5 January, 2026

Happy New Year! 

The Peak team is back on deck. 

Hoping you had a fantastic break and we’re looking forward to a big 2026 with you!

Across Markets…

Equity markets are expected to open modestly higher on Monday despite the risk to the oil price from the US capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, as investors await key pieces of economic data that could determine the next moves on interest rates.

Given the recent slump in the price of crude to around $US60 ($90) a barrel and indications of oversupply in the first quarter, analysts expect the oil market to easily absorb any possible halt to production from the South American country, which accounts for less than 1 per cent of global supplies.

Maduro’s ousting over the weekend follows weeks of US pressure to effect regime change in Venezuela. President Donald Trump said over the weekend that the military operation would pave the way for US companies to regain a foothold in the oil-rich country, with Chevron the only major American energy company operating there.

The heightened geopolitical risk, however, is expected to wash over developed markets with investors more preoccupied with the near-term direction of borrowing costs. A flurry of economic data is due this week, including the all-important US non-farm payrolls report and Australia’s monthly consumer price index reading.

As of the close of Wall Street on Friday night, futures for Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index point to a modest 0.1 per cent rise on Monday morning to 8718 points. That follows a lacklustre US session with the S&P 500 Index finishing up just 0.2 per cent.

US equity futures were also trading higher with markets appearing largely unfazed by the drama unfolding in South America. Nasdaq futures were slightly lower, however, with investors jittery about spending on artificial intelligence and the lofty valuations of the US tech giants.

“I see the markets grinding slightly higher in 2026 because there is nothing really to stop it at this point,” said Stephen Miller, an investment strategy adviser at GSFM in Sydney.

“One day there’ll be a correction, but it’s always hard to see a catalyst until it arrives. I can’t see Venezuela being a catalyst, though what it does do is emphasise that there are some huge inflection points taking place in geopolitics.”

Source: AFR

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Closer to home


NuEnergy Gas gets ready for a year of transformation

Special report: NuEnergy Gas is heading into 2026 with its first commercial coal bed methane (CBM) revenue firmly in sight as it transitions to production.

After reaching a key milestone late in 2025 at the Tanjung Enim project, the company is preparing to deliver initial gas sales of 1 million standard cubic feet per day (MMSCFD) in the first half of the year.

The move will mark Indonesia’s first CBM sales and NuEnergy (ASX: NGY) plans to ramp up revenue by developing a parcel of four strategic assets in South Sumatra.

POD 1 milestone

The final well in the early-gas program at Tanjung Enim was completed in November 2025, allowing the start of dewatering and optimising the flows.

All gas from the early wells at Tanjung Enim will be taken by Indonesia’s leading gas distributor, PT Perusahaan Gas Negara Tbk (PGN).

A Binding Gas Sales and Purchase Agreement of up to 1MMSCFD with a term of 13 years was signed in December 2025.

First revenue is expected in early 2026 from PGN, a subsidiary of state-owned Pertamina, which has secured allocation approval for the gas from Indonesia’s Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (MEMR).

Early sales will mark the beginning of a staged development that will ultimately scale the Tanjung Enim Plan of Development (POD 1) towards plateau production of up to 25 MMSCFD from a total of 209 planned wells.

Encouragingly for NuEnergy, all four early wells intersected thicker-than-expected coal seams, reinforcing favourable comparisons with the Powder River Basin that was a prolific CBM gas province serving the US market in the 2000s.

Indonesian Government approved acreage at Tanjung Enim covers 165 billion cubic feet (BCF) of recoverable reserves, under favourable fiscal terms that give NuEnergy a 95:5 contractor-government split.

Regional hub

NuEnergy Gas holds a combined acreage of 2,279km2 across its assets hosting a total Gas in Place of 9.7 trillion cubic feet (TCF).

With revenue set to flow from Tanjung Enim, NuEnergy will advance its other CBM Production Sharing Contracts (PSCs) in line with its strategy of integrating them into a large-scale regional gas supply hub.

The most advanced Tanjung Enim PSC is just 35km from major trunklines feeding the large and expanding Javanese market to the south, as well as established export pipelines north to Singapore and Malaysia.

Next in line and providing scope for integrated development is the Muara Enim PSC which is at the Preliminary Plan of Development (Pre-POD) stage.

At the third asset, Muralim PSC, dewatering and flaring tests have continued following the 2025 gas discovery report.

Demand pull, government push

Indonesia is home to the world’s fourth-largest population and Southeast Asia’s biggest economy, which is growing at a very robust ~5% a year.

Gas demand is also forecast to power ahead, with PLN tipping a 40% increase by 2030 as new gas-fired power plants come online to replace coal and diesel assets.

The Government is targeting a doubling of domestic gas production by 2030 as a way to bridge the looming energy supply-demand gap and use gas as a key transition fuel in its push to meet its 2060 net-zero goal.

To attract investment into the CBM sector, Indonesia has shifted from traditional cost-recovery terms to a simplified gross-split PSC model, giving developers like NuEnergy its 95:5 contractor split.

“We’re looking forward to advancing our early gas sales initiative from Tanjung Enim and building Indonesia’s largest integrated CBM supply from our four co-located assets,” CEO Lim Beng Hong said.

“With the highly attractive 95:5 contractor split terms, these assets have the potential to deliver significant long-term value for shareholders while also supporting Indonesia’s growing demand for cleaner, reliable energy.”

Source: Stockhead

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