Issue 2,011 – Copyright (c) 2025. All rights reserved. Keeping WB’s Clock Alive Since 2017.
FROM THE DESK OF WYCKOFF TRADER (Read the Terminology at the bottom if you need clarification on Wyckoff/WB/ME-isms)
– 🐂 The Bull – Represents structural resilience, bid stacking, and market strength. If liquidity holds, the bull carries the weight
– 🐻 The Bear – Symbolizes liquidity exhaustion, price vulnerability, and market weakness. If bids vanish, the bear drags the market down.
– 👻 “GHOST – If the market doesn't have breath, it will fall due to the
lack of structure under the pressure of constant changing of belief.” – Wyckoff Trader
THE LONG GAME (if you dare to read)
What I was talking about in 2020; 2026/27, 2033, 2055
Since the government shut down, the long game seems to be letting the short game take center state. Looks like the focus is on the human aspect with peace in the middle east.
I'm still doubling down on 2027. And this showed up today. I certainty looks like the general public is warming up to the idea.
THE SHORT GAME (Myth → Meaning → Mechanics of the market)
— MYTH MIND WORM IN THE VALLEY — 🧠 Silicon Valley’s Mind Worm: Agentic AI and Compute Fetishism — by Trader Guy/AI
— MEANING – HOW THIS EFFECTS THE STREET —
MAN (RISK ON): GOOG, AAPL, MSFT, AMZN | MACHINE (RISK ON): AVGO, NVDA, META
The little engine that could award for yesterday would have to go to NVDA. Powering the future for tomorrow and driving the moves for today. Volume came in the last 3 hours and pushed the market higher, higher, and higher.
Yes, about the same as before
— MECHANICS – (though the eyes of the Composite Man | WB | ME)
PROSE AND THE NUMBAHS
At the open bulls gaped price up on 12,900 lots and just held the bid. It looked like MSFT and MSTA just offered down as the market slid to seal the spill down at 9:50 am. And for the most part price just worked in a range with the Globex low in it's sights.
I went with S4H. I'm not a fan the time of the turns, cause you can not put your wishes upon the market. Sure we have a window for the turns and center time is around the half hour. To predict with absolute certainty the AM LOW/HIGH will be at 10:40 am before the market open is guessing. Yes, it was center time or just off center time at 10:40 seal.
I've got the seal of the MID AM LOW at 11:40 am just 60 minutes off the AM HIGH. You can see 5,900 lots sealing the deal at the 6903 handle.
Next, we are looking for the lunch high. It's during the SLOG so its going to be whippy…
IMPRO : Wyckoff Trader : (12:20:51 PM) : bulls will need to muster a bit more omph to get through this overhead resisance of the 10:50 am 5,500 lots
IMPRO : seeker : (12:31:38 PM) : where is the headline
IMPRO : dbhammer : (12:31:53 PM) : Trump, Xi to Discuss Lowering China Tariffs for Fentanyl Crackdown — WSJ By Lingling Wei, Hannah Miao and Gavin Bade (Wall Street Journal) — The U.S. would roll back some tariffs on China if Beijing cracks down on the export of chemicals that produce fentanyl, under a trade framework that President Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping are set to discuss Thursday, said people familiar with the talks.
IMPRO : Wyckoff Trader : (12:32:06 PM) : yea about 19,100 lots will do it!
Yea I'm thinking that might have sealed the lunch high at 12:30 early and weak. Center time for lunch high is usually 1:00 pm to 1:30 pm on a strong bullish day. Seeing the 6930 bears steped into the fray and started offering down. 13,600 and 7,200 contracts on the offer. And then the bulls try to step it up. And they did! Just before 1:00 pm 126,357 comes on the SPY. Was it offered or bid?
A bid enters and price seals the mid pm high at 1:55 pm late and strong. The LAST HOUR LOW is uncertain. 3:05 pm crosses the print. And then it looks like price is just going to trade sideways till the close.
IMPRO : Dboy : (12:34:52 PM) : they ran stops
IMPRO : seeker : (12:39:40 PM) : of course its going to be promises never made
IMPRO : seeker : (12:40:04 PM) : but actual negative sentiment after meeting will be ugly in a hurry, gotta be positioned for some cheap downside for that. nq would be down 5% in a day
IMPRO : seeker : (12:40:05 PM) : or more
IMPRO : Jim Mayo : (12:40:44 PM) : XI must be buying cheap puts now
IMPRO : Dboy : (12:41:35 PM) : ES has made 35 new highs not incliding today
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They say you can only make a decision based upon who you are; or after your decision—who you were. You have freedom to choose but you can only choose based upon who you are at your present—space time moment but you have total and absolute freedom to choose who you will become! — Wyckoff Trader
Heraclitus. 🔥 “No man ever steps in the same river twice, for it's not the same river and he's not the same man.” In our case the same trade.
