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MrTopStep
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    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 7 February: ASX sheds 0.5pc | CBA lifts cash rate forecast to 3.85pc; ARB dives | Australia’s rental market is as tough as it has ever been |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 07 FEBRUARY: US stocks extend losses | RBA poised to lift rates by 0.25pc | Will Newmont’s $24 billion Newcrest bid cause a gold takeover cascade? |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 6 February: ASX drops 0.25pc | UBS remains dovish on RBA | Gascoyne Resources releases exploration target |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 06 FEBRUARY: ASX to rise as investors hang hopes on a soft landing | After a successful $4.5 million cap raise and with cancer trial results to come, Kazia is optimistic for 2023 |

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 03 FEBRUARY: ASX to rise | Alphabet, Atlassian tumble on earnings | Aura gets 30-year guarantee for Mauritania uranium project |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 31 January: ASX swings to loss | Retail sales plummet; Megaport sheds 25pc | Avecho Biotechnology progresses CBD softgel trials for insomnia treatment |

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    Trending Tags

    • FEEDID-6
    • FEEDID-51
    • FEEDID-44
    • FEEDID-31
    • FEEDID-21
    • FEEDID-16
    • FEEDID-36
    • FEEDID-10
    • feedid-56
    • feedid-58
    • feedid-61
    • feedid-59
    • feedid-60
    • feedid-62
    • feedid-63
    • feedid-65
    • feedid-66
  • Charts

    Is half carry enough?

    Jason Sen: FX

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 7 February: ASX sheds 0.5pc | CBA lifts cash rate forecast to 3.85pc; ARB dives | Australia’s rental market is as tough as it has ever been |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 07 FEBRUARY: US stocks extend losses | RBA poised to lift rates by 0.25pc | Will Newmont’s $24 billion Newcrest bid cause a gold takeover cascade? |

    $ up, cotton down, easy money.

    Jason Sen: Forex

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 6 February: ASX drops 0.25pc | UBS remains dovish on RBA | Gascoyne Resources releases exploration target |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 06 FEBRUARY: ASX to rise as investors hang hopes on a soft landing | After a successful $4.5 million cap raise and with cancer trial results to come, Kazia is optimistic for 2023 |

    Dollar dipsey doodle at 10150.

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    Danny’s View:  It’s The Bulls’ Ball To Drop With Powell On Tap

    Danny’s View: It’s The Bulls’ Ball To Drop With Powell On Tap

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    Danny’s View:  Blowout Jobs Report Has S&P On Its Heels

    Danny’s View: Blowout Jobs Report Has S&P On Its Heels

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    Danny’s View:  Markets Shrug Off Fed Worries

    Danny’s View: Markets Shrug Off Fed Worries

    Danny’s View:  All About What The Fed Says (Not What It Does)

    Danny’s View: All About What The Fed Says (Not What It Does)

    Taylor 3 Day Cycle – Polaris Trading Group

    Taylor 3 Day Cycle – Polaris Trading Group

    The Washington Post – US stocks open higher, putting market on track for 3rd gain

    Danny’s View: Starting The Week With A Needed Pullback

    Danny’s View:  Bulls Are In Control For Now

    Danny’s View: Bulls Are In Control For Now

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    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

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    Here’s Why You Need Mr. Top Step

    Here’s Why You Need Mr. Top Step

    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

    Chart of the Day: Etsy Stock Tumbles

    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

    Monthly Trading Time: The Good, The Bad and The Ugly

    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

    Chart of the Day: Can Apple Stock Hit Record Highs?

