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Index Futures Net Changes and Settlements:

Contract Settlement Net Change +/-%
S&P 500 (ESZ18:CME) 2893.75 -0.25 -0.008%
DowJones (YMZ18:CBT) 26,544 +52 +0.19%
Nasdaq 100 (NQZ18:CME) 7391.75 -44.25 -0.59%
Russell 2000 (RTYZ17:CME) 1634.00 -5.40 -0.33%

Foreign Markets, Fair Value and Volume:

  • In Asia 8 out of 11 markets closed lower: Shanghai Comp +0.17%, Hang Seng -0.11%, Nikkei -1.32%
  • In Europe 12 out of 13 markets are trading lower: CAC -0.41%, DAX -0.60%, FTSE -0.49%
  • Fair Value: S&P +4.56, NASDAQ +21.99, Dow +12.32
  • Total Volume: 1.75mil ESZ & 307 SPZ traded in the pit

Today’s Economic Calendar:

Today’s economic calendar includes NFIB Small Business Optimism Index 6:00 AM ET, Redbook 8:55 AM ET, Charles Evans Speaks 10:00 AM ET, John Williams Speaks 9:15 PM ET, and John Williams Speaks 10:35 PM ET.


S&P 500 Futures: #ES 2866, Columbus Day Holiday No Holiday

The S&P 500 futures opened higher in the globex session on Sunday night and chopped through the Asian session before selling down to 2882.50 in the Euro session. From there, the futures sold into the New York open, printing 2881.25 at 8:30 ct, and made a low of 2878.00 on the open before rallying up to the high of day at 2893.00 as the first hour completed.

Sell programs on the half hour began to weaken the markets as the ES dumped down to 2866.00 in short order. Less than 90 minutes later, the ES had traded 10 handles higher to 2876.50, and then saw a retest of the lows, trading down to 2866.50, before rallying through much of the afternoon.

The MiM rose up as high as 1.4 billion to buy, then pared back to just under a billion just before the actual MOC reveal, and the ES traded to 2893.75 before printing 2889.75 on the 3:00 cash close, and then settled at 2894.00, unchanged on the day.

In the end, the ES looked ok when it traded up to 2893.25, but when the DAX started to make new lows the markets just fell apart. In terms of the ES’s overall tone, it definitely seems like there is a pattern of selling off and then rallying in the afternoon. In terms of the days overall trade, 1.75 million ES contracts traded, which is not bad for a holiday when the banks are closed.


Goldman – The Trade War: Bigger Numbers, Same Conclusion

[gview file=”https://mrtopstep.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/GS_The-Trade-War-20181005.pdf”]



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As always, please use protective buy and sell stops when trading futures and options.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. Any decision to purchase or sell as a result of the opinions expressed in the forum will be the full responsibility of the person(s) authorizing such transaction(s). BE ADVISED TO ALWAYS USE PROTECTIVE STOP LOSSES AND ALLOW FOR SLIPPAGE TO MANAGE YOUR TRADE(S) AS AN INVESTOR COULD LOSE ALL OR MORE THAN THEIR INITIAL INVESTMENT. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.

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