Issue 1,986 – Copyright (c) 2025. All rights reserved. Keeping WB’s Clock Alive Since 2017.
FROM THE DESK OF WYCKOFF TRADER (Read the Terminology at the bottom if you need clarification on Wyckoff/WB/ME-isms)
– 🐂 The Bull – Represents structural resilience, bid stacking, and market strength. If liquidity holds, the bull carries the weight
– 🐻 The Bear – Symbolizes liquidity exhaustion, price vulnerability, and market weakness. If bids vanish, the bear drags the market down.
– 👻 “GHOST – If the market doesn't have breath, it will fall due to the
lack of structure under the pressure of constant changing of belief.” – Wyckoff Trader
THE LONG GAME (if you dare to read)
What I was talking about in 2020; 2026/27, 2033, 2055
I will end the debate with this:
I would say this one individual acting alone takes another individual life. An independent action should not be celebrated as the taking of one life is violating their freedom of will of the other. The Sanguine nature of humanity. Even wild animals do not take another life else they feel their space is threatened.
Looks like the nation is becoming polarized. I don't think they really understand the impact that social media has morphed into splinter groups.
As an observer in history, I would say the media is presenting a master class on how to manipulate the mindless masses… (on both sides)
We'll give this a few more days till this dissipates.
It's interesting how the focus is on humanity. Kimble and now the View. It's going to get interesting.
THE SHORT GAME (Myth → Meaning → Mechanics of the market)
— MYTH MIND WORM IN THE VALLEY —
It looks like the Charle thing has gotten the composite mind on the human side of the equation. What is means to be human. Social styles. Give it time they will slide back into AI. Yesterday was an apology or was it last Nite. Jimmy back on tract. Soon AI will back in focus with data centers and how are we going to power them.
— MEANING – HOW THIS EFFECTS THE STREET —
MAN (RISK OFF): MSFT, GOOG, META, AMZN | MACHINE (RISK OFF): NVDA, TSLA
— MECHANICS – (though the eyes of the Composite Man | WB | ME)
🦅 AM Turn 0923 – Potential Distribution | Good morning. Today is SERIES S1L. IFFY | Spill up → loupie loop → LAST HOUR LOW.
All right. At least I nailed that one. Sometimes it is a no brainer shooting fish in a barrel day. Price has did all it could do. Bulls were exhauted at the highs and they just gave it up. I was the first day of the cycle. The probabilities were leaning to the bearish side. Not sure if it was a news event but you can see around 1:30 pm price is started to get oversold as the price ranges extend as volume increases.
This is a first sign. Then at 3:00 pm less volume and price starts to contact as the low is tested, probed and wetbeaked. And then from the lows price start to move back up into the close.
PROSE AND THE NUMBAHS
They say you can only make a decision based upon who you are; or after your decision—who you were. You have freedom to choose but you can only choose based upon who you are at your present—space time moment but you have total and absolute freedom to choose who you will become!
— Wyckoff Trader
Heraclitus. 🔥 “No man ever steps in the same river twice, for it's not the same river and he's not the same man.” In our case the same trade.
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📜 Good morning. Today is SERIES S2H. IFFY
🎛️ Tape Read: 🏛️🐂💲 "Looking good, but…" – Neutral (cautious optimism) Yesterday potential sell off into former support. Will need to see if bulls show to the party. Most of the extended loss regained. Potential accumulation.
🧭 Honing Turns: Spill down → AM HIGH → (NO MID AM) → lunch low → mid pm high → LAST HOUR LOW.
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Dates: 📅 October 6 Harvest Moon 11:48 p.m. Fall Solstice (Equinox) 📅 September 22 2:19 p.m. (all times Est)
********************* Terminology *********************
"Looking good, Louis! Looking good!" – Bullish (high confidence)
"Looking good, but…" – Neutral (cautious optimism)
"Things just got ugly, Louis. Very ugly." (Black Swan)
"It's looking real bad for the bulls, Louis. Real bad." – Bearish (pessimistic)
"It's looking real bad for the bears, Louis. Real bad." – Bullish (optimistic)
🐟 (Minnows)
⏳ Lifespan: 1–2 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Momentary—tiny, rapid entries and exits
🔄 Interpretation: Their short biological life mirrors *fleeting market presence*. They appear as *blips* on the liquidity radar—numerous but not lasting.
🐟 (Sardines)
⏳ Lifespan: 3–4 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Mid-range, directional waves
🔄 Interpretation: Like their lifespan, they sustain presence a bit longer—*waves of flow* with follow-through. Not permanent, but *tactically significant*.
🐟 (Tuna)
⏳ Lifespan: 15–40 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Deep, anchoring, strategic
🔄 Interpretation: Their long biological endurance maps to *long-dwelling liquidity*. When they enter, they sit, influence, and stabilize. They're duration-defined presences**, just like their species.
🧖 "Dropping the Soap"
🏀 "Running with the ball"
👵 "momma got thrown from the train!"
📈 Up Turn – Higher highs and higher lows.
📉 Down Turn – Lower highs and lower lows.
↔️ Chop Turn – Bulls and Bears equally balanced.
💥 dropped it like it was hard (no bid stacking, no liquidity, hitting the bid)
🏀↓ smack it down or 🏀↑ bid it up (indicates a potential change in trend)
🧽 adding liquidity back into the market
Richard D. Wyckoff; and his Composite Man. Don't mix the methods.
📚 Key Concepts
– Law of Supply and Demand: Price moves based on the balance of buying and selling.
– Law of Cause and Effect: The length of accumulation/distribution determines the magnitude of the move.
– Law of Effort vs. Result: Volume (effort) must match price movement (result); divergences signal manipulation.
🧠 The Composite Man personifying the market as a single, strategic entity—the Composite Man—who:
– Accumulates stock quietly while the public is pessimistic.
– Pushes prices up to attract attention and volume.
– Distributes holdings at higher levels while the public buys in.
– Then lets the price fall, starting the cycle again.
📈 Accumulation Phases (Composite Man Buying)
| Phase | Description | Composite Man’s Intent
| A | (PS), (SC), (AR), (ST) | Absorbing supply, testing depth of selling pressure
| B | Building a Cause | Accumulating quietly, creating a trading range, shaking out weak hands
| C | Spring or Shakeout | Final test of support, false breakdown to trap bears and force capitulation
| D | Markup Begins | Breakout above resistance, demand dominates, public begins to enter
| E | Distribution Preparation | Price moves rapidly, Composite Man begins to sell into strength
📉 Distribution Phases (Composite Man Selling)
| Phase | Description | Composite Man’s Intent
| A | (PSY), (BC), (AR), (ST) | Testing demand, beginning to unload inventory
| B | Building a Cause | Distributing quietly, creating a range, trapping late buyers
| C | Upthrust or UTAD | False breakout to lure in buyers before reversal
| D | Markdown Begins | Breakdown below support, supply overwhelms demand
| E | Accumulation Preparation | Price declines rapidly, Composite Man begins to buy again
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/technology/the-ai-bubble-may-be-about-to-pop-here-s-what-mit-s-95-failure-stat-means/ar-AA1LrdYD?ocid=socialshare
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/texas-a-m-s-firing-of-professor-is-a-dangerous-turning-point-for-academic-freedom-advocates-say/ar-AA1MtzrZ?ocid=socialshare
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/technology/a-strange-object-has-entered-our-solar-system-and-one-scientist-says-it-may-be-an-alien-craft/ar-AA1LuhTJ?ocid=socialshare
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