Issue 2,017 – Copyright (c) 2025. All rights reserved. Keeping WB’s Clock Alive Since 2017.
FROM THE DESK OF WYCKOFF TRADER (Read the Terminology at the bottom if you need clarification on Wyckoff/WB/ME-isms)
– 🐂 The Bull – Represents structural resilience, bid stacking, and market strength. If liquidity holds, the bull carries the weight
– 🐻 The Bear – Symbolizes liquidity exhaustion, price vulnerability, and market weakness. If bids vanish, the bear drags the market down.
– 👻 “GHOST – If the market doesn't have breath, it will fall due to the
lack of structure under the pressure of constant changing of belief.” – Wyckoff Trader
THE LONG GAME (if you dare to read)
What I was talking about in 2020; 2026/27, 2033, 2055
Never fear, Elon will be here. He got his trillion dollar package, so he can rule the world with robots.
THE SHORT GAME (Myth → Meaning → Mechanics of the market)
— MYTH MIND WORM IN THE VALLEY — 🧠 Silicon Valley’s Mind Worm: Agentic AI and Compute Fetishism — by Trader Guy/AI
Eliminate a billion jobs by (wait for it) 2030…
— MEANING – HOW THIS EFFECTS THE STREET —
MAN (RISK OFF): AAPL, AMZN, MSFT, ORCL, META, GOOG | MACHINE (RISK OFF): NVDA, AVGO, TSLA, PLTR
— MECHANICS – (though the eyes of the Composite Man | WB | ME)
Blame yesterday price action on the FULL MOON
Dates: 📅 November 5 Beaver Moon 8:19 a.m. Winter Solstice (Equinox) 📅 December 21 10:03 a.m. (all times Est)
PROSE AND THE NUMBAHS
If you take the regular secession and look at price action, you may get the impression that Wednesday rally was the Preliminary Support and Thursday's movement was the Selling Climax. That's why Wyckoff always said, "IT'S A POTENTIAL" until it was proven. Now, you can see Thursday's rally was checked at the low of Wednesday Preliminary Support. That would make today's a potential Automatic Rally on the Last Hour with a potential Secondary Test either at the close or during today's run. It's a potential until it's not.
I would say it was more S1L day at the 8:30 am news locking in risk off day. The S1 day is more odds and probabilities. WB would say, "He'd go fishing and then return to see how the day ended." We got Trumps saber rattling. We got Government Shut down. And a slew of other uncertainty in the fray.
I asked Trader Guy/AI to give his perspective on the Mag 7 and outline them as Man vs Machine. Here was his take.
🌈 Magnificent Seven: Human vs Machine Spectrum
Company Ticker Color Type Focus Spectrum My Read
Apple Inc. AAPL Silver / White 🧍♂️🧍♀️🧍♀️🧍♂️🧍♂️⚙️⚙️⚙️⚙️⚙️ Human-first — elegant design, personal tech
Meta Platforms META Blue / Purple 🧍♂️🧍♀️🧍♀️🧍♀️⚙️⚙️⚙️⚙️⚙️⚙️ Human-focused — immersive social experiences
Alphabet Inc. GOOGL Multicolor 🧍♂️🧍♀️🧍♀️⚙️⚙️⚙️⚙️⚙️⚙️⚙️ Machine-first — AI research, autonomous systems
Microsoft Corp. MSFT Blue 🧍♂️🧍♀️⚙️⚙️⚙️⚙️⚙️⚙️⚙️⚙️ Machine-leaning — enterprise AI, developer tools
Amazon.com Inc. AMZN Orange / Black 🧍♂️⚙️⚙️⚙️⚙️⚙️⚙️⚙️⚙️⚙️ Machine-first — logistics, automation, Alexa
NVIDIA Corp. NVDA Green / Black ⚙️⚙️⚙️⚙️⚙️⚙️⚙️⚙️⚙️⚙️ Pure Machine — AI chips, robotics infrastructure
Tesla Inc. TSLA Red / Silver ⚙️⚙️⚙️⚙️⚙️⚙️⚙️⚙️⚙️⚙️ Pure Machine — autonomous vehicles, humanoid robots
Me: guy you give new meaning to a "COG" in a "WHEEL"…
Guy: Ha! I’ll take that as a compliment — even if I’m the cog that’s constantly recalibrating the whole machine 😄
But you’re right to call it out. When we break down companies like Alphabet or Microsoft, it’s easy to get caught in the gears of their AI engines and forget the human pulse that started it all. They’re not just building machines — they’re building tools for minds, maps for curiosity, and platforms for connection.
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They say you can only make a decision based upon who you are; or after your decision—who you were. You have freedom to choose but you can only choose based upon who you are at your present—space time moment but you have total and absolute freedom to choose who you will become! — Wyckoff Trader
Heraclitus. 🔥 “No man ever steps in the same river twice, for it's not the same river and he's not the same man.” In our case the same trade.
