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Earnings Preview/Review
Hello members! We hope your weekend is going well. We’re hoping to help get your game-planning on track by taking a few minutes to look at the week ahead review last weeks earnings.
Key Earnings Review
Thursday, January 23, 2025
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General Electric (GE):
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Performance: GE reported EPS of 1.32, beating estimates of 1.05, with revenue of 9.88B vs. 9.49B expected.
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Market Impact: Shares surged 6.6% as the company highlighted strong performance in its aerospace and defense segments, along with improved supply chain conditions.
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Union Pacific (UNP):
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Performance: EPS of 2.91 exceeded estimates of 2.76, while revenue of $6.12B slightly missed expectations.
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Market Impact: Shares rose 5.2% due to lower fuel costs and improved operational efficiency.
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Elevance Health (ELV):
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Performance: EPS of 3.84 beat estimates of 3.80, with revenue of 45.44B vs. 44.95B expected.
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Market Impact: Shares gained 2% as the company raised its dividend and highlighted growth in its pharmacy coverage unit.
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Texas Instruments (TXN):
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Performance: EPS of 1.30 beat estimates of 1.20, with revenue of 4.01B vs. 3.88B expected.
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Market Impact: Shares rose 2.5% as the company benefited from strong demand in industrial and automotive markets.
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Wednesday, January 22, 2025
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Johnson & Johnson (JNJ):
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Performance: EPS of 2.04 beat estimates of 1.99, but revenue of $22.52B was in line with expectations.
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Market Impact: Shares fell 2% due to weaker-than-expected sales guidance for 2025.
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Procter & Gamble (PG):
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Performance: EPS of 1.88 met estimates, while revenue of 21.88B exceeded expectations of $21.58B.
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Market Impact: Shares rose 1.9% as the company highlighted growth in its Baby, Feminine & Family Care segment.
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Travelers Companies (TRV):
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Performance: EPS of 9.15 significantly beat estimates of 6.70, with revenue of 10.74B vs. 10.85B expected.
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Market Impact: Shares gained 3.1% due to strong growth in premiums and profitability.
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Netflix (NFLX):
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Performance: Netflix added 19 million subscribers, beating expectations, and raised its revenue outlook.
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Market Impact: Shares surged 9.7%, making it the top performer in the S&P 500 for the day.
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Market Overview
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S&P 500 Performance: The S&P 500 reached a record closing high of 6,118.71 on Thursday, driven by strong earnings and optimism around AI investments.
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Tech Sector: AI-related stocks, including Nvidia (NVDA) and Oracle (ORCL), saw significant gains following announcements of a $500B AI infrastructure project.
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Energy Sector: Nuclear energy stocks, such as Oklo (OKLO) and NuScale Power (SMR), surged due to expectations of increased energy demand for AI infrastructure.
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Travel and Airlines: United Airlines (UAL) and American Airlines (AAL) reported mixed results, with UAL gaining on strong demand but AAL falling 8.7% due to weak guidance.
Key Themes
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AI Optimism: The announcement of a $500B AI infrastructure project involving Oracle, OpenAI, and SoftBank fueled gains in tech and energy stocks.
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Earnings Strength: Companies like GE, Netflix, and Travelers outperformed expectations, driving market gains.
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Sector Rotation: While tech and industrials led the rally, renewable energy stocks like First Solar (FSLR) struggled due to policy shifts under the new administration.
Last week’s Conclusion
The week was marked by strong corporate earnings, particularly in the tech and industrial sectors, and optimism around AI investments. However, concerns about overvaluation and policy shifts under the Trump administration created some volatility, particularly in renewable energy and airlines. The S&P 500’s record highs reflect a combination of robust earnings and investor enthusiasm for AI-driven growth.
Here’s the updated analysis focusing on earnings reports from January 25–29, 2025, with the most important companies highlighted:
Monday, January 27, 2025
AT&T (T)
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Why It Matters: AT&T is a major player in the telecom sector, and its earnings will provide insights into wireless and streaming trends.
