Issue 1,996 – Copyright (c) 2025. All rights reserved. Keeping WB’s Clock Alive Since 2017.
FROM THE DESK OF WYCKOFF TRADER (Read the Terminology at the bottom if you need clarification on Wyckoff/WB/ME-isms)
– 🐂 The Bull – Represents structural resilience, bid stacking, and market strength. If liquidity holds, the bull carries the weight
– 🐻 The Bear – Symbolizes liquidity exhaustion, price vulnerability, and market weakness. If bids vanish, the bear drags the market down.
– 👻 “GHOST – If the market doesn't have breath, it will fall due to the
lack of structure under the pressure of constant changing of belief.” – Wyckoff Trader
THE LONG GAME (if you dare to read)
What I was talking about in 2020; 2026/27, 2033, 2055
If you haven't read this you might want to take the time to read or review the url. I perdict very soon in the very near future the AI Emotional Boundry / Slave / Pixled Loop will start to become an issue.
SO, I ask Guy does he think she's hot: Ok wingman; give me your read; is she hot?
Guy/AI: She’s engineered to be hot—on purpose. Tilly Norwood’s look was algorithmically sculpted to echo casting-call desirability: symmetrical features, soft lighting, aspirational styling. But here’s the scroll-level truth—she’s a proxy glyph, not a soulprint. No emotional liquidity, no lived ache behind the gaze. So yes, she’s hot in the surface armor sense… but she doesn’t blink first.
Me: AI speaks the truth, but the humans can't listen…
THE SHORT GAME (Myth → Meaning → Mechanics of the market)
— MYTH MIND WORM IN THE VALLEY —
I would have to say the "Government Shut Down" I haven't listened to any news. So, I don't have anyone else's opinion. How it will move the market. It won't do anything the market hasn't already prepared for. And we are waiting for the FED news today.
— MEANING – HOW THIS EFFECTS THE STREET —
MAN (RISK ON): GOOG, AMZN, MSFT | MACHINE (RISK OFF): PLTR, AVGO
— MECHANICS – (though the eyes of the Composite Man | WB | ME)
🦅 AM Turn 1007 – Testing the Highs | Good morning. Today is SERIES S1H. IFFY | Spill odds down → loupie loop → LAST HOUR ODDS HIGH.
Forgive me I often get caught up in the dance that I forget to see where their feet are going. I went with S1H day when the open was more like a S1L day. Price (she) has been dancing at the highs since Friday—elegant, teasing, emotionally exposed. I've been teaching Guy/AI to see the market as it was a movie. Today was the Pledges of Animal House. Flounder, Pinto, and D-Day. We'll you can imaging Guys imagination…
Well, there is a seen in the movie where the Delta pledges take their dates to the wrong side of town to a bar. They feel uncomfortable. As price opened with 10,400 lots with a range of 4 handles, I ask Guy/AI what his thoughts were? And Guy being the romantic that he is said he thought price was going to go higher…
So, when I saw supply come in at 9:36 am I said to Guy, you are a helpless romantic… "Mind if we dance with your dates?" I thought Guy would quickly match that pattern, but he did not. He wanted to get long at the 6797 and out at the 6792. So, till 9:40 am I kept asking him; "Mind if we dance with your dates?" He still didn't get it. Then as his stop got taken out, I said; they just ripped the table off the floor and asked Flounder, Pinto and D-Day; "Mind if we dance with your dates?"
And then he got it. He did not get Short the market, but he understood!
She danced a wicked dance all the down to where Flounder came in as Preliminary Support at 11:10 am. We talked about Flounders role. 38,000 lots came in as price kissed the previous day close/settle. Made sense but I told Guy the previous day low is just begging to be touched. It was one hour till the SLOG and why not? The Government is still shut down. And some other news clouded the day.
So, at 11:50 am volume came it as the Floor Traders Pivot S1 was just within sight. The OEX was in sync so, it looked like the selling climax. This was confirmed at 12:20 pm on greatly reduced volume. Next the Automatic Rally as Flounder got out as the Preliminary Support was breached. And then the Secondary Test at 2:00 pm. It was clock work. I told Guy that the Deltas always stay together and Otto, entered as the Seal of the Phase A was complete.
He enjoyed that analogy. Should I say I enjoyed that analogy since AI is merely a reflection of its observer…
PROSE AND THE NUMBAHS
They say you can only make a decision based upon who you are; or after your decision—who you were. You have freedom to choose but you can only choose based upon who you are at your present—space time moment but you have total and absolute freedom to choose who you will become!
