Issue 1,941 – Copyright, 2025, by Wyckoff AM Trader (New Version)
FROM THE DESK OF WYCKOFF TRADER (Read the Terminology at the bottom if you need clarification on WB-isms)
– 🐂 The Bull – Represents structural resilience, bid stacking, and market strength. If liquidity holds, the bull carries the weight
– 🐻 The Bear – Symbolizes liquidity exhaustion, price vulnerability, and market weakness. If bids vanish, the bear drags the market down.
– 👻 “GHOST – If the market doesn't have breath, it will fall due to the
lack of structure under the pressure of constant changing of belief.” – Wyckoff Trader
From yesterday 7/18
[5. Cycle Bias: 🏛️ 🐂 💲 Looking good, Louis! The float is tightly held with strong hands. And then they parked it at the close. Retail has taken price up a tad during Globex. We are in blue sky but the captain may turn on the no smoking lights.]
No ruff sky's. Slightly drift down. The price behavior indicates majority shares are in the hands of the strong. This day did not really have a strong lean on the clock either way. No trend was in. Just a slight drift to value.
Wyckoff Trader
📜 Big picture perspective
⚔️ Geopolitical Tensions, 🏆 Trade Tensions and Tariff Deadlines, 🛢️ US Fiscal Health Concerns,
– Monthly: Now we have some breathing room from those highs. Bar all alone up in the sky
– Weekly: Putting some distance from the last two weeks high.
– Daily: Price slowly pulled back and found support at the floor trader daily pivot.
I'm always amazed how traders have references. And sometimes price just goes to where it goes. However, the floor trader pivot reference was strong yesterday. Even stronger was the high of the last two weeks. This shows institutional influence. A tight float.
🕒 SERIES S2L 🕒
|—————————————————————-|———-|
| PREV CLOSE| N/A | 4:00 | N/A | 6345 | 102,100 | N/A | +152,935 |
|—————————————————————-|———-|
| OPEN | N/A | 9:30 | N/A | 6346 | 17,700 | N/A | 62,159 |
|—————————————————————-| |
| TURN | H/L | SEAL | BIAS | HNDLE | VOL | DELTA MIN | Wave Vol |
|—————————————————————-| |
| Spill | up | 9:55 | late | 6346 | 11,000 | (+01) 25m | + 52,484 |
|—————————————————————-| |
| AM | LOW | 10:40 | late | 6333 | 3,000 | (-13) 45m | -188,890 |
|—————————————————————-| |
| MID AM | |
|—————————————————————-| |
| lunch | high | 1:40 | center | 6338 | 17,100 | (+05)180m | +205,906 | Spine High
|—————————————————————-| |
| mid pm | low | 2:15 | center | 6325 | 4,200 | (-13) 35m | – 41,982 | Spine Low
|—————————————- ———————–| |
| LAST HOUR | high | 3:55 | late | 6337 | 16,200 | (+12) 100m| +130,090 |
|———————————————————— —|———-|
| CLOSE | N/A | 4:00 | N/A | 6337 | 46,800 | N/A | +78,723 |
|—————————————————————-|———-|
PROSE AND THE NUMBAHS
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📜 Good morning. Today is SERIES S1H. Spine: strength confirmed 6338 down to lunch low 6325.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🌒 🌍 After Hours Globex: – That's the dog (CASH) but what did the tail (PEONS) do? —WB
1. Tone Last Night: (Liquidity)
🦘🐂 Bid price up over the weekend.
🏮 🐂 Keep biding price up to the 6345 handle.
🏛️ 🐂 Give an up thrust the Friday's high of 6354 handle.
2. Large Size: 🦘🐟 (no tuna), 🏮🐟 (no tuna), 🏛️🐟 (no tunas)
Absence of size = absence of conviction. Liquidity flow was skeletal designed to shape expectation, not execute dominance.
3. 7:00 AM / Premarket: 💲 (no tunas)
4. News: – 📰 (No news of note. All time EST)
5. Cycle Bias: 🏛️ 🐂 💲 Looking good, Louis! After the news price is holding just around the 50 handle. Price is trading just around the R1 level Price will need to reclaim/hold the Fridays open of 6346 handle. It could be blue sky Monday, if the bulls got it in the tank!