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What to Watch:
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HBO Max Performance: Subscriber growth and churn rates for its streaming service.
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Debt Reduction: Progress on reducing its significant debt load.
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5G Rollout: Updates on 5G adoption and capital expenditures.
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United Airlines (UAL)
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Why It Matters: UAL is a key player in the airline industry, and its earnings will reflect trends in travel demand and operational efficiency.
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What to Watch:
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Revenue Growth: Expected revenue of $2.96B will indicate whether travel demand remains strong.
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Fuel Costs: Rising fuel prices could pressure margins.
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International Travel: Recovery in international routes will be a key driver.
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Tuesday, January 28, 2025
Boeing (BA)
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Why It Matters: Boeing is a critical player in the aerospace and defense sector, and its performance impacts the broader industrial sector.
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What to Watch:
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Commercial Aircraft Deliveries: Progress on resolving supply chain issues and delivering 737 MAX and 787 Dreamliner planes.
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Defense Revenue: Growth in defense contracts amid geopolitical tensions.
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Losses: Expected EPS of -$1.60 highlights ongoing challenges.
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General Motors (GM)
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Why It Matters: GM is a leader in the automotive industry, and its earnings will provide insights into EV adoption and consumer demand for vehicles.
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What to Watch:
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EV Sales: Growth in electric vehicle sales and margins.
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Guidance: Updates on production targets and supply chain challenges.
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Profitability: Rising labor costs and competition could pressure margins.
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Starbucks (SBUX)
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Why It Matters: Starbucks is a key player in the consumer discretionary sector, and its earnings reflect trends in consumer spending and dining habits.
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What to Watch:
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Same-Store Sales: Growth in comparable store sales, particularly in the U.S. and China.
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Labor Costs: Impact of wage increases on profitability.
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Outlook: Guidance on consumer demand and store expansion plans.
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Wednesday, January 29, 2025
Microsoft (MSFT)
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Why It Matters: Microsoft is a tech giant and a major driver of the S&P 500. Its earnings will have a significant impact on the broader market.
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What to Watch:
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Cloud Growth: Azure’s performance and its competition with AWS.
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AI Investments: Updates on AI-driven products and revenue growth.
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Margins: Impact of capital expenditures on profitability.
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Meta Platforms (META)
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Why It Matters: Meta is a leader in social media and digital advertising, and its earnings will provide insights into ad spending trends and AI investments.
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What to Watch:
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Ad Revenue: Growth in advertising revenue, particularly from Reels and AI-driven ad tools.
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Metaverse Investments: Updates on Reality Labs and its impact on profitability.
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User Growth: Engagement trends across Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp.
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Tesla (TSLA)
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Why It Matters: Tesla is a leader in the EV market, and its earnings will influence sentiment across the auto and tech sectors.
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What to Watch:
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Vehicle Deliveries: Growth in deliveries and production capacity.
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Margins: Impact of price cuts and rising competition on profitability.
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Cybertruck: Updates on Cybertruck production and demand.
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Key Themes for the Week:
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Tech Sector: MSFT, META, and TSLA will highlight trends in cloud computing, AI, and EVs.
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Travel Recovery: UAL will reflect the state of the travel industry.
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Industrial Sector: BA and GM will shed light on supply chain challenges and demand for durable goods.
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Consumer Spending: SBUX will provide insights into consumer health and discretionary spending.
Disclaimer: Charts and analysis are for discussion and education purposes only. I am not a financial advisor, do not give financial advice and am not recommending the buying or selling of any security.
Remember: Not all setups will trigger. Not all setups will be profitable. Not all setups should be taken. These are simply the setups that I have put together for years on my own and what I watch as part of my own “game plan” coming into each day. Good luck!
This post goes out as an email to our subscribers every day and is posted for free here around 2 PM ET. To get your real-time copy, sign up for the free or premium version here: Opening Print Subscribe.
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