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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 16 APRIL: ASX to rise | Dow resets record on earnings | Stanmore Coal scoops up Peabody Energy coking coal mine in Australia |

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    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 13 APRIL: Zip soars 17% but miners keep ASX flat | Digital Wine Ventures posts fivefold increase in WineDepot orders, appoints COO | China blue-chips rise as export growth highlights global recovery |

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 13 APRIL: ASX to edge up | S&P 500 ends modestly lower | Uranium explorer 92 Energy eyes ASX listing for mid-April |

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 12 APRIL: Miners weigh as ASX sags with US futures | Fatfish Group makes acquisition ahead of South East Asia BNPL rollout | China, HK stocks fall on persisting worries of policy tightening |

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 8 APRIL: ASX to rise | S&P 500 edges higher | Investors want quality copper stocks, Peak Minerals is on the radar |

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

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    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 13 APRIL: Zip soars 17% but miners keep ASX flat | Digital Wine Ventures posts fivefold increase in WineDepot orders, appoints COO | China blue-chips rise as export growth highlights global recovery |

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 13 APRIL: ASX to edge up | S&P 500 ends modestly lower | Uranium explorer 92 Energy eyes ASX listing for mid-April |

    PEAK ASSET: AFTERNOON WRAP 12 APRIL: Miners weigh as ASX sags with US futures | Fatfish Group makes acquisition ahead of South East Asia BNPL rollout | China, HK stocks fall on persisting worries of policy tightening |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 12 APRIL: ASX to rise | S&P 500 resets record high again | Arcadia looms large as an African lithium near-producer |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 9 APRIL: ASX to slip | Wall St poised to end higher | Thinking of getting into ASX water stocks? Here’s what the experts think |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 8 APRIL: ASX to rise | S&P 500 edges higher | Investors want quality copper stocks, Peak Minerals is on the radar |

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Is The Holiday Rally An Aberration?

Danny Riley by Danny Riley
Wednesday, January 2, 2019
in Charts, Commentary, MrTopStep, News, Stocks, Technical Analysis, Video
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Protected: [PRIVATE] Is The Holiday Rally An Aberration?
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Index Futures Net Changes and Settlements:

Contract Settlement Net Change +/-%
S&P 500 (ESH19:CME) 2505.25 +19.25 +0.77%
DowJones (YMH19:CBT) 23,208 +233 +1.01%
Nasdaq 100 (NQH19:CME) 6333.25 +40.00 +0.57%
Russell 2000 (RTYH19:CME) 1349.00 +8.10 +0.60%

Foreign Markets, Fair Value and Volume:

  • In Asia 10 out of 11 markets closed lower: Shanghai Comp -1.15%, Hang Seng -2.77%, Nikkei -0.31%
  • In Europe 10 out of 13 markets are trading lower: CAC -1.27%, DAX -0.19%, FTSE -0.55%
  • Fair Value: S&P +0.48, NASDAQ +13.63, Dow -24.92
  • Total Volume: 1.4mil ESH & 289 SPH traded in the pit

Today’s Economic Calendar:

Today’s economic calendar includes Redbook 8:55 AM ET, PMI Manufacturing Index 9:45 AM ET.


S&P 500 Futures: The End Of Year Rebalance That Wasn’t

Chart courtesy of @TradingFibz – $ES_F MML levels below to watch.

After rallying in the overnight session, the S&P 500 futures opened Monday’s final trading day of the year at 2503.50, and would rally up to the morning high at 2510.00 in the first 10 minutes. From there, the futures turned lower, printing the early morning high at 2499.50, and after an eight handle bounce, began to fail with a continual push lower throughout the mid-morning down to 2482.75, before bouncing into midday.

The afternoon saw a continuation of the late morning bounce, as the ES reached an afternoon high of 2509.50 just after 12:30, and then turned lower chopping its way down to a higher low of 2486.75 just after 1:30. After the mid-afternoon low was made the ES rallied up to 2502.00 heading into the final hour.

In the last hour of 2018 the ES began to rally, but failed at 2505.50, and then sold into the close down to 2488.25. After that, the futures rallied in the closing seconds up to 2510.00, printed 2509.50 on the 3:00 close, and went on to trade to a new high of day at 2513.00, before settling the day at 2508.25, up +22.25 handles, or +0.90%.



Daily HotSpots

HotSpots are times during the market trading session that for the past XX days have consistently moved in one direction or the other. These HotSpots are published each morning pre-market. The next day, a results post is also published and weekly a summary post.

CAUTION: This data is under development and provided only for research and teaching purposes

If you have questions about HotSpots you can contact us at info@mrtopstep.com.

Lookbacks:

The lookback period (number of days) is set at 21,13,11,8 and 5 days. A heat-map is generated for each of these lookback periods, the best trade from day is scored.
The period of time that has consistently produced the best results becomes the hotspot for that look back. There are also different look-back types like Taylor and Taylor Plus.
Taylor cycles are usually 3-day cycles. A Taylor-5 look-back would use the last 5 trading days skipping back by 3 trading days. Taylor Plus uses calendar days so weekends and none
trading days are counted as part of the skip count. If a lookback period falls on a none trading day, it is not used so a TaylorPlus will continue skipping back until 5 trading days are found for the heatmap calculation.


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As always, please use protective buy and sell stops when trading futures and options.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. Any decision to purchase or sell as a result of the opinions expressed in the forum will be the full responsibility of the person(s) authorizing such transaction(s). BE ADVISED TO ALWAYS USE PROTECTIVE STOP LOSSES AND ALLOW FOR SLIPPAGE TO MANAGE YOUR TRADE(S) AS AN INVESTOR COULD LOSE ALL OR MORE THAN THEIR INITIAL INVESTMENT. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.

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