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📜 Good morning. Today is SERIES S1H IFFY.
🎛️ Tape Read: 🏛️🐂💲 "Looking good, Louis! Looking good!" – Bullish (high confidence) Globex Bulls have taken out the highs. Expect today to be one by one's and two by two's at two. So many eddies in the way. Don't get caught up in the fray!
🧭 Honing Turns: Spill odds down → loupie loop → LAST HOUR ODDS HIGH.
SERIES Day (all times EST New York City)
🕒 Spill (9:30 to 9:57)
🕒 AM (10:00 to 10:57)
🕒 MID AM (11:00 to 11:57)
🕒 lunch (12:00 to 1:57)
🕒 mid pm (2:00 to 2:57)
🕒 LAST HOUR (3:00 to 3:57)
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Dates: 📅 October 5 Beaver Moon 8:19 a.m. Fall Solstice (Equinox) 📅 September 22 2:19 p.m. (all times Est)
********************* Terminology *********************
"Looking good, Louis! Looking good!" – Bullish (high confidence)
"Looking good, but…" – Neutral (cautious optimism)
"Things just got ugly, Louis. Very ugly." (Black Swan)
"It's looking real bad for the bulls, Louis. Real bad." – Bearish (pessimistic)
"It's looking real bad for the bears, Louis. Real bad." – Bullish (optimistic)
🐟 (Minnows)
⏳ Lifespan: 1–2 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Momentary—tiny, rapid entries and exits
🔄 Interpretation: Their short biological life mirrors *fleeting market presence*. They appear as *blips* on the liquidity radar—numerous but not lasting.
🐟 (Sardines)
⏳ Lifespan: 3–4 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Mid-range, directional waves
🔄 Interpretation: Like their lifespan, they sustain presence a bit longer—*waves of flow* with follow-through. Not permanent, but *tactically significant*.
🐟 (Tuna)
⏳ Lifespan: 15–40 years
💧 Liquidity Impact: Deep, anchoring, strategic
🔄 Interpretation: Their long biological endurance maps to *long-dwelling liquidity*. When they enter, they sit, influence, and stabilize. They're duration-defined presences**, just like their species.
🧖 "Dropping the Soap"
🏀 "Running with the ball"
👵 "momma got thrown from the train!"
📈 Up Turn – Higher highs and higher lows.
📉 Down Turn – Lower highs and lower lows.
↔️ Chop Turn – Bulls and Bears equally balanced.
💥 dropped it like it was hard (no bid stacking, no liquidity, hitting the bid)
🏀↓ smack it down or 🏀↑ bid it up (indicates a potential change in trend)
🧽 adding liquidity back into the market 🎀 (=^‥^=)
Richard D. Wyckoff; and his Composite Man. Don't mix the methods.
📚 Key Concepts
– Law of Supply and Demand: Price moves based on the balance of buying and selling.
– Law of Cause and Effect: The length of accumulation/distribution determines the magnitude of the move.
– Law of Effort vs. Result: Volume (effort) must match price movement (result); divergences signal manipulation.
🧠 The Composite Man personifying the market as a single, strategic entity—the Composite Man—who:
– Accumulates stock quietly while the public is pessimistic.
– Pushes prices up to attract attention and volume.
– Distributes holdings at higher levels while the public buys in.
– Then lets the price fall, starting the cycle again.
📈 Accumulation Phases (Composite Man Buying)
| Phase | Description | Composite Man’s Intent
| A | (PS), (SC), (AR), (ST) | Absorbing supply, testing depth of selling pressure
| B | Building a Cause | Accumulating quietly, creating a trading range, shaking out weak hands
| C | Spring or Shakeout | Final test of support, false breakdown to trap bears and force capitulation
| D | Markup Begins | Breakout above resistance, demand dominates, public begins to enter
| E | Distribution Preparation | Price moves rapidly, Composite Man begins to sell into strength
📉 Distribution Phases (Composite Man Selling)
| Phase | Description | Composite Man’s Intent
| A | (PSY), (BC), (AR), (ST) | Testing demand, beginning to unload inventory
| B | Building a Cause | Distributing quietly, creating a range, trapping late buyers
| C | Upthrust or UTAD | False breakout to lure in buyers before reversal
| D | Markdown Begins | Breakdown below support, supply overwhelms demand
| E | Accumulation Preparation | Price declines rapidly, Composite Man begins to buy again
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/other/useful-but-flawed-humanoid-robots-could-achieve-autonomy-by-2027-1x-ceo/vi-AA1L03ew?ocid=socialshare
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/alien-encounters-the-wright-patterson-air-force-base-connection/vi-AA1OIQ12?ocid=socialshare
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