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    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 23 MAY: ASX ekes out gain; Codan soars 14pc, Incitec tumbles | Archer Materials granted Australian patent for CQ quantum computing chip | Japan April consumer inflation beats BOJ target for 1st time in 7 years |

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 20 MAY: ASX closes 1.2pc higher, buoyed by tech | Nova Minerals unveils ‘significant’ lithium results at subsidiary Snow Lake’s project | Asian shares jump as China cuts key lending benchmark |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 20 MAY: ASX to slip as markets waver | Caravel confirms the copper keeps coming at Bindi West Limb |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 19 MAY: ASX closes 1.6pc lower; Wesfarmers, JB Hi-Fi tumble | Big-name investors, politicians embracing oil and gas | Indian shares fall nearly 2% on inflation jitters |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 19 MAY: ASX to plunge as inflation fears trigger Wall Street rout | Growth aplenty as Plenti delivers positive cash NPAT for FY22 |

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 24 MAY: ASX finishes down 0.3pc, tech plunges 3pc | Monger Gold confirms copper-gold mineralisation at Providence prospect | Singapore April core inflation rises 3.3%, fastest in a decade |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 23 MAY: ASX ekes out gain; Codan soars 14pc, Incitec tumbles | Archer Materials granted Australian patent for CQ quantum computing chip | Japan April consumer inflation beats BOJ target for 1st time in 7 years |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 25 MAY: ASX to edge up | US stocks stumble on Snap, data | Alvo Minerals sets the wheels in motion at Brazilian Palma Project |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 24 MAY: ASX finishes down 0.3pc, tech plunges 3pc | Monger Gold confirms copper-gold mineralisation at Providence prospect | Singapore April core inflation rises 3.3%, fastest in a decade |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 24 MAY: ASX to rise | Dow rebounds 600 points on banks | Blue Star nears approval to progress Galactica/Pegasus and Voyager helium wells |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 23 MAY: ASX ekes out gain; Codan soars 14pc, Incitec tumbles | Archer Materials granted Australian patent for CQ quantum computing chip | Japan April consumer inflation beats BOJ target for 1st time in 7 years |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 23 MAY: ASX to open lower | Labor sweeps to power | EZZ works to catch e-commerce Southeast Asia growth wave |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 20 MAY: ASX closes 1.2pc higher, buoyed by tech | Nova Minerals unveils ‘significant’ lithium results at subsidiary Snow Lake’s project | Asian shares jump as China cuts key lending benchmark |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 20 MAY: ASX to slip as markets waver | Caravel confirms the copper keeps coming at Bindi West Limb |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 19 MAY: ASX closes 1.6pc lower; Wesfarmers, JB Hi-Fi tumble | Big-name investors, politicians embracing oil and gas | Indian shares fall nearly 2% on inflation jitters |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 19 MAY: ASX to plunge as inflation fears trigger Wall Street rout | Growth aplenty as Plenti delivers positive cash NPAT for FY22 |

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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 25 MAY: ASX to edge up | US stocks stumble on Snap, data | Alvo Minerals sets the wheels in motion at Brazilian Palma Project |

    Chart of the Day: Pay Attention to Precedent

    Chart of the Day: Pay Attention to Precedent

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 24 MAY: ASX finishes down 0.3pc, tech plunges 3pc | Monger Gold confirms copper-gold mineralisation at Providence prospect | Singapore April core inflation rises 3.3%, fastest in a decade |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 24 MAY: ASX to rise | Dow rebounds 600 points on banks | Blue Star nears approval to progress Galactica/Pegasus and Voyager helium wells |

    Chart of the Day: Pay Attention to Precedent

    Chart of the Day: Pay Attention to Precedent

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    Cabrera Capital Daily Game Plan

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 23 MAY: ASX ekes out gain; Codan soars 14pc, Incitec tumbles | Archer Materials granted Australian patent for CQ quantum computing chip | Japan April consumer inflation beats BOJ target for 1st time in 7 years |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 23 MAY: ASX to open lower | Labor sweeps to power | EZZ works to catch e-commerce Southeast Asia growth wave |

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    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader

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    Danny’s View:  Weak Retail Earnings Send The S&P And Nasdaq Down  Over 4%

    Danny’s View: Weak Retail Earnings Send The S&P And Nasdaq Down Over 4%

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Home Commentary

OP: Tech Stocks, Janet Yellen Comments Shake the Bond Market, Nasdaq Down 2%

Danny Riley by Danny Riley
May 5, 2021
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OP: Tech Stocks, Janet Yellen Comments Shake the Bond Market, Nasdaq Down 2%
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Market Review

Taylor 3 Day Cycle

Author: David D Dube (a.k.a. PTGDavid)

Polaris Trading Group

Tuesday’s Session was Cycle Day 3 (CD3): This day was referenced as a “wild-card” as cycle objectives had been fulfilled, opening the scenario for a decline unfolding, and it did in fine fashion. Range was 65 handles on 1.963M contracts exchanged.

