Last Update: 8/1/2025, 7:25:09 AM
| Event | Time | Actual | Est | Prev | Chg | Chg% | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday, July 28, 2025 | |||||||
| Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Jul) | 10:30 AM | 0.9 | -8 | -12.7 | 13.6 | 107.09 | Medium |
| 3-Month Bill Auction | 11:30 AM | – | – | 4.24 % | – | 0.00 | Low |
| 6-Month Bill Auction | 11:30 AM | 4.12 % | – | 4.115 % | 0.005 % | 0.12 | Low |
| 2-Year Note Auction | 11:30 AM | 3.92 % | – | 3.786 % | 0.134 % | 3.54 | Low |
| 2-Year Note Auction | 12:00 PM | – | – | 3.786 % | – | 0.00 | Low |
| 5-Year Note Auction | 12:00 PM | – | – | 3.879 % | – | 0.00 | Low |
| 5-Year Note Auction | 01:00 PM | 3.983 % | – | 3.879 % | 0.104 % | 2.68 | Low |
| 3-Month Bill Auction | 01:00 PM | 4.235 % | – | 4.24 % | -0.005 % | -0.12 | Low |
| Treasury Refunding Financingimates | 03:00 PM | – | – | – | – | 0.00 | Low |
| Tuesday, July 29, 2025 | |||||||
| Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM (Jun) | 08:30 AM | 0 % | 0.2 % | 0.1 % | -0.1 % | -100.00 | Medium |
| Goods Trade Balance Adv (Jun) | 08:30 AM | -85.99 B | -97.2 B | – | – | 0.00 | Medium |
| Wholesale Inventories MoM (Jun) | 08:30 AM | 0.2 % | -0.1 % | -0.3 % | 0.5 % | 166.67 | Medium |
| Goods Trade Balance (Jun) | 08:30 AM | -85.99 B | -98.4 B | -96.42 B | 10.43 B | 10.82 | High |
| Redbook YoY (Jul/26) | 08:55 AM | 4.9 % | – | 5.1 % | -0.2 % | -3.92 | Low |
| House Price Index (May) | 09:00 AM | 434.4 | 434 | 435.1 | -0.7 | -0.16 | Low |
| S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY (May) | 09:00 AM | 2.8 % | 3 % | 3.4 % | -0.6 % | -17.65 | Medium |
| S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM (May) | 09:00 AM | 0.4 % | 0.6 % | 0.8 % | -0.4 % | -50.00 | Low |
| House Price Index MoM (May) | 09:00 AM | -0.2 % | -0.1 % | -0.3 % | 0.1 % | 33.33 | Low |
| House Price Index YoY (May) | 09:00 AM | 2.8 % | 2.5 % | 3.2 % | -0.4 % | -12.50 | Low |
| JOLTs Job Quits (Jun) | 10:00 AM | 3.142 M | 3.21 M | 3.27 M | -0.128 M | -3.91 | Low |
| JOLTs Job Openings (Jun) | 10:00 AM | 7.437 M | 7.55 M | 7.712 M | -0.275 M | -3.57 | High |
| CB Consumer Confidence (Jul) | 10:00 AM | 97.2 | 95.8 | 95.2 | 2 | 2.10 | Medium |
| Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index (Jul) | 10:30 AM | 6.3 | 1 | -4.1 | 10.4 | 253.66 | Low |
| Dallas Fed Services Index (Jul) | 10:30 AM | 2 | 1 | -4.4 | 6.4 | 145.46 | Low |
| Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q2) | 11:30 AM | 2.9 % | 2.4 % | 2.4 % | 0.5 % | 20.83 | Medium |
| 2-Year FRN Auction | 11:30 AM | 0.159 % | – | 0.157 % | 0.002 % | 1.27 | Low |
| 7-Year Note Auction | 12:00 PM | – | – | 4.022 % | – | 0.00 | Low |
| 2-Year FRN Auction | 01:00 PM | – | – | 0.157 % | – | 0.00 | Low |
| 7-Year Note Auction | 01:00 PM | 4.092 % | – | 4.022 % | 0.07 % | 1.74 | Low |
| API Crude Oil Stock Change (Jul/25) | 04:30 PM | 1.539 M | -2.5 M | -0.577 M | 2.116 M | 366.72 | Medium |