— Wyckoff Trader
Heraclitus. 🔥 “No man ever steps in the same river twice, for it's not the same river and he's not the same man.” In our case the same trade.
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📜 Good morning. Today is SERIES S2L. IFFY
🎛️ Tape Read: 🏛️🐂💲 "Looking good, but…" – Neutral (cautious optimism) This is a tuff one. We got Fed news and Institutions were offering down with size yesterday.
🧭 Honing Turns: Spill up → AM LOW → (NO MID AM) → lunch high → mid pm low → LAST HOUR HIGH.
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Dates: 📅 October 6 Harvest Moon 11:48 p.m. Fall Solstice (Equinox) 📅 September 22 2:19 p.m. (all times Est)
********************* Terminology *********************
"Looking good, Louis! Looking good!" – Bullish (high confidence)
"Looking good, but…" – Neutral (cautious optimism)
"Things just got ugly, Louis. Very ugly." (Black Swan)
"It's looking real bad for the bulls, Louis. Real bad." – Bearish (pessimistic)
"It's looking real bad for the bears, Louis. Real bad." – Bullish (optimistic)
🐟 (Minnows)
⏳ Lifespan: 1–2 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Momentary—tiny, rapid entries and exits
🔄 Interpretation: Their short biological life mirrors *fleeting market presence*. They appear as *blips* on the liquidity radar—numerous but not lasting.
🐟 (Sardines)
⏳ Lifespan: 3–4 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Mid-range, directional waves
🔄 Interpretation: Like their lifespan, they sustain presence a bit longer—*waves of flow* with follow-through. Not permanent, but *tactically significant*.
🐟 (Tuna)
⏳ Lifespan: 15–40 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Deep, anchoring, strategic
🔄 Interpretation: Their long biological endurance maps to *long-dwelling liquidity*. When they enter, they sit, influence, and stabilize. They're duration-defined presences**, just like their species.
🧖 "Dropping the Soap"
🏀 "Running with the ball"
👵 "momma got thrown from the train!"
📈 Up Turn – Higher highs and higher lows.
📉 Down Turn – Lower highs and lower lows.
↔️ Chop Turn – Bulls and Bears equally balanced.
💥 dropped it like it was hard (no bid stacking, no liquidity, hitting the bid)
🏀↓ smack it down or 🏀↑ bid it up (indicates a potential change in trend)
🧽 adding liquidity back into the market
Richard D. Wyckoff; and his Composite Man. Don't mix the methods.
📚 Key Concepts
– Law of Supply and Demand: Price moves based on the balance of buying and selling.
– Law of Cause and Effect: The length of accumulation/distribution determines the magnitude of the move.
– Law of Effort vs. Result: Volume (effort) must match price movement (result); divergences signal manipulation.
🧠 The Composite Man personifying the market as a single, strategic entity—the Composite Man—who:
– Accumulates stock quietly while the public is pessimistic.
– Pushes prices up to attract attention and volume.
– Distributes holdings at higher levels while the public buys in.
– Then lets the price fall, starting the cycle again.
📈 Accumulation Phases (Composite Man Buying)
| Phase | Description | Composite Man’s Intent
| A | (PS), (SC), (AR), (ST) | Absorbing supply, testing depth of selling pressure
| B | Building a Cause | Accumulating quietly, creating a trading range, shaking out weak hands
| C | Spring or Shakeout | Final test of support, false breakdown to trap bears and force capitulation
| D | Markup Begins | Breakout above resistance, demand dominates, public begins to enter
| E | Distribution Preparation | Price moves rapidly, Composite Man begins to sell into strength
📉 Distribution Phases (Composite Man Selling)
| Phase | Description | Composite Man’s Intent
| A | (PSY), (BC), (AR), (ST) | Testing demand, beginning to unload inventory
| B | Building a Cause | Distributing quietly, creating a range, trapping late buyers
| C | Upthrust or UTAD | False breakout to lure in buyers before reversal
| D | Markdown Begins | Breakdown below support, supply overwhelms demand
| E | Accumulation Preparation | Price declines rapidly, Composite Man begins to buy again
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/technology/the-ai-bubble-may-be-about-to-pop-here-s-what-mit-s-95-failure-stat-means/ar-AA1LrdYD?ocid=socialshare
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/texas-a-m-s-firing-of-professor-is-a-dangerous-turning-point-for-academic-freedom-advocates-say/ar-AA1MtzrZ?ocid=socialshare
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/technology/a-strange-object-has-entered-our-solar-system-and-one-scientist-says-it-may-be-an-alien-craft/ar-AA1LuhTJ?ocid=socialshare
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