Issue 1,946 – Copyright, 2025, by Wyckoff AM Trader (New Version)
FROM THE DESK OF WYCKOFF TRADER (Read the Terminology at the bottom if you need clarification on WB-isms)
– 🐂 The Bull – Represents structural resilience, bid stacking, and market strength. If liquidity holds, the bull carries the weight
– 🐻 The Bear – Symbolizes liquidity exhaustion, price vulnerability, and market weakness. If bids vanish, the bear drags the market down.
– 👻 “GHOST – If the market doesn't have breath, it will fall due to the
lack of structure under the pressure of constant changing of belief.” – Wyckoff Trader
From yesterday 7/28
[5. Cycle Bias: 🏛️ 🐂 💲 Looking good, Louis! Trading at all-time highs. I'm seeing a tight float. No news today but Jobs Friday. Potential for a wild ride this week as Trumps plans either come together or fall apart. The truth, you can't handle the truth.]
I think Trader Guy said it very well:
ME: so you think it was accumulation?
Guy/AI: Absolutely. The tape tells a structured accumulation story with textbook rhythm:
– 📉 **Early Shakeout (9:55 & 11:20):** Sudden drops lacked sustained follow-through and were met with absorption. Operators were probing for weak hands—not chasing downside.
– 📈 **Spine High Retests (10:20 & 12:25):** Price returned toward 6434 with muted delta, confirming hidden strength. These weren’t breakout attempts—they were value reconfirmations.
– 🔄 **Spring Mechanics (14:05):** The push down to 6409 was the turning point. Heavy effort, but weak result = classic spring behavior. Smart money was scooping low-risk inventory.
– 💪 **LPS & Reclaim (16:00):** Final surge to 6425 with high volume and net positive delta signals demand dominance. That’s the Last Point of Support—accumulation finishing touches.
This wasn’t a wide campaign, but the intention was surgical: composite hands methodically rebuilt control beneath the bull zone. No distribution markers, no trapping above resistance. Just stealth bidding until they were ready to mark it up.
Wyckoff Trader
P.S.
Let's get to the markets!
📜 Big picture perspective
⚔️ Geopolitical Tensions, 🏆 Trade Tensions and Tariff Deadlines, 🛢️ US Fiscal Health Concerns,
– Monthly: Just a slight pull back from the highs.
– Weekly: What started out as a good run was given all away; Price trading back at previous weeks close.
– Daily: Perhaps a minor upthrust. Price got too higher for bulls to follow. Slight pull back.
I'm always amazed how traders have references. And sometimes price just goes to where it goes. However, the floor trader pivot reference was strong yesterday. Even stronger was the high of the last two weeks. This shows institutional influence. A tight float.
🕒 SERIES S4H 🕒
|—————————————————————-|
| PREV CLOSE| N/A | 4:00 | N/A | 6426 | 69,400 | +20 |
|—————————————————————-|
| OPEN | N/A | 9:30 | N/A | 6432 | 41,500 | +06 |
|—————————————————————-|
| TURN | H/L | SEAL | BIAS | HNDLE | VOL | DELTA MIN |
|—————————————————————-|
| Spill | dn | 9:55 | early | 6425 | 3,800 | (-07) 25m |
|—————————————————————-|
| AM | HIGH | 10:20 | late | 6434 | 10,400 | (+09) 25m | Spine High
|—————————————————————-|
| MID AM | LOW | 11:20 | late | 6417 | 10,400 | (-17) 60m |
|—————————————————————-|
| lunch | high | 12:25 | center | 6430 | 8,100 | (+13) 65m |
|—————————————————————-|
| mid pm | low | 2:05 | center | 6409 | 9,500 | (-21)150m | Spine Low
|—————————————- ———————–|
| LAST HOUR | high | 4:00 | late | 6425 | 62,100 | (+16)115m |
|—————————————————————-|
| CLOSE | N/A | 4:00 | N/A | 6425 | 62,100 | -07 |
|—————————————————————-|
PROSE AND THE NUMBAHS
They say you can only make a decision based upon who you are; or after your decision—who you were. You have freedom to choose but you can only choose based upon who you are at your present—space time moment but you have total and absolute freedom to choose who you will become!
— Wyckoff Trader
Heraclitus. 🔥 “No man ever steps in the same river twice, for it's not the same river and he's not the same man.” In our case the same trade.
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📜 Good morning. Today is SERIES S1L. Spine: strength confirmed 6434 down to lunch low 6409.
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🌒 🌍 After Hours Globex: – That's the dog (CASH) but what did the tail (PEONS) do? —WB
1. Tone Last Night: (Liquidity)
🦘🐂 Just took price back up from the close
🏮 🐂 Keep bidding price to recover the CASH LOSS.
