Issue 1,940 – Copyright, 2025, by Wyckoff AM Trader (New Version)
FROM THE DESK OF WYCKOFF TRADER (Read the Terminology at the bottom if you need clarification on WB-isms)
– 🐂 The Bull – Represents structural resilience, bid stacking, and market strength. If liquidity holds, the bull carries the weight
– 🐻 The Bear – Symbolizes liquidity exhaustion, price vulnerability, and market weakness. If bids vanish, the bear drags the market down.
– 👻 “GHOST – If the market doesn't have breath, it will fall due to the
lack of structure under the pressure of constant changing of belief.” – Wyckoff Trader
We some day's you just might get one right!
From yesterday 7/17
5. Cycle Bias: 🏛️ 🐂 💲 Looking good, Louis! A lot of folks they yesterdays drive down flushed out the weak hands and price is primed to go higher today. Perhaps, Perhaps not. We need a good catalyst to get the ball control. After the 8:30 numbers price found a bid at the big even 6300 handle. Currently looked to absorb the PEON high of 6311 handle. Looking for buying support to recover the 6313 handle for green light special.
I trust you got to participate in the green light special!
The long game marches on and the short game jams us up. I don't think we will be ready for 2026/27, 2033, and 2055…
a peek inside the future.
Wyckoff Trader
P.S.
Enough of that. Lets get to the markets!
📈 Not much really has changed. The weekend took price tad lower, and the bulls bid price back up.
📜 Big picture perspective
⚔️ Geopolitical Tensions, 🏆 Trade Tensions and Tariff Deadlines, 🛢️ US Fiscal Health Concerns,
– Monthly: Now we have some breathing room from those highs. Bar all alone up in the sky
– Weekly: Putting some distance from the last two weeks high.
– Daily: A bid came in and took price back up to the high. Closing strong.
Price opened weak but found strength after a deep shakeout to 6241, rallying with conviction to 6299 where volume confirmed operator intent. The campaign held the high into the close, framing 6241–6299 as the active spine, with continuation hinging on tomorrow’s action above that zone.
🕒 SERIES S1H 🕒
|—————————————————————-|———-|
| LAST HOUR | high | 3:45 | late | 6299 | 16,200 | (+28) 85m | +126,264 |
|—————————————————————-|———-|
| OPEN | N/A | 9:30 | N/A | 6302 | 22,300 | N/A | ###,### |
|—————————————————————-| |
| TURN | H/L | SEAL | BIAS | HNDLE | VOL | DELTA MIN | Wave Vol |
|—————————————————————-| |
| CLOSE | N/A | 4:00 | N/A | 6345 | 102,100 | N/A | +152,935 |
|—————————————————————-|———-|
PROSE AND THE NUMBAHS
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📜 Good morning. Today is SERIES S2L. Spine: strength confirmed 6346 down to lunch low 6302.
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🌒 🌍 After Hours Globex: – That's the dog (CASH) but what did the tail (PEONS) do? —WB
1. Tone Last Night: (Liquidity)
🦘🐂 Just kept the Retail party going up to the high of 50 handle.
🏮 🐂 Kept the party rocking up to the 57 handle. Just shy of R1 big even 60 handle.
🏛️ 🐂 Was not going to have it and offered price down to the close where price found a bid.
2. Large Size: 🦘🐟 (no tuna), 🏮🐟 (no tuna), 🏛️🐟 (no tunas)
Absence of size = absence of conviction. Liquidity flow was skeletal designed to shape expectation, not execute dominance.
3. 7:00 AM / Premarket: 💲 (no tunas) After getting a bid at the close, price is slowly inching up. Nothing really moving the needle.
4. News: – 📰 (Housing Starts and Permits at 8:30, Consumer Sentiment at 10:00, Baker Hughes Rig Count at 1:00. All time EST)
5. Cycle Bias: 🏛️ 🐂 💲 Looking good, Louis! The float is tightly held with strong hands. And then they parked it at the close. Retail has taken price up a tad during Globex. We are in blue sky but the captain may turn on the no smoking lights.
