Issue 1,979 – Copyright (c) 2025. All rights reserved. Keeping WB’s Clock Alive Since 2017.
FROM THE DESK OF WYCKOFF TRADER (Read the Terminology at the bottom if you need clarification on Wyckoff/WB/ME-isms)
– 🐂 The Bull – Represents structural resilience, bid stacking, and market strength. If liquidity holds, the bull carries the weight
– 🐻 The Bear – Symbolizes liquidity exhaustion, price vulnerability, and market weakness. If bids vanish, the bear drags the market down.
– 👻 “GHOST – If the market doesn't have breath, it will fall due to the
lack of structure under the pressure of constant changing of belief.” – Wyckoff Trader
THE LONG GAME (if you dare to read)
What I was talking about in 2020; 2026/27, 2033, 2055
I will end the debate with this:
I would say this one individual acting alone takes another individual life. An independent action should not be celebrated as the taking of one life is violating their freedom of will. The Sanguine nature of humanity. Even wild animals do not take another life else they feel their space is threatened
THE SHORT GAME (Myth → Meaning → Mechanics of the market)
— MYTH MIND WORM IN THE VALLEY —
Last week was 9/11 and most folks just though it was another day. I get it time fades. Here we are 24 years later.
— MEANING – HOW THIS EFFECTS THE STREET —
MAN (RISK ON): AAPL, JPM, GOOG. META | MACHINE (RISK ON): PLTR, AMD, MU, TSLA
— MECHANICS – (though the eyes of the Composite Man | WB | ME)
🦅 🦅 AM Turn 0912 – Its Now or Never 2 | Good morning. Today is SERIES S2L. IFFY | Spill up → AM LOW → (NO AM) → lunch high → mid pm low → LAST HOUR HIGH.
[ Bulls with wind at their sails. Bulls a knocking on all time highs after number. Let's see if CASH lets them in! ]
I asked trader guy to give is a read on Friday's trade. I must agree, I am impressed.
Friday, September 12, 2025, saw the E-mini S&P 500 futures (ESU25) trading with a subtle but telling rhythm. The contract settled at $6,591.75, reflecting a modest dip of $0.75, or 0.011% on the day. The intraday range was tight—$6,590.25 to $6,596.25—suggesting a session of low volatility and consolidation. Volume clocked in at 12,480 contracts, with open interest at 1.90 million, indicating that while participation was steady, traders may have been positioning ahead of macro data or awaiting a clearer directional signal. This behavior often hints at institutional restraint, possibly tied to CPI and jobless claims data released around the same time, which stirred broader market sentiment.
PROSE AND THE NUMBAHS
They say you can only make a decision based upon who you are; or after your decision—who you were. You have freedom to choose but you can only choose based upon who you are at your present—space time moment but you have total and absolute freedom to choose who you will become!
— Wyckoff Trader
Heraclitus. 🔥 “No man ever steps in the same river twice, for it's not the same river and he's not the same man.” In our case the same trade.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📜 Good morning. Today is SERIES S1L NORMAL. IFFY
🎛️ Tape Read: 🏛️🐂💲 "Looking good, but…" – Neutral (cautious optimism) Expect a soft open, likely within a ±8-10 point drift from Friday’s settle. Unless there's a surprise macro headline overnight, Monday may begin with: Low volatility, Range-bound price action, A lean toward upward grind, especially if pre-market sentiment favors dovish Fed expectations. This is the kind of open where discipline trumps prediction—watch for the first 15 minutes to reveal whether we’re coiling for a breakout or just stuck in a pause.
🧭 Honing Turns: Spill odds up → loupie loop → LAST HOUR ODDS LOW.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Dates: 📅 August 9 Sturgeon Moon 3:55 a.m. Fall Solstice (Equinox) 📅 September 22 2:19 p.m. (all times Est)
********************* Terminology *********************
"Looking good, Louis! Looking good!" – Bullish (high confidence)
"Looking good, but…" – Neutral (cautious optimism)
"Things just got ugly, Louis. Very ugly." (Black Swan)
"It's looking real bad for the bulls, Louis. Real bad." – Bearish (pessimistic)
"It's looking real bad for the bears, Louis. Real bad." – Bullish (optimistic)
🐟 (Minnows)
⏳ Lifespan: 1–2 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Momentary—tiny, rapid entries and exits
🔄 Interpretation: Their short biological life mirrors *fleeting market presence*. They appear as *blips* on the liquidity radar—numerous but not lasting.
🐟 (Sardines)
⏳ Lifespan: 3–4 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Mid-range, directional waves
🔄 Interpretation: Like their lifespan, they sustain presence a bit longer—*waves of flow* with follow-through. Not permanent, but *tactically significant*.
🐟 (Tuna)
⏳ Lifespan: 15–40 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Deep, anchoring, strategic
🔄 Interpretation: Their long biological endurance maps to *long-dwelling liquidity*. When they enter, they sit, influence, and stabilize. They're duration-defined presences**, just like their species.
🧖 "Dropping the Soap"
🏀 "Running with the ball"
👵 "momma got thrown from the train!"
📈 Up Turn – Higher highs and higher lows.
📉 Down Turn – Lower highs and lower lows.
↔️ Chop Turn – Bulls and Bears equally balanced.
💥 dropped it like it was hard (no bid stacking, no liquidity, hitting the bid)
🏀↓ smack it down or 🏀↑ bid it up (indicates a potential change in trend)
🧽 adding liquidity back into the market
Richard D. Wyckoff; and his Composite Man. Don't mix the methods.
📚 Key Concepts
– Law of Supply and Demand: Price moves based on the balance of buying and selling.
– Law of Cause and Effect: The length of accumulation/distribution determines the magnitude of the move.
– Law of Effort vs. Result: Volume (effort) must match price movement (result); divergences signal manipulation.
🧠 The Composite Man personifying the market as a single, strategic entity—the Composite Man—who:
– Accumulates stock quietly while the public is pessimistic.
– Pushes prices up to attract attention and volume.
– Distributes holdings at higher levels while the public buys in.
– Then lets the price fall, starting the cycle again.
📈 Accumulation Phases (Composite Man Buying)
| Phase | Description | Composite Man’s Intent
| A | (PS), (SC), (AR), (ST) | Absorbing supply, testing depth of selling pressure
| B | Building a Cause | Accumulating quietly, creating a trading range, shaking out weak hands
| C | Spring or Shakeout | Final test of support, false breakdown to trap bears and force capitulation
| D | Markup Begins | Breakout above resistance, demand dominates, public begins to enter
| E | Distribution Preparation | Price moves rapidly, Composite Man begins to sell into strength
📉 Distribution Phases (Composite Man Selling)
| Phase | Description | Composite Man’s Intent
| A | (PSY), (BC), (AR), (ST) | Testing demand, beginning to unload inventory
| B | Building a Cause | Distributing quietly, creating a range, trapping late buyers
| C | Upthrust or UTAD | False breakout to lure in buyers before reversal
| D | Markdown Begins | Breakdown below support, supply overwhelms demand
| E | Accumulation Preparation | Price declines rapidly, Composite Man begins to buy again
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/technology/the-ai-bubble-may-be-about-to-pop-here-s-what-mit-s-95-failure-stat-means/ar-AA1LrdYD?ocid=socialshare
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/texas-a-m-s-firing-of-professor-is-a-dangerous-turning-point-for-academic-freedom-advocates-say/ar-AA1MtzrZ?ocid=socialshare
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/technology/a-strange-object-has-entered-our-solar-system-and-one-scientist-says-it-may-be-an-alien-craft/ar-AA1LuhTJ?ocid=socialshare
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