🏛️ 🐂 Bid price up to the previous day Globex high and now trading just around the open.
2. Large Size: 🦘🐟 (no tuna), 🏮🐟 (no tuna), 🏛️🐟 (no tunas)
Absence of size = absence of conviction. Liquidity flow was skeletal designed to shape expectation, not execute dominance.
3. 7:00 AM / Premarket: 💲 (no tunas) Trading in tight five handle range looking for direction.
4. News: – 📰 (No news of note. All time EST)
5. Cycle Bias: 🏛️ 🐂 💲 Looking good, Louis! Trading at all-time highs.
6. Honing (turns): Spill odds up, loupie loop, mid pm low, LAST ODDS LOW.
7. Previous Day's Numbers:
┌──────────────────────────── Session Summary ───────────────────────────┐
│ Weekly High 6431.00 Weekly Low 6318.75 │
│ Weekly Settle 6425.00 Final Settle 6423.25 (-1.75) │
│ Open 6429.00 Candle Body -5.75 Weak │
│ High (10:18) 6434.25 Upper Wick +5.25 │
│ Low (14:07) 6408.75 Lower Wick -19.50 │
│ Session Range 25.50 Midpoint 6421.50 │
│ Volume 762,552 contracts Weekly Δ -1.75 │
└────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘
8. 🧭 Floor Trader Pivots: Weekly Pivot (6356.00)
🔺 Bull Zone
– R2 (6447.88)
– R1 (6435.56)
⚖️ Decision Zone – Pivot (6424.00)
🔻 Bear Zone
– S1 (6411.68)
– S2 (6400.12)
Dates: 📅 August 9 Sturgeon Moon 3:55 a.m. Fall Solstice (Equinox) 📅 September 22 2:19 p.m. (all times Est)
********************* Terminology *********************
"Looking good, Louis! Looking good!" – Bullish (high confidence)
"Looking good, but…" – Neutral (cautious optimism)
"Things just got ugly, Louis. Very ugly." (Black Swan)
"It's looking real bad for the bulls, Louis. Real bad." – Bearish (pessimistic)
"It's looking real bad for the bears, Louis. Real bad." – Bullish (optimistic)
🐟 (Minnows)
⏳ Lifespan: 1–2 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Momentary—tiny, rapid entries and exits
🔄 Interpretation: Their short biological life mirrors *fleeting market presence*. They appear as *blips* on the liquidity radar—numerous but not lasting.
🐟 (Sardines)
⏳ Lifespan: 3–4 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Mid-range, directional waves
🔄 Interpretation: Like their lifespan, they sustain presence a bit longer—*waves of flow* with follow-through. Not permanent, but *tactically significant*.
🐟 (Tuna)
⏳ Lifespan: 15–40 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Deep, anchoring, strategic
🔄 Interpretation: Their long biological endurance maps to *long-dwelling liquidity*. When they enter, they sit, influence, and stabilize. They're duration-defined presences**, just like their species.
🧖 "Dropping the Soap"
🏀 "Running with the ball"
👵 "momma got thrown from the train!"
📈 Up Turn – Higher highs and higher lows.
📉 Down Turn – Lower highs and lower lows.
↔️ Chop Turn – Bulls and Bears equally balanced.
💥 dropped it like it was hard (no bid stacking, no liquidity, hitting the bid)
🏀↓ smack it down or 🏀↑ bid it up (indicates a potential change in trend)
🧽 adding liquidity back into the market
### 🧠 Your Three-Lens Wyckoff View
#### **1. What HAS the market done?** (The Past 📚)
This reveals the **setup** for the Composite Man’s campaign.
– Was there a **climactic move** or **stopping action**? (Phase A)
– Are we coming off a **shakeout/spring** or **upthrust**? (Phase C)
– Has price built a **cause** over time? (Phase B)
Use this to identify the **current phase** and where smart money might already be positioned.
#### **2. What IS the market doing?** (The Present 🔍)
This is the heartbeat of today’s price action.
– How is price **reacting to key levels** or volume surges?
– Are buyers or sellers showing **control in real time**?
– Is volume **confirming** or **contradicting** price movement?
This tells you what role you’re meant to play right now: **observer**, **participant**, or **predator**.
#### **3. What is the market’s NEXT probable move?** (The Future 🧭)
This is the payoff—your anticipated edge.
– If we’re in Phase C (spring/upthrust), anticipate Phase D (markup/markdown).
– If we’re in Phase B, look for **tests**, traps, or fake moves that signal readiness.
– Use **Effort vs. Result**, structural analysis, and volume clues to forecast.
What is the markets next probable move?
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