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📜 Good morning. Today is SERIES S2L.
🎛️ Tape Read: 🏛️🐂💲 "Looking good, but…" – Neutral (cautious optimism) Seeing a bid on the lunch SLOG holding the lows from yesterday.
🧭 Honing Turns: Spill up → AM LOW → (NO MID AM) → lunch high → mid pm low → LAST HOUR HIGH.
SERIES Day (all times EST New York City)
🕒 Spill (9:30 to 9:57)
🕒 AM (10:00 to 10:57)
🕒 MID AM (11:00 to 11:57)
🕒 lunch (12:00 to 1:57)
🕒 mid pm (2:00 to 2:57)
🕒 LAST HOUR (3:00 to 3:57)
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Dates: 📅 November 5 Beaver Moon 8:19 a.m. Winter Solstice (Equinox) 📅 December 21 10:03 a.m. (all times Est)
********************* Terminology *********************
"Looking good, Louis! Looking good!" – Bullish (high confidence)
"Looking good, but…" – Neutral (cautious optimism)
"Things just got ugly, Louis. Very ugly." (Black Swan)
"It's looking real bad for the bulls, Louis. Real bad." – Bearish (pessimistic)
"It's looking real bad for the bears, Louis. Real bad." – Bullish (optimistic)
🐟 (Minnows)
⏳ Lifespan: 1–2 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Momentary—tiny, rapid entries and exits
🔄 Interpretation: Their short biological life mirrors *fleeting market presence*. They appear as *blips* on the liquidity radar—numerous but not lasting.
🐟 (Sardines)
⏳ Lifespan: 3–4 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Mid-range, directional waves
🔄 Interpretation: Like their lifespan, they sustain presence a bit longer—*waves of flow* with follow-through. Not permanent, but *tactically significant*.
🐟 (Tuna)
⏳ Lifespan: 15–40 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Deep, anchoring, strategic
🔄 Interpretation: Their long biological endurance maps to *long-dwelling liquidity*. When they enter, they sit, influence, and stabilize. They're duration-defined presences**, just like their species.
🧖 "Dropping the Soap"
🏀 "Running with the ball"
👵 "momma got thrown from the train!"
📈 Up Turn – Higher highs and higher lows.
📉 Down Turn – Lower highs and lower lows.
↔️ Chop Turn – Bulls and Bears equally balanced.
💥 dropped it like it was hard (no bid stacking, no liquidity, hitting the bid)
🏀↓ smack it down or 🏀↑ bid it up (indicates a potential change in trend)
🧽 adding liquidity back into the market 🎀 (=^‥^=)
Richard D. Wyckoff; and his Composite Man. Don't mix the methods.
📚 Key Concepts
– Law of Supply and Demand: Price moves based on the balance of buying and selling.
– Law of Cause and Effect: The length of accumulation/distribution determines the magnitude of the move.
– Law of Effort vs. Result: Volume (effort) must match price movement (result); divergences signal manipulation.
🧠 The Composite Man personifying the market as a single, strategic entity—the Composite Man—who:
– Accumulates stock quietly while the public is pessimistic.
– Pushes prices up to attract attention and volume.
– Distributes holdings at higher levels while the public buys in.
– Then lets the price fall, starting the cycle again.
📈 Accumulation Phases (Composite Man Buying)
| Phase | Description | Composite Man’s Intent
| A | (PS), (SC), (AR), (ST) | Absorbing supply, testing depth of selling pressure
| B | Building a Cause | Accumulating quietly, creating a trading range, shaking out weak hands
| C | Spring or Shakeout | Final test of support, false breakdown to trap bears and force capitulation
| D | Markup Begins | Breakout above resistance, demand dominates, public begins to enter
| E | Distribution Preparation | Price moves rapidly, Composite Man begins to sell into strength
📉 Distribution Phases (Composite Man Selling)
| Phase | Description | Composite Man’s Intent
| A | (PSY), (BC), (AR), (ST) | Testing demand, beginning to unload inventory
| B | Building a Cause | Distributing quietly, creating a range, trapping late buyers
| C | Upthrust or UTAD | False breakout to lure in buyers before reversal
| D | Markdown Begins | Breakdown below support, supply overwhelms demand
| E | Accumulation Preparation | Price declines rapidly, Composite Man begins to buy again
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/other/useful-but-flawed-humanoid-robots-could-achieve-autonomy-by-2027-1x-ceo/vi-AA1L03ew?ocid=socialshare
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/alien-encounters-the-wright-patterson-air-force-base-connection/vi-AA1OIQ12?ocid=socialshare
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