| Wednesday, July 30, 2025 | |||||||
| MBA Mortgage Refinance Index (Jul/25) | 07:00 AM | 739.3 | – | 747.5 | -8.2 | -1.10 | Low |
| MBA Mortgage Market Index (Jul/25) | 07:00 AM | 245.7 | – | 255.5 | -9.8 | -3.84 | Low |
| MBA Purchase Index (Jul/25) | 07:00 AM | 155.6 | – | 165.1 | -9.5 | -5.75 | Low |
| MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jul/25) | 07:00 AM | 6.83 % | – | 6.84 % | -0.01 % | -0.15 | Medium |
| MBA Mortgage Applications (Jul/25) | 07:00 AM | -3.8 % | – | 0.8 % | -4.6 % | -575.00 | Low |
| ADP Employment Change (Jul) | 08:15 AM | 104 K | 75 K | -23 K | 127 K | 552.17 | High |
| Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Q2) | 08:30 AM | 3 % | 2.5 % | -0.5 % | 3.5 % | 700.00 | High |
| Core PCE Prices QoQ (Q2) | 08:30 AM | 2.5 % | 2.3 % | 3.5 % | -1 % | -28.57 | Low |
| Real Consumer Spending QoQ (Q2) | 08:30 AM | 1.4 % | 0.9 % | 0.5 % | 0.9 % | 180.00 | Low |
| Real Consumer Spending (Q2) | 08:30 AM | 1.4 % | – | 0.5 % | 0.9 % | 180.00 | Low |
| GDP Sales QoQ (Q2) | 08:30 AM | 6.3 % | 1.9 % | -3.1 % | 9.4 % | 303.23 | Low |
| GDP Price Index QoQ (Q2) | 08:30 AM | 2 % | 2.2 % | 3.8 % | -1.8 % | -47.37 | Medium |
| PCE Prices QoQ (Q2) | 08:30 AM | 2.1 % | 2.9 % | 3.7 % | -1.6 % | -43.24 | Low |
| GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q2) | 08:30 AM | 3 % | 2.4 % | -0.5 % | 3.5 % | 700.00 | High |
| Treasury Refunding Announcement | 08:30 AM | – | – | – | – | 0.00 | Low |
| Pending Home Sales YoY (Jun) | 10:00 AM | -2.8 % | 1.5 % | 1.1 % | -3.9 % | -354.55 | Medium |
| Pending Home Sales MoM (Jun) | 10:00 AM | -0.8 % | 0.3 % | 1.8 % | -2.6 % | -144.44 | Medium |
| EIA Gasoline Stocks Change (Jul/25) | 10:30 AM | -2.725 M | -0.5 M | -1.738 M | -0.987 M | -56.79 | Medium |
| EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change (Jul/25) | 10:30 AM | 0.739 M | – | 0.003 M | 0.736 M | 24533.33 | Low |
| EIA Gasoline Production Change (Jul/25) | 10:30 AM | 0.676 M | – | 0.282 M | 0.394 M | 139.72 | Low |
| EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change (Jul/25) | 10:30 AM | -0.025 M | – | 0.087 M | -0.112 M | -128.74 | Low |
| EIA Crude Oil Imports Change (Jul/25) | 10:30 AM | 1.317 M | – | -0.74 M | 2.057 M | 277.97 | Low |
| EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Jul/25) | 10:30 AM | 7.698 M | -2 M | -3.169 M | 10.867 M | 342.92 | Medium |
| EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change (Jul/25) | 10:30 AM | 0.69 M | – | 0.455 M | 0.235 M | 51.65 | Low |
| EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change (Jul/25) | 10:30 AM | 0.13 M | – | 0.095 M | 0.035 M | 36.84 | Low |
| EIA Distillate Stocks Change (Jul/25) | 10:30 AM | 3.635 M | -0.3 M | 2.931 M | 0.704 M | 24.02 | Low |
| EIA Weekly Refinery Utilization Rates WoW | 10:30 AM | -0.1 % | – | 1.6 % | -1.7 % | -106.25 | Low |
| Imports | 10:30 AM | 1.317 M | – | -0.74 M | 2.057 M | 277.97 | Low |
