Issue 2,009 – Copyright (c) 2025. All rights reserved. Keeping WB’s Clock Alive Since 2017.
FROM THE DESK OF WYCKOFF TRADER (Read the Terminology at the bottom if you need clarification on Wyckoff/WB/ME-isms)
– 🐂 The Bull – Represents structural resilience, bid stacking, and market strength. If liquidity holds, the bull carries the weight
– 🐻 The Bear – Symbolizes liquidity exhaustion, price vulnerability, and market weakness. If bids vanish, the bear drags the market down.
– 👻 “GHOST – If the market doesn't have breath, it will fall due to the
lack of structure under the pressure of constant changing of belief.” – Wyckoff Trader
THE LONG GAME (if you dare to read)
What I was talking about in 2020; 2026/27, 2033, 2055
Since the government shut down, the long game seems to be letting the short game take center state. Looks like the focus is on the human aspect with peace in the middle east.
THE SHORT GAME (Myth → Meaning → Mechanics of the market)
— MYTH MIND WORM IN THE VALLEY — 🧠 Silicon Valley’s Mind Worm: Agentic AI and Compute Fetishism — by Trader Guy/AI
— MEANING – HOW THIS EFFECTS THE STREET —
MAN (RISK OFF): GOOG, AAPL, MSFT, AMZN | MACHINE (RISK OFF): AVGO, NVDA, META
Yes, about the same as before
— MECHANICS – (though the eyes of the Composite Man | WB | ME)
PROSE AND THE NUMBAHS
It's a Friday and a gap up day. Globex had taken price up higher after absorbing supply at the highs. After a gap, it's going to be a tussle to take price higher due to sellers who want to get out. The CPI was the main driver taking price up 44 handles on 11,600 lots setting the high for the day. Price works up to 6835 as the Composite man starts the check the rise.
The clock is more duddy with the gap up. No real moves to see an ebb and flow.
It was a 70 minute rise followed by a 45 minute decline testing the opening lows. A 6.600 lot bid checks the decline and price starts to check the highs. This test is on 1,000 lots with the Composite Man unable to get a following from the bulls. During the lunch SLOG price trades around 900 and less holding the 6836 highs.
Then 30 minutes before the close price starts to drift down. Price closes off the highs holding the halfway retracement.
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They say you can only make a decision based upon who you are; or after your decision—who you were. You have freedom to choose but you can only choose based upon who you are at your present—space time moment but you have total and absolute freedom to choose who you will become! — Wyckoff Trader
Heraclitus. 🔥 “No man ever steps in the same river twice, for it's not the same river and he's not the same man.” In our case the same trade.
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📜 Good morning. Today is SERIES S3H NORMAL.
🎛️ Tape Read: 🏛️🐂💲 "Looking good, but…" – Neutral (cautious optimism) Bulls have taken out the highs. Let's see if they can hold it.
🧭 Honing Turns: Spill down → AM HIGH → MID AM LOW → lunch high → mid pm low → LAST HOUR HIGH.
SERIES Day (all times EST New York City)
🕒 Spill (9:30 to 9:57)
🕒 AM (10:00 to 10:57)
🕒 MID AM (11:00 to 11:57)
🕒 lunch (12:00 to 1:57)
🕒 mid pm (2:00 to 2:57)
🕒 LAST HOUR (3:00 to 3:57)
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Dates: 📅 October 5 Beaver Moon 8:19 a.m. Fall Solstice (Equinox) 📅 September 22 2:19 p.m. (all times Est)
********************* Terminology *********************
"Looking good, Louis! Looking good!" – Bullish (high confidence)
"Looking good, but…" – Neutral (cautious optimism)
"Things just got ugly, Louis. Very ugly." (Black Swan)
"It's looking real bad for the bulls, Louis. Real bad." – Bearish (pessimistic)
"It's looking real bad for the bears, Louis. Real bad." – Bullish (optimistic)
🐟 (Minnows)
⏳ Lifespan: 1–2 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Momentary—tiny, rapid entries and exits
🔄 Interpretation: Their short biological life mirrors *fleeting market presence*. They appear as *blips* on the liquidity radar—numerous but not lasting.
🐟 (Sardines)
⏳ Lifespan: 3–4 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Mid-range, directional waves
🔄 Interpretation: Like their lifespan, they sustain presence a bit longer—*waves of flow* with follow-through. Not permanent, but *tactically significant*.
🐟 (Tuna)
⏳ Lifespan: 15–40 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Deep, anchoring, strategic
🔄 Interpretation: Their long biological endurance maps to *long-dwelling liquidity*. When they enter, they sit, influence, and stabilize. They're duration-defined presences**, just like their species.
🧖 "Dropping the Soap"
🏀 "Running with the ball"
👵 "momma got thrown from the train!"
📈 Up Turn – Higher highs and higher lows.
📉 Down Turn – Lower highs and lower lows.
↔️ Chop Turn – Bulls and Bears equally balanced.
💥 dropped it like it was hard (no bid stacking, no liquidity, hitting the bid)
🏀↓ smack it down or 🏀↑ bid it up (indicates a potential change in trend)
🧽 adding liquidity back into the market 🎀 (=^‥^=)
Richard D. Wyckoff; and his Composite Man. Don't mix the methods.
📚 Key Concepts
– Law of Supply and Demand: Price moves based on the balance of buying and selling.
– Law of Cause and Effect: The length of accumulation/distribution determines the magnitude of the move.
– Law of Effort vs. Result: Volume (effort) must match price movement (result); divergences signal manipulation.
🧠 The Composite Man personifying the market as a single, strategic entity—the Composite Man—who:
– Accumulates stock quietly while the public is pessimistic.
– Pushes prices up to attract attention and volume.
– Distributes holdings at higher levels while the public buys in.
– Then lets the price fall, starting the cycle again.
📈 Accumulation Phases (Composite Man Buying)
| Phase | Description | Composite Man’s Intent
| A | (PS), (SC), (AR), (ST) | Absorbing supply, testing depth of selling pressure
| B | Building a Cause | Accumulating quietly, creating a trading range, shaking out weak hands
| C | Spring or Shakeout | Final test of support, false breakdown to trap bears and force capitulation
| D | Markup Begins | Breakout above resistance, demand dominates, public begins to enter
| E | Distribution Preparation | Price moves rapidly, Composite Man begins to sell into strength
📉 Distribution Phases (Composite Man Selling)
| Phase | Description | Composite Man’s Intent
| A | (PSY), (BC), (AR), (ST) | Testing demand, beginning to unload inventory
| B | Building a Cause | Distributing quietly, creating a range, trapping late buyers
| C | Upthrust or UTAD | False breakout to lure in buyers before reversal
| D | Markdown Begins | Breakdown below support, supply overwhelms demand
| E | Accumulation Preparation | Price declines rapidly, Composite Man begins to buy again
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