Index Futures Net Changes and Settlements:

Contract Settlement Net Change +/-%
S&P 500 (ESZ18:CME) 2641.25 -1.75 -0.06%
DowJones (YMZ18:CBT) 24,422 -68 -0.27%
Nasdaq 100 (NQZ18:CME) 6717.00 +17.75 +0.26%
Russell 2000 (RTYZ17:CME) 1444.20 -2.90 -0.20%

Foreign Markets, Fair Value and Volume:

  • In Asia 11 out of 11 markets closed higher: Shanghai Comp +0.31%, Hang Seng +1.61%, Nikkei +2.15%
  • In Europe 12 out of 13 markets are trading higher: CAC +1.90%, DAX +1.19%, FTSE +1.28%
  • Fair Value: S&P +0.46, NASDAQ +0.78, Dow +13.67
  • Total Volume: 2.26mil ESZ & 1,101 SPZ traded in the pit

As of 8:00 AM EST

Today’s Economic Calendar:

Today’s economic calendar includes MBA Mortgage Applications 7:00 AM ET, CPI 8:30 AM ET, Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations 10:00 AM ET, EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET, a 10-Yr Note Auction 1:00 PM ET, and Treasury Budget 2:00 PM ET.



S&P 500 Futures: ES Pushes Back Up To The 2680 Area

Chart courtesy of @Chicagostock $ES_F Dec 12 = Oct 31? December vs October

After trading higher in the overnight session, the S&P 500 futures opened at 2673.25 on the 8:30 CT bell. The first move was a rally up an early high at 2665.75, followed by a choppy range through the rest of the first hour. At 9:45 a wave of selling came in pulling the benchmark futures down to a low at 2645.25. After a 10.25 handle bounce, the late morning saw a new 2632.75 low, and then a rally heading into the noon hour.

The ES made a midday high of 2643.75 before selling off down to what would be the low of day at 2621.75 just before 1:00, and then rallied up to 2653.25 going into the final hour. Late in the day, the futures pulled back to 2640.00, then rallied to 2661.00, but trailed off into the close, printing 2637.75 at 3:00, and settling the day at 2640.50, down -2.50 handles, or -0.09%.

In the end, it was another day of rips and dips. In less than 24 hours the mini S&P’s rallied 95 handles. In terms of the days overall tone, the ES did rally, but it didn’t hold up very well at the end of the day. In terms of the day’s overall trade, 2.26 million futures contracts traded, which is pretty much inline with the average daily volume.




Daily HotSpots

HotSpots are times during the market trading session that for the past XX days have consistently moved in one direction or the other. These HotSpots are published each morning pre-market. The next day, a results post is also published and weekly a summary post.

CAUTION: This data is under development and provided only for research and teaching purposes

If you have questions about HotSpots you can contact us at info@mrtopstep.com.

Lookbacks:

The lookback period (number of days) is set at 21,13,11,8 and 5 days. A heat-map is generated for each of these lookback periods, the best trade from day is scored.
The period of time that has consistently produced the best results becomes the hotspot for that look back. There are also different look-back types like Taylor and Taylor Plus.
Taylor cycles are usually 3-day cycles. A Taylor-5 look-back would use the last 5 trading days skipping back by 3 trading days. Taylor Plus uses calendar days so weekends and none
trading days are counted as part of the skip count. If a lookback period falls on a none trading day, it is not used so a TaylorPlus will continue skipping back until 5 trading days are found for the heatmap calculation.


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As always, please use protective buy and sell stops when trading futures and options.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. Any decision to purchase or sell as a result of the opinions expressed in the forum will be the full responsibility of the person(s) authorizing such transaction(s). BE ADVISED TO ALWAYS USE PROTECTIVE STOP LOSSES AND ALLOW FOR SLIPPAGE TO MANAGE YOUR TRADE(S) AS AN INVESTOR COULD LOSE ALL OR MORE THAN THEIR INITIAL INVESTMENT. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.

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