| 17-Week Bill Auction | 11:30 AM | 4.21 % | – | 4.225 % | -0.015 % | -0.35 | Low |
| Fed Interest Rate Decision | 02:00 PM | 4.5 % | 4.5 % | 4.5 % | 0 % | 0.00 | High |
| FOMC Minutes | 02:00 PM | – | – | – | – | 0.00 | High |
| Fed Press Conference | 02:30 PM | – | – | – | – | 0.00 | High |
| Press Conference | 02:30 PM | – | – | – | – | 0.00 | High |
| Thursday, July 31, 2025 | |||||||
| Challenger Job Cuts (Jul) | 07:30 AM | 62.075 K | 71 K | 47.999 K | 14.076 K | 29.33 | Low |
| Personal Income MoM (Jun) | 08:30 AM | 0.3 % | 0.2 % | -0.4 % | 0.7 % | 175.00 | High |
| Continuing Jobless Claims (Jul/19) | 08:30 AM | 1946 K | 1960 K | 1946 K | 0 K | 0.00 | High |
| Core PCE Price Index MoM (Jun) | 08:30 AM | 0.3 % | 0.3 % | 0.2 % | 0.1 % | 50.00 | High |
| Core PCE Price Index YoY (Jun) | 08:30 AM | 2.8 % | 2.7 % | 2.8 % | 0 % | 0.00 | High |
| Initial Jobless Claims (Jul/26) | 08:30 AM | 218 K | 224 K | 217 K | 1 K | 0.46 | High |
| Jobless Claims 4-Week Average (Jul/26) | 08:30 AM | 221 K | 226 K | 224.5 K | -3.5 K | -1.56 | High |
| Employment Benefits QoQ (Q2) | 08:30 AM | 0.7 % | – | 1.2 % | -0.5 % | -41.67 | Low |
| Employment Cost – Benefits QoQ (Q2) | 08:30 AM | 0.7 % | 1 % | 1.2 % | -0.5 % | -41.67 | Medium |
| Employment Cost Index QoQ (Q2) | 08:30 AM | 0.9 % | 0.8 % | 0.9 % | 0 % | 0.00 | Medium |
| Employment Cost – Wages QoQ (Q2) | 08:30 AM | 1 % | 0.8 % | 0.8 % | 0.2 % | 25.00 | Medium |
| Employment Wages QoQ (Q2) | 08:30 AM | 1 % | – | 0.8 % | 0.2 % | 25.00 | Low |
| PCE Price Index MoM (Jun) | 08:30 AM | 0.3 % | 0.3 % | 0.2 % | 0.1 % | 50.00 | Medium |
| PCE Price Index YoY (Jun) | 08:30 AM | 2.6 % | 2.5 % | 2.4 % | 0.2 % | 8.33 | Medium |
| Personal Spending MoM (Jun) | 08:30 AM | 0.3 % | 0.4 % | 0 % | 0.3 % | 0.00 | High |
| Chicago PMI (Jul) | 09:45 AM | 47.1 | 42 | 40.4 | 6.7 | 16.58 | Medium |
| EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change (Jul/25) | 10:30 AM | 48 B | 38 B | 23 B | 25 B | 108.70 | Low |
| 4-Week Bill Auction | 11:30 AM | 4.29 % | – | 4.245 % | 0.045 % | 1.06 | Low |
| 8-Week Bill Auction | 11:30 AM | 4.29 % | – | 4.265 % | 0.025 % | 0.59 | Low |
| Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3) | 11:30 AM | 2.3 | – | – | – | 0.00 | Medium |
| 15-Year Mortgage Rate (Jul/31) | 12:00 PM | 5.85 % | – | 5.87 % | -0.02 % | -0.34 | Low |
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jul/31) | 12:00 PM | 6.72 % | – | 6.74 % | -0.02 % | -0.30 | Low |
| Fed Balance Sheet (Jul/30) | 04:30 PM | 6.64 T | – | 6.66 T | -0.02 T | -0.30 | Low |
| Friday, August 1, 2025 | |||||||
| Unemployment Rate (Jul) | 08:30 AM | – | 4.2 % | 4.1 % | – | 0.00 | High |
| Average Hourly Earnings MoM (Jul) | 08:30 AM | – | 0.3 % | 0.2 % | – | 0.00 | Medium |
| Average Hourly Earnings YoY (Jul) | 08:30 AM | – | 3.8 % | 3.7 % | – | 0.00 | Medium |
| Average Weekly Hours (Jul) | 08:30 AM | – | 34.2 | 34.2 | – | 0.00 | Low |
