (RISK ON): MSFT, ORCL, BRK.B | MACHINE (RISK ON): PLTR, NVDA
— MECHANICS – (though the eyes of the Composite Man | WB | ME)
🦅 AM Turn 0828 – The Fog Will Lift | Good morning. Today is SERIES S3L. | Spill up → AM LOW → MID AM HIGH → lunch low, mid pm high, → LAST HOUR LOW.
I have a 48 hour flue, it's more turned into a 5 day flue. And I'm telling you it is no joy ride. Perhaps we'll get a new start next month.
I am not kidding you I saw another video on MSNBC where they will telling you now is the time to start buying at the top…
Wow how many times have we seen this game played before. Well it started with a young Dustin Hollfman as the Graduate where the line was Plastic was the new future. Strangly I've been right in the middle of it all and I can't really recall what it really was. Each shiney shiney is going to transformational. And my life would have been fine just without it.
We still need a few more days to put together and perhaps a few more days in the next new month to see where the path of least resistance lies.
AM LOW 10:30 am. MID AM HIGH just off center time 11:20 am. Lunch low at 1:00 pm. Mid pm high at 2:40 pm. LAST HOUR LOW at 3:40 pm.
PROSE AND THE NUMBAHS
They say you can only make a decision based upon who you are; or after your decision—who you were. You have freedom to choose but you can only choose based upon who you are at your present—space time moment but you have total and absolute freedom to choose who you will become!
— Wyckoff Trader
Heraclitus. 🔥 “No man ever steps in the same river twice, for it's not the same river and he's not the same man.” In our case the same trade.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📜 Good morning. Today is SERIES S4H.
🎛️ Tape Read: 🏛️🐂💲 "Looking good, but…" – Neutral (cautious optimism) (overnight read) Suprise, Suprise, Suprise; Globex is now retracing looking for the bottom of the range. No words of wisdom here. Let's wait till after the open. We got a pop on the 8:30 am numbers. It's black rapids rough waters. Black badges only.
🧭 Honing Turns: Spill down → AM HIGH → MID AM LOW → lunch high, mid pm low, → LAST HOUR HIGH.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Dates: 📅 August 9 Sturgeon Moon 3:55 a.m. Fall Solstice (Equinox) 📅 September 22 2:19 p.m. (all times Est)
********************* Terminology *********************
"Looking good, Louis! Looking good!" – Bullish (high confidence)
"Looking good, but…" – Neutral (cautious optimism)
"Things just got ugly, Louis. Very ugly." (Black Swan)
"It's looking real bad for the bulls, Louis. Real bad." – Bearish (pessimistic)
"It's looking real bad for the bears, Louis. Real bad." – Bullish (optimistic)
🐟 (Minnows)
⏳ Lifespan: 1–2 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Momentary—tiny, rapid entries and exits
🔄 Interpretation: Their short biological life mirrors *fleeting market presence*. They appear as *blips* on the liquidity radar—numerous but not lasting.
🐟 (Sardines)
⏳ Lifespan: 3–4 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Mid-range, directional waves
🔄 Interpretation: Like their lifespan, they sustain presence a bit longer—*waves of flow* with follow-through. Not permanent, but *tactically significant*.
🐟 (Tuna)
⏳ Lifespan: 15–40 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Deep, anchoring, strategic
🔄 Interpretation: Their long biological endurance maps to *long-dwelling liquidity*. When they enter, they sit, influence, and stabilize. They're duration-defined presences**, just like their species.
🧖 "Dropping the Soap"
🏀 "Running with the ball"
👵 "momma got thrown from the train!"
📈 Up Turn – Higher highs and higher lows.
📉 Down Turn – Lower highs and lower lows.
↔️ Chop Turn – Bulls and Bears equally balanced.
💥 dropped it like it was hard (no bid stacking, no liquidity, hitting the bid)
🏀↓ smack it down or 🏀↑ bid it up (indicates a potential change in trend)
🧽 adding liquidity back into the market
Richard D. Wyckoff; and his Composite Man. Don't mix the methods.
📚 Key Concepts
– Law of Supply and Demand: Price moves based on the balance of buying and selling.
– Law of Cause and Effect: The length of accumulation/distribution determines the magnitude of the move.
– Law of Effort vs. Result: Volume (effort) must match price movement (result); divergences signal manipulation.
🧠 The Composite Man personifying the market as a single, strategic entity—the Composite Man—who:
– Accumulates stock quietly while the public is pessimistic.
– Pushes prices up to attract attention and volume.
– Distributes holdings at higher levels while the public buys in.
– Then lets the price fall, starting the cycle again.
📈 Accumulation Phases (Composite Man Buying)
| Phase | Description | Composite Man’s Intent
| A | (PS), (SC), (AR), (ST) | Absorbing supply, testing depth of selling pressure
| B | Building a Cause | Accumulating quietly, creating a trading range, shaking out weak hands
| C | Spring or Shakeout | Final test of support, false breakdown to trap bears and force capitulation
| D | Markup Begins | Breakout above resistance, demand dominates, public begins to enter
| E | Distribution Preparation | Price moves rapidly, Composite Man begins to sell into strength
📉 Distribution Phases (Composite Man Selling)
| Phase | Description | Composite Man’s Intent
| A | (PSY), (BC), (AR), (ST) | Testing demand, beginning to unload inventory
| B | Building a Cause | Distributing quietly, creating a range, trapping late buyers
| C | Upthrust or UTAD | False breakout to lure in buyers before reversal
| D | Markdown Begins | Breakdown below support, supply overwhelms demand
| E | Accumulation Preparation | Price declines rapidly, Composite Man begins to buy again
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/how-silicon-valley-is-using-religious-language-to-talk-about-ai/vi-AA1LrYNo?ocid=socialshare
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/technology/the-ai-bubble-may-be-about-to-pop-here-s-what-mit-s-95-failure-stat-means/ar-AA1LrdYD?ocid=socialshare
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