 …Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1

This leads us into Cycle Day 1 (CD1): Average CD1 Decline (4136) was fulfilled during the prior session’s decline, leaving today’s question as to retest of HVE (4120) or continuation of the late-day rally to 4157 CD1 Range Objective. As such, estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

1.) Price sustains a bid above 4142, initially targets 4157 – 4172 zone.

2.) Price sustains an offer below 4142, initially targets 4123 – 4120 zone.

*****3 Day Cycle has a 91% probability of fulfilling Positive Cycle Statistic covering 12 years of recorded tracking history.

For more detailed information for both bullish and bearish projected targets, please visit: PTG 3 Day Cycle and/or reference the Cycle Spreadsheet below:

Link to access full Cycle Spreadsheet >> Cycle Day 1 (CD1)

Thank you for reading….PTGDavid


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Chart of the Day

Looking for Payouts? BTIG Points to U.S. Consumer Staples

Chart by Dave Wilson

Food, beverage, tobacco and household-product makers have fallen so far behind the rest of the S&P 500 that their dividends have appeal, according to Julian Emanuel, head of equity and derivatives strategy at BTIG LLC. Emanuel compared dividend yields on the S&P 500 Consumer Staples Index and the S&P 500 in a report Sunday. The yield gap between the industry group and the U.S. equity benchmark closed last week at 1.4 percentage points, about 0.1 point from a record set March 1. Consumer-staples stocks gained 42% as a group from the S&P 500’s March 2020 low through Friday. The S&P 500 rose 87%.


Our View

S&P 500 Futures Recap – Trade Date May 4, 2021

Chart by AMS Trading Group

Tech Stocks, Janet Yellen Comments Shake the Bond Market, Nasdaq Down  2%

The S&P and Nasdaq have been overdue for a pullback and that’s exactly what happened yesterday. After a weak performance in the overnight session, the ES traded 4164.75 on the 9:30 ET futures open, initially rallied up to 4170.25, and at 11:57 traded 4120.50. After the low, the ES ground higher but sold off 10 points just after 3:30 and traded 4155.00 after the 3:50 imbalance showed $625 million to buy. On the 4:00 cash close, the ES traded 4162.50 and settled at 4156.00 on the 4:15 futures close, down 27.50  points or -0.66%. The Nasdaq futures (NQM21:CME) fell almost 400 points from its Globex high of 13777.50 to its low at 13380.75 and closed down 265.50 points or 2% on the day. In terms of the ES’s overall tone it was again held captive by the NQ but in the end, it firmed up. In terms of the day’s overall trade, volume was big, 280,000 ES traded on Globex and 1.68 million traded on the day session making the daily total 1.96 million contracts traded. The Nasdaq (NQM21:CME) made an overnight high at 13,792.50 and dropped 411.75 points down to 13,380.75, off 508.75 points from its contract high of 13,888.00.

The weakness was a combination of bonds selling off, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s comments that the Fed may need to raise rates earlier to keep the economy from overheating, and declines in shares of semiconductor companies. Some well-known money managers are saying the brightening prospects for the economy and for businesses’ profits have already been baked into stocks’ valuations and that the markets have already priced in the recovery. Look, the ES made its 666 low back in March of 2009 and has basically rallied for 12 years. I do not buy into the idea that the markets have accounted for all the trillions in liquidity. Am I surprised that the ES sold off? Not at all, I have been writing for the last few days that the S&P was being held hostage to the Nasdaq and that’s exactly what’s going on. The VIX got down to  16.09 on April 16 and margin debt is at a record. So, no, I am not surprised. The S&P was up over 20% since Mr. Biden was elected and closed up 5.4% in April. 

Our view, this is a game of screw everybody. The algos were clearly running sell programs during yesterday’s decline but after the low, the algos flipped sides and started buying. Let’s face it, shakeouts are part of the game and you have to be a patient bull. There is a lot of negative talk out there. I understand stocks are overvalued but it all comes down to one thing; no place to go but stocks and the massive liquidity provided by the government and the Fed.  Our lean, we can’t rule out more weakness but yesterday’s late-day price action was bullish. Sell the early rallies and buy weakness.

As we all know, there’s no crystal ball when it comes to trading stocks, options or futures. But the Market Imbalance Meter may be as close as it comes. Knowing how the “Big Money” is placing its bets can give our trading room a big wave to ride — or a warning sign to stay out of the water. Come check it out now, risk free for 30 days.

Danny Riley is a 39-year veteran of the CME  trading floor. He ran one of the largest S&P desks on the floor of the CME Group since 1985.

As always, please use protective buy and sell stops when trading futures and options.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. Decisions to purchase or sell as a result of the opinions expressed in the forum will be the full responsibility of the person(s) authorizing such transaction(s). BE ADVISED TO ALWAYS USE PROTECTIVE STOP LOSSES AND ALLOW FOR SLIPPAGE TO MANAGE YOUR TRADE(S) AS AN INVESTOR COULD LOSE ALL OR MORE THAN THEIR INITIAL INVESTMENT. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS







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