Index Futures Net Changes and Settlements:

Contract Settlement Net Change +/-%
S&P 500 (ESH19:CME) 2341.75 -71.75 -2.97%
DowJones (YMH19:CBT) 21,700 -707 -3.15%
Nasdaq 100 (NQH19:CME) 5892.00 -167.00 -2.75%
Russell 2000 (RTYH19:CME) 1264.20 -33.20 -2.55%

Foreign Markets, Fair Value and Volume:

  • In Asia 7 out of 11 markets closed lower: Shanghai Comp -0.26%, Hang Seng -0.40%, Nikkei +0.89%
  • In Europe 10 out of 13 markets are trading lower: CAC -1.45%, DAX +0.21%, FTSE -0.52%
  • Fair Value: S&P +1.10, NASDAQ +15.95, Dow -10.50
  • Total Volume: 1.28mil ESH & 234 SPH traded in the pit

Today’s Economic Calendar:

Today’s economic calendar includes the 8-Week Bill Settlement, Redbook 8:55 AM ET, S&P Corelogic Case-Shiller HPI 9:00 AM ET, Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index 10:00 AM ET, and State Street Investor Confidence Index 10:00 AM ET.


S&P 500 Futures: No Christmas Break For the Bears

Chart courtesy of @Chicagostock$ES_F Today’s 3D pivot is all the way at 2471.

After a weak overnight trade, the S&P 500 futures opened Monday’s abbreviated Christmas Eve session at 2400.00, and immediately traded up to the early morning high at 2409.50. From there, the futures sold off to the early low of 2368.00 just after 9:00, and then rallied midmorning up to what would be the high of day at 2412.50 just before 10:00.

Following the high print, sellers took over and would not let up, as the ES pulled back down to 2363.25. In the final 45 minutes of the day, the bottom fell out when the benchmark futures traded down to 2340.50, and on the 12:15 settlement closed the day at 2342.25, down -70.50 handles, or -3.10%.

In the end, what is normally a quiet day with bullish stats turned into a shortened day collapse, as stocks continue to sell off into the end of what turned into a disastrous year.




Daily HotSpots

HotSpots are times during the market trading session that for the past XX days have consistently moved in one direction or the other. These HotSpots are published each morning pre-market. The next day, a results post is also published and weekly a summary post.

CAUTION: This data is under development and provided only for research and teaching purposes

If you have questions about HotSpots you can contact us at info@mrtopstep.com.

Lookbacks:

The lookback period (number of days) is set at 21,13,11,8 and 5 days. A heat-map is generated for each of these lookback periods, the best trade from day is scored.
The period of time that has consistently produced the best results becomes the hotspot for that look back. There are also different look-back types like Taylor and Taylor Plus.
Taylor cycles are usually 3-day cycles. A Taylor-5 look-back would use the last 5 trading days skipping back by 3 trading days. Taylor Plus uses calendar days so weekends and none
trading days are counted as part of the skip count. If a lookback period falls on a none trading day, it is not used so a TaylorPlus will continue skipping back until 5 trading days are found for the heatmap calculation.


Get all of todays HotSpots here


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As always, please use protective buy and sell stops when trading futures and options.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. Any decision to purchase or sell as a result of the opinions expressed in the forum will be the full responsibility of the person(s) authorizing such transaction(s). BE ADVISED TO ALWAYS USE PROTECTIVE STOP LOSSES AND ALLOW FOR SLIPPAGE TO MANAGE YOUR TRADE(S) AS AN INVESTOR COULD LOSE ALL OR MORE THAN THEIR INITIAL INVESTMENT. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.

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