| U-6 Unemployment Rate (Jul) | 08:30 AM | – | 7.8 % | 7.7 % | – | 0.00 | High |
| Manufacturing Payrolls (Jul) | 08:30 AM | – | -3 K | -7 K | – | 0.00 | Low |
| Government Payrolls (Jul) | 08:30 AM | – | 5 K | 73 K | – | 0.00 | Low |
| Non Farm Payrolls (Jul) | 08:30 AM | – | 110 K | 147 K | – | 0.00 | High |
| Nonfarm Payrolls Private (Jul) | 08:30 AM | – | 100 K | 74 K | – | 0.00 | High |
| Participation Rate (Jul) | 08:30 AM | – | 62.3 % | 62.3 % | – | 0.00 | Medium |
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Jul) | 09:45 AM | – | 49.5 | 52.9 | – | 0.00 | High |
| Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations (Jul) | 10:00 AM | – | 3.6 % | 4 % | – | 0.00 | Low |
| ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jul) | 10:00 AM | – | 49.5 | 49 | – | 0.00 | High |
| Construction Spending MoM (Jun) | 10:00 AM | – | 0.1 % | -0.3 % | – | 0.00 | Low |
| ISM Manufacturing Prices (Jul) | 10:00 AM | – | 70 | 69.7 | – | 0.00 | Low |
| Michigan Inflation Expectations (Jul) | 10:00 AM | – | 4.4 % | 5 % | – | 0.00 | Low |
| Michigan Current Conditions (Jul) | 10:00 AM | – | 66.8 | 64.8 | – | 0.00 | Low |
| Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Jul) | 10:00 AM | – | 62 | 60.7 | – | 0.00 | High |
| Michigan Consumer Expectations (Jul) | 10:00 AM | – | 58.6 | 58.1 | – | 0.00 | Low |
| ISM Manufacturing Employment (Jul) | 10:00 AM | – | 45.3 | 45 | – | 0.00 | Medium |
| ISM Manufacturing New Orders (Jul) | 10:00 AM | – | 47.2 | 46.4 | – | 0.00 | Low |
| Inflation Expectations (Jul) | 10:00 AM | – | 3.6 % | 4 % | – | 0.00 | Medium |
| Total Vehicle Sales (Jul) | 10:00 AM | – | 16 M | 15.3 M | – | 0.00 | Low |
| Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count (Aug/01) | 01:00 PM | – | – | 415 | – | 0.00 | Low |
| Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3) | 01:00 PM | – | 2.3 % | 2.3 % | – | 0.00 | Medium |
| CFTC Copper Speculative net positions | 03:30 PM | – | – | 39.8 K | – | 0.00 | Low |
| CFTC Corn speculative net positions | 03:30 PM | – | – | -133.9 K | – | 0.00 | Low |
| CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions | 03:30 PM | – | – | 153.3 K | – | 0.00 | Medium |
| CFTC Gold Speculative net positions | 03:30 PM | – | – | 253 K | – | 0.00 | Medium |
| CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions | 03:30 PM | – | – | 30.7 K | – | 0.00 | Medium |
| CFTC Wheat speculative net positions | 03:30 PM | – | – | -53.9 K | – | 0.00 | Low |
| CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions | 03:30 PM | – | – | -168.5 K | – | 0.00 | Medium |
| CFTC Soybeans speculative net positions | 03:30 PM | – | – | 36 K | – | 0.00 | Low |
| CFTC Silver Speculative net positions | 03:30 PM | – | – | 60.6 K | – | 0.00 | Low |
| CFTC Natural Gas speculative net positions | 03:30 PM | – | – | -77.6 K | – | 0.00 | Low |
| CFTC Aluminium Speculative net positions | 03:30 PM | – | – | 0.5 K | – | 0.00 | Low |