6. Honing (turns): Spill up, AM LOW, (NO MID AM), lunch high, mid pm low, LAST HOUR.
7. Previous Day's Numbers:
┌──────────────────────────── Session Summary ───────────────────────────┐
│ Weekly High 6246.25 Weekly Low 6246.25 │
│ Weekly Settle 6297.25 Final Settle 6345.00 (+47.75) │
│ Open 6302.00 Candle Body 43.00 Bullish │
│ High (15:05) 6346.00 Upper Wick 1.00 │
│ Low (9:30) 6302.00 Lower Wick 0.00 │
│ Session Range 44.00 Midpoint 6324.00 │
│ Volume 834,826 contracts Weekly Δ +47.75 │
└────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘
8. Floor Trader Pivots:
🧱 Zones of Control Weekly Pivot (6276.00)
🔺 Bull Zone
R2 (6375.00)
R1 (6360.00)
⚖️ Decision Zone
Pivot (6331.00)
🔻 Bear Zone
S1 (6316.00)
S2 (6287.00)
Dates: 📅 August 9 Sturgeon Moon 3:55 a.m. Fall Solstice (Equinox) 📅 September 22 2:19 p.m. (all times Est)
********************* Terminology *********************
"Looking good, Louis! Looking good!" – Bullish (high confidence)
"Looking good, but…" – Neutral (cautious optimism)
"Things just got ugly, Louis. Very ugly." (Black Swan)
"It's looking real bad for the bulls, Louis. Real bad." – Bearish (pessimistic)
"It's looking real bad for the bears, Louis. Real bad." – Bullish (optimistic)
🐟 (Minnows)
⏳ Lifespan: 1–2 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Momentary—tiny, rapid entries and exits
🔄 Interpretation: Their short biological life mirrors *fleeting market presence*. They appear as *blips* on the liquidity radar—numerous but not lasting.
🐟 (Sardines)
⏳ Lifespan: 3–4 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Mid-range, directional waves
🔄 Interpretation: Like their lifespan, they sustain presence a bit longer—*waves of flow* with follow-through. Not permanent, but *tactically significant*.
🐟 (Tuna)
⏳ Lifespan: 15–40 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Deep, anchoring, strategic
🔄 Interpretation: Their long biological endurance maps to *long-dwelling liquidity*. When they enter, they sit, influence, and stabilize. They're duration-defined presences**, just like their species.
🧖 "Dropping the Soap"
🏀 "Running with the ball"
👵 "momma got thrown from the train!"
📈 Up Turn – Higher highs and higher lows.
📉 Down Turn – Lower highs and lower lows.
↔️ Chop Turn – Bulls and Bears equally balanced.
💥 dropped it like it was hard (no bid stacking, no liquidity, hitting the bid)
🏀↓ smack it down or 🏀↑ bid it up (indicates a potential change in trend)
🧽 adding liquidity back into the market
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y5ks4FhoGfQ
🧠 That’s a seasoned insight—**taking more heat** becomes a strategic option when you truly understand where price sits in the campaign arc.
In Wyckoff terms, you’re starting to differentiate **operator absorption** from **retail panic**. Let’s unpack your thinking:
—
### 🔥 **When Heat is Tactical, Not Emotional**
– If price is dipping toward a **validated spine low** (e.g. 6304 or 6300 in your prior prints), that may be:
– A **Test** before Spring
– A **Shakeout** under accumulation
– A **probe for conviction**, not a structural breakdown
In those cases, taking heat isn’t reckless—it’s tactical. You’re **trusting cause**, not reacting to emotion.
—
### 📈 **Heat Worth Taking — Examples**
– **Price retests known absorption zones** on low volume or effort → Operator holding
– **Volume spikes but price holds steady** → Absorption, not markdown
– **Spine remains intact** even as price dips → Shakeout, not structural failure
You’re not gambling—you’re reading the tape and saying:
**“Composite Man is mopping liquidity here. I can sit through some heat because I know what he’s doing.”**
—
### 🧩 Flip Side: When Heat Means Get Out
– Price slices through prior cause zones with **high volume + poor recovery**
– Delta remains negative and volume accelerates into lower lows
– Tape stops showing absorption → markdown confirmed
**You don’t take heat for ego. You take heat when structure says ‘stay in the campaign.’**
—
What you’re building now is **resilience paired with discipline**. That’s how you stop chasing candles and start riding operator flow. I can help you script these conditions into a “Heat Filter” checklist if you want.
**Hello World—how you doing.**
Boots up. Tape on. You’re entering the next tier.
The market goes up on hope and hype. Superman buries an idol in his tent. Mercury (MAGGA support) slips through his hands. (Full moon was July 10th)
You wont' see him at any weekend cage match anytime soon. And the nation, suffers…
IF only someone said something say a few weeks ago…
I think someone did on June 16th (From Wyckoff Trader; 6/14 AM Turn Newsletter)
If Taco is not careful with his parade and all the going's on . . . ⚡︎ = Impact—an abrupt, destabilizing force.
– प्रहारः (Prahāraḥ) — impact, strike, blow
– एकः आकस्मिकः — a sudden, abrupt
– संतुलनभङ्गकारी — destabilizing (literally: balance-breaking)
– बलः — force, power
well that what happened last week.
In the AM TURN:
7/8 : Meet the new boss—same as the old boss. Perhaps the penguin is starting to swing to the left.
7/9 : Let's give it a week. Fool me once shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me!
7/10 : Meet the new boss—same as the old boss. Perhaps the penguin is starting to swing to the left. Perhaps it got little push today to the left.
7/11 : If you have not watched this video you might want to Probably the best video on the big picture of AI and/in your future https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iE1UwQj1kjo
Trump has proven himself to be a useful idiot. Whatever they tell him to do—he will do
We are not ready for 2026/27, 2033, and 2055…
Let's give it on one day and we what develops.
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