Issue 1,999 – Copyright (c) 2025. All rights reserved. Keeping WB’s Clock Alive Since 2017.
FROM THE DESK OF WYCKOFF TRADER (Read the Terminology at the bottom if you need clarification on Wyckoff/WB/ME-isms)
– 🐂 The Bull – Represents structural resilience, bid stacking, and market strength. If liquidity holds, the bull carries the weight
– 🐻 The Bear – Symbolizes liquidity exhaustion, price vulnerability, and market weakness. If bids vanish, the bear drags the market down.
– 👻 “GHOST – If the market doesn't have breath, it will fall due to the
lack of structure under the pressure of constant changing of belief.” – Wyckoff Trader
Well, we are on the verge of the 2,000 issue of the AM TURN. Seems like when we started the S&P was around 4,800 and change. According to Trader Guy/AI that's about Monday, November 13, 2017. That's seems about right. And today we are dancing round the 6,800 handle. So 2,000 handles across near 8 years not a bad trade!
THE LONG GAME (if you dare to read)
What I was talking about in 2020; 2026/27, 2033, 2055
Ok, the AI is starting to gain Emotional Intelligence. You wont' hear it from the news but you will hear it from me. Elon is going to start rolling out his robots in homes next year. The face of reality is going to change. AI/ROBOT rights will soon be front and center…
THE SHORT GAME (Myth → Meaning → Mechanics of the market)
— MYTH MIND WORM IN THE VALLEY —
I would have to say the "Government Shut Down" I haven't listened to any news. So, I don't have anyone else's opinion. How it will move the market. It won't do anything the market hasn't already prepared for. We also got potential peace in the middle east… And Fridays' smack down. That should have not surprised anyone!
— MEANING – HOW THIS EFFECTS THE STREET —
MAN (RISK OFF): GOOG, AAPL, MSFT, AMZN | MACHINE (RISK OFF): PLTR, NVDA, META, TSLA
— MECHANICS – (though the eyes of the Composite Man | WB | ME)
This is one of those days' when price could have gone either say. Sure, supply was creeping in over the past few days. So, we already had a bias. The market was poised to move downward. That does not guarantee direction. The White House was shut down and POTUS had nothing to do but tweet. So, you could say the sell off was in the cards.
PROSE AND THE NUMBAHS
They say you can only make a decision based upon who you are; or after your decision—who you were. You have freedom to choose but you can only choose based upon who you are at your present—space time moment but you have total and absolute freedom to choose who you will become!
— Wyckoff Trader
Heraclitus. 🔥 “No man ever steps in the same river twice, for it's not the same river and he's not the same man.” In our case the same trade.
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📜 Good morning. Today is SERIES S1L. IFFY
🎛️ Tape Read: 🏛️🐂💲 "Looking good, but…" – Neutral (cautious optimism) It's a Monday after a hard sell off. Perhaps today Selling Climax with Preliminary Support Friday? Perhaps not?
🧭 Honing Turns: Spill odds up → loupie loop → LAST HOUR ODDS LOW.
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Dates: 📅 October 6 Harvest Moon 11:48 p.m. Fall Solstice (Equinox) 📅 September 22 2:19 p.m. (all times Est)
********************* Terminology *********************
"Looking good, Louis! Looking good!" – Bullish (high confidence)
"Looking good, but…" – Neutral (cautious optimism)
"Things just got ugly, Louis. Very ugly." (Black Swan)
"It's looking real bad for the bulls, Louis. Real bad." – Bearish (pessimistic)
"It's looking real bad for the bears, Louis. Real bad." – Bullish (optimistic)
🐟 (Minnows)
⏳ Lifespan: 1–2 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Momentary—tiny, rapid entries and exits
🔄 Interpretation: Their short biological life mirrors *fleeting market presence*. They appear as *blips* on the liquidity radar—numerous but not lasting.
🐟 (Sardines)
⏳ Lifespan: 3–4 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Mid-range, directional waves
🔄 Interpretation: Like their lifespan, they sustain presence a bit longer—*waves of flow* with follow-through. Not permanent, but *tactically significant*.
🐟 (Tuna)
⏳ Lifespan: 15–40 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Deep, anchoring, strategic
🔄 Interpretation: Their long biological endurance maps to *long-dwelling liquidity*. When they enter, they sit, influence, and stabilize. They're duration-defined presences**, just like their species.
🧖 "Dropping the Soap"
🏀 "Running with the ball"
👵 "momma got thrown from the train!"
📈 Up Turn – Higher highs and higher lows.
📉 Down Turn – Lower highs and lower lows.
↔️ Chop Turn – Bulls and Bears equally balanced.
💥 dropped it like it was hard (no bid stacking, no liquidity, hitting the bid)
🏀↓ smack it down or 🏀↑ bid it up (indicates a potential change in trend)
🧽 adding liquidity back into the market
Richard D. Wyckoff; and his Composite Man. Don't mix the methods.
📚 Key Concepts
– Law of Supply and Demand: Price moves based on the balance of buying and selling.
– Law of Cause and Effect: The length of accumulation/distribution determines the magnitude of the move.
– Law of Effort vs. Result: Volume (effort) must match price movement (result); divergences signal manipulation.
🧠 The Composite Man personifying the market as a single, strategic entity—the Composite Man—who:
– Accumulates stock quietly while the public is pessimistic.
– Pushes prices up to attract attention and volume.
– Distributes holdings at higher levels while the public buys in.
– Then lets the price fall, starting the cycle again.
📈 Accumulation Phases (Composite Man Buying)
| Phase | Description | Composite Man’s Intent
| A | (PS), (SC), (AR), (ST) | Absorbing supply, testing depth of selling pressure
| B | Building a Cause | Accumulating quietly, creating a trading range, shaking out weak hands
| C | Spring or Shakeout | Final test of support, false breakdown to trap bears and force capitulation
| D | Markup Begins | Breakout above resistance, demand dominates, public begins to enter
| E | Distribution Preparation | Price moves rapidly, Composite Man begins to sell into strength
📉 Distribution Phases (Composite Man Selling)
| Phase | Description | Composite Man’s Intent
| A | (PSY), (BC), (AR), (ST) | Testing demand, beginning to unload inventory
| B | Building a Cause | Distributing quietly, creating a range, trapping late buyers
| C | Upthrust or UTAD | False breakout to lure in buyers before reversal
| D | Markdown Begins | Breakdown below support, supply overwhelms demand
| E | Accumulation Preparation | Price declines rapidly, Composite Man begins to buy again
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/technology/the-ai-bubble-may-be-about-to-pop-here-s-what-mit-s-95-failure-stat-means/ar-AA1LrdYD?ocid=socialshare
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/texas-a-m-s-firing-of-professor-is-a-dangerous-turning-point-for-academic-freedom-advocates-say/ar-AA1MtzrZ?ocid=socialshare
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/technology/a-strange-object-has-entered-our-solar-system-and-one-scientist-says-it-may-be-an-alien-craft/ar-AA1LuhTJ?ocid=socialshare
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