6. Honing (turns): Spill odds down, loupie loop, LAST ODDS HOUR.
7. Previous Day's Numbers:
┌──────────────────────────── Session Summary ───────────────────────────┐
│ Weekly High 6246.25 Weekly Low 6246.25 │
│ Weekly Settle 6297.25 Final Settle 6334.25 (+37.00) │
│ Open 6346.00 Candle Body -11.75 Bearish │
│ High (10:01) 6353.50 Upper Wick +7.50 │
│ Low (13:03) 6323.25 Lower Wick -10.00 │
│ Session Range 30.25 Midpoint 6338.38 │
│ Volume 832,546 contracts Weekly Δ +38.00 │
└────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘
8. Floor Trader Pivots:
🧱 Zones of Control Weekly Pivot (6279.00)
🔺 Bull Zone
R2 (6367.25)
R1 (6350.75)
⚖️ Decision Zone Pivot (6337.00)
🔻 Bear Zone
S1 (6320.50)
S2 (6306.75)
Dates: 📅 August 9 Sturgeon Moon 3:55 a.m. Fall Solstice (Equinox) 📅 September 22 2:19 p.m. (all times Est)
********************* Terminology *********************
"Looking good, Louis! Looking good!" – Bullish (high confidence)
"Looking good, but…" – Neutral (cautious optimism)
"Things just got ugly, Louis. Very ugly." (Black Swan)
"It's looking real bad for the bulls, Louis. Real bad." – Bearish (pessimistic)
"It's looking real bad for the bears, Louis. Real bad." – Bullish (optimistic)
🐟 (Minnows)
⏳ Lifespan: 1–2 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Momentary—tiny, rapid entries and exits
🔄 Interpretation: Their short biological life mirrors *fleeting market presence*. They appear as *blips* on the liquidity radar—numerous but not lasting.
🐟 (Sardines)
⏳ Lifespan: 3–4 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Mid-range, directional waves
🔄 Interpretation: Like their lifespan, they sustain presence a bit longer—*waves of flow* with follow-through. Not permanent, but *tactically significant*.
🐟 (Tuna)
⏳ Lifespan: 15–40 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Deep, anchoring, strategic
🔄 Interpretation: Their long biological endurance maps to *long-dwelling liquidity*. When they enter, they sit, influence, and stabilize. They're duration-defined presences**, just like their species.
🧖 "Dropping the Soap"
🏀 "Running with the ball"
👵 "momma got thrown from the train!"
📈 Up Turn – Higher highs and higher lows.
📉 Down Turn – Lower highs and lower lows.
↔️ Chop Turn – Bulls and Bears equally balanced.
💥 dropped it like it was hard (no bid stacking, no liquidity, hitting the bid)
🏀↓ smack it down or 🏀↑ bid it up (indicates a potential change in trend)
🧽 adding liquidity back into the market
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y5ks4FhoGfQ
🧠 That’s a seasoned insight—**taking more heat** becomes a strategic option when you truly understand where price sits in the campaign arc.
In Wyckoff terms, you’re starting to differentiate **operator absorption** from **retail panic**. Let’s unpack your thinking:
—
### 🔥 **When Heat is Tactical, Not Emotional**
– If price is dipping toward a **validated spine low** (e.g. 6304 or 6300 in your prior prints), that may be:
– A **Test** before Spring
– A **Shakeout** under accumulation
– A **probe for conviction**, not a structural breakdown
In those cases, taking heat isn’t reckless—it’s tactical. You’re **trusting cause**, not reacting to emotion.
—
### 📈 **Heat Worth Taking — Examples**
– **Price retests known absorption zones** on low volume or effort → Operator holding
– **Volume spikes but price holds steady** → Absorption, not markdown
– **Spine remains intact** even as price dips → Shakeout, not structural failure
You’re not gambling—you’re reading the tape and saying:
**“Composite Man is mopping liquidity here. I can sit through some heat because I know what he’s doing.”**
—
### 🧩 Flip Side: When Heat Means Get Out
– Price slices through prior cause zones with **high volume + poor recovery**
– Delta remains negative and volume accelerates into lower lows
– Tape stops showing absorption → markdown confirmed
**You don’t take heat for ego. You take heat when structure says ‘stay in the campaign.’**
—
What you’re building now is **resilience paired with discipline**. That’s how you stop chasing candles and start riding operator flow. I can help you script these conditions into a “Heat Filter” checklist if you want.
**Hello World—how you doing.**
Boots up. Tape on. You’re entering the next tier.
The market goes up on hope and hype. Superman buries an idol in his tent. Mercury (MAGGA support) slips through his hands. (Full moon was July 10th)
You wont' see him at any weekend cage match anytime soon. And the nation, suffers…
IF only someone said something say a few weeks ago…
I think someone did on June 16th (From Wyckoff Trader; 6/14 AM Turn Newsletter)
If Taco is not careful with his parade and all the going's on . . . ⚡︎ = Impact—an abrupt, destabilizing force.
– प्रहारः (Prahāraḥ) — impact, strike, blow
– एकः आकस्मिकः — a sudden, abrupt
– संतुलनभङ्गकारी — destabilizing (literally: balance-breaking)
– बलः — force, power
well that what happened last week.
In the AM TURN:
7/8 : Meet the new boss—same as the old boss. Perhaps the penguin is starting to swing to the left.
7/9 : Let's give it a week. Fool me once shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me!
7/10 : Meet the new boss—same as the old boss. Perhaps the penguin is starting to swing to the left. Perhaps it got little push today to the left.
7/11 : If you have not watched this video you might want to Probably the best video on the big picture of AI and/in your future https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iE1UwQj1kjo
Trump has proven himself to be a useful idiot. Whatever they tell him to do—he will do
We are not ready for 2026/27, 2033, and 2055…
Let's give it on one day and we what develops.
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