    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

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    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

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    Chart of the Day: Another Go at Amazon Stock

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  • News
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    • Reuters Business
    CME Loses Key Battle in Potentially Costly Trader Lawsuit

    CME Loses Key Battle in Potentially Costly Trader Lawsuit

    24X5 Options Trading Begins Sunday, November 21

    ICE Notice

    ICE: Margin Rates Update for ICE Futures U.S. Oil Contracts

    ICE: Margin Rates Update for ICE Futures U.S. Gas Contracts

    CME Group Globex Labor Day Holiday Schedule

    Margin Rates Update for ICE Futures U.S. Power Contracts

    AP: US COVID-19 cases rising again, doubling over three weeks

    CME Group – US Independence Day Holiday Schedule: July 2-6, 2021

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    • VIX
    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 7 February: ASX sheds 0.5pc | CBA lifts cash rate forecast to 3.85pc; ARB dives | Australia’s rental market is as tough as it has ever been |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 07 FEBRUARY: US stocks extend losses | RBA poised to lift rates by 0.25pc | Will Newmont’s $24 billion Newcrest bid cause a gold takeover cascade? |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 6 February: ASX drops 0.25pc | UBS remains dovish on RBA | Gascoyne Resources releases exploration target |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 06 FEBRUARY: ASX to rise as investors hang hopes on a soft landing | After a successful $4.5 million cap raise and with cancer trial results to come, Kazia is optimistic for 2023 |

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 03 FEBRUARY: ASX to rise | Alphabet, Atlassian tumble on earnings | Aura gets 30-year guarantee for Mauritania uranium project |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 31 January: ASX swings to loss | Retail sales plummet; Megaport sheds 25pc | Avecho Biotechnology progresses CBD softgel trials for insomnia treatment |

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    Trending Tags

    • FEEDID-6
    • FEEDID-51
    • FEEDID-44
    • FEEDID-31
    • FEEDID-21
    • FEEDID-16
    • FEEDID-36
    • FEEDID-10
    • feedid-56
    • feedid-58
    • feedid-61
    • feedid-59
    • feedid-60
    • feedid-62
    • feedid-63
    • feedid-65
    • feedid-66
  • Charts

    Is half carry enough?

    Jason Sen: FX

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 7 February: ASX sheds 0.5pc | CBA lifts cash rate forecast to 3.85pc; ARB dives | Australia’s rental market is as tough as it has ever been |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 07 FEBRUARY: US stocks extend losses | RBA poised to lift rates by 0.25pc | Will Newmont’s $24 billion Newcrest bid cause a gold takeover cascade? |

    $ up, cotton down, easy money.

    Jason Sen: Forex

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: ARVO WRAP 6 February: ASX drops 0.25pc | UBS remains dovish on RBA | Gascoyne Resources releases exploration target |

    PEAK MORNING WRAP 28 September: Tech Event… Who is the standout? | US Stocks Rally

    PEAK ASSET: MORNING WRAP 06 FEBRUARY: ASX to rise as investors hang hopes on a soft landing | After a successful $4.5 million cap raise and with cancer trial results to come, Kazia is optimistic for 2023 |

    Dollar dipsey doodle at 10150.

  • Commentary
    • All
    • Market Recap
    • MrTopStep
    Danny’s View:  It’s The Bulls’ Ball To Drop With Powell On Tap

    Danny’s View: It’s The Bulls’ Ball To Drop With Powell On Tap

    Danny’s View:  Do We Have A Major Turn Coming?

    Danny’s View: Do We Have A Major Turn Coming?

    Danny’s View:  Blowout Jobs Report Has S&P On Its Heels

    Danny’s View: Blowout Jobs Report Has S&P On Its Heels

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    From the Desk of Wyckoff Trader:

    Danny’s View:  Markets Shrug Off Fed Worries

    Danny’s View: Markets Shrug Off Fed Worries

    Danny’s View:  All About What The Fed Says (Not What It Does)

    Danny’s View: All About What The Fed Says (Not What It Does)

    Taylor 3 Day Cycle – Polaris Trading Group

    Taylor 3 Day Cycle – Polaris Trading Group

    The Washington Post – US stocks open higher, putting market on track for 3rd gain

    Danny’s View: Starting The Week With A Needed Pullback

    Danny’s View:  Bulls Are In Control For Now

    Danny’s View: Bulls Are In Control For Now

  • Education
    • All
    • Economics
    • Trading Methods
    • Trading Psychology
    • Trading Room
    • Trading Rules
    • Webinars
    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

    Chart of the Day: PINS Stock

    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

    