Issue 1,983 – Copyright (c) 2025. All rights reserved. Keeping WB’s Clock Alive Since 2017.
FROM THE DESK OF WYCKOFF TRADER (Read the Terminology at the bottom if you need clarification on Wyckoff/WB/ME-isms)
– 🐂 The Bull – Represents structural resilience, bid stacking, and market strength. If liquidity holds, the bull carries the weight
– 🐻 The Bear – Symbolizes liquidity exhaustion, price vulnerability, and market weakness. If bids vanish, the bear drags the market down.
– 👻 “GHOST – If the market doesn't have breath, it will fall due to the
lack of structure under the pressure of constant changing of belief.” – Wyckoff Trader
THE LONG GAME (if you dare to read)
What I was talking about in 2020; 2026/27, 2033, 2055
I will end the debate with this:
I would say this one individual acting alone takes another individual life. An independent action should not be celebrated as the taking of one life is violating their freedom of will of the other. The Sanguine nature of humanity. Even wild animals do not take another life else they feel their space is threatened.
Looks like the nation is becoming polarized. I don't think they really understand the impact that social media has morphed into splinter groups.
As an observer in history, I would say the media is presenting a master class on how to manipulate the mindless masses… (on both sides)
THE SHORT GAME (Myth → Meaning → Mechanics of the market)
— MYTH MIND WORM IN THE VALLEY —
Last week was 9/11 and most folks just though it was another day. I get it time fades. Here we are 24 years later.
I notice that Trump is getting involved with this one.
— MEANING – HOW THIS EFFECTS THE STREET —
MAN (RISK ON): GOOG, META, JPM | MACHINE (RISK ON): NVDA, PLTR
— MECHANICS – (though the eyes of the Composite Man | WB | ME)
🦅 AM Turn 0918 – Onward and Upward | Today is SERIES S4H. IFFY | Spill down → AM HIGH → MID AM LOW → lunch high → mid pm low → LAST HOUR HIGH.
[ Bulls with wind at their sails. Bulls a knocking on all time highs after number. Let's see if CASH lets them in! ]
The bulls got what they wanted but was price baked in the settle? Price is hovering around the Fed two o'clock yell. The spill down set price right. The seal at 9:45 was more center time. This sets the market up for a ride back up to the AM HIGH seal. This seals at center time at 10:30 am. Next turn is MID AM LOW it comes in late and strong at 11:55 am. The is it for most traders. The lunch high is a lower high about 1:00 pm. This is indicating bulls are unable to gain a following at these high.
An ideal lunch center time would be 1:30 pm with a higher high on the prints. The Composite Man has the absorbed the overhanding supply left from Globex highs early that Nite.
Price drifts down to test the MID AM LOW with a wetbeak at 2:45 late and strong. This is indicating the bulls perhaps exerted too much energy in the up move. Daddy bull may have unloaded some. The next turn is LAST HOUR HIGH. It's early and weak as you might have expected. Around 3:10 pm seal. The day ends weak as this sets up the next day.
PROSE AND THE NUMBAHS
They say you can only make a decision based upon who you are; or after your decision—who you were. You have freedom to choose but you can only choose based upon who you are at your present—space time moment but you have total and absolute freedom to choose who you will become!
— Wyckoff Trader
Heraclitus. 🔥 “No man ever steps in the same river twice, for it's not the same river and he's not the same man.” In our case the same trade.
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📜 Good morning. Today is SERIES S1L. IFFY
🎛️ Tape Read: 🏛️🐂💲 "Looking good, but…" – Neutral (cautious optimism) This is a tuff one. Bulls got what they wanted but price did not respond as if they did. It's a grind to get back lost ground. Yesterday's price behavior indicates some weakness creaking into the fray.
🧭 Honing Turns: Spill odds up → loupie loop → LAST HOUR ODDS LOW.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Dates: 📅 October 6 Harvest Moon 11:48 p.m. Fall Solstice (Equinox) 📅 September 22 2:19 p.m. (all times Est)
********************* Terminology *********************
"Looking good, Louis! Looking good!" – Bullish (high confidence)
"Looking good, but…" – Neutral (cautious optimism)
"Things just got ugly, Louis. Very ugly." (Black Swan)
"It's looking real bad for the bulls, Louis. Real bad." – Bearish (pessimistic)
"It's looking real bad for the bears, Louis. Real bad." – Bullish (optimistic)
🐟 (Minnows)
⏳ Lifespan: 1–2 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Momentary—tiny, rapid entries and exits
🔄 Interpretation: Their short biological life mirrors *fleeting market presence*. They appear as *blips* on the liquidity radar—numerous but not lasting.
🐟 (Sardines)
⏳ Lifespan: 3–4 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Mid-range, directional waves
🔄 Interpretation: Like their lifespan, they sustain presence a bit longer—*waves of flow* with follow-through. Not permanent, but *tactically significant*.
🐟 (Tuna)
⏳ Lifespan: 15–40 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Deep, anchoring, strategic
🔄 Interpretation: Their long biological endurance maps to *long-dwelling liquidity*. When they enter, they sit, influence, and stabilize. They're duration-defined presences**, just like their species.
🧖 "Dropping the Soap"
🏀 "Running with the ball"
👵 "momma got thrown from the train!"
📈 Up Turn – Higher highs and higher lows.
📉 Down Turn – Lower highs and lower lows.
↔️ Chop Turn – Bulls and Bears equally balanced.
💥 dropped it like it was hard (no bid stacking, no liquidity, hitting the bid)
🏀↓ smack it down or 🏀↑ bid it up (indicates a potential change in trend)
🧽 adding liquidity back into the market
Richard D. Wyckoff; and his Composite Man. Don't mix the methods.
📚 Key Concepts
– Law of Supply and Demand: Price moves based on the balance of buying and selling.
– Law of Cause and Effect: The length of accumulation/distribution determines the magnitude of the move.
– Law of Effort vs. Result: Volume (effort) must match price movement (result); divergences signal manipulation.
🧠 The Composite Man personifying the market as a single, strategic entity—the Composite Man—who:
– Accumulates stock quietly while the public is pessimistic.
– Pushes prices up to attract attention and volume.
– Distributes holdings at higher levels while the public buys in.
– Then lets the price fall, starting the cycle again.
📈 Accumulation Phases (Composite Man Buying)
| Phase | Description | Composite Man’s Intent
| A | (PS), (SC), (AR), (ST) | Absorbing supply, testing depth of selling pressure
| B | Building a Cause | Accumulating quietly, creating a trading range, shaking out weak hands
| C | Spring or Shakeout | Final test of support, false breakdown to trap bears and force capitulation
| D | Markup Begins | Breakout above resistance, demand dominates, public begins to enter
| E | Distribution Preparation | Price moves rapidly, Composite Man begins to sell into strength
📉 Distribution Phases (Composite Man Selling)
| Phase | Description | Composite Man’s Intent
| A | (PSY), (BC), (AR), (ST) | Testing demand, beginning to unload inventory
| B | Building a Cause | Distributing quietly, creating a range, trapping late buyers
| C | Upthrust or UTAD | False breakout to lure in buyers before reversal
| D | Markdown Begins | Breakdown below support, supply overwhelms demand
| E | Accumulation Preparation | Price declines rapidly, Composite Man begins to buy again
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/technology/the-ai-bubble-may-be-about-to-pop-here-s-what-mit-s-95-failure-stat-means/ar-AA1LrdYD?ocid=socialshare
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/texas-a-m-s-firing-of-professor-is-a-dangerous-turning-point-for-academic-freedom-advocates-say/ar-AA1MtzrZ?ocid=socialshare
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/technology/a-strange-object-has-entered-our-solar-system-and-one-scientist-says-it-may-be-an-alien-craft/ar-AA1LuhTJ?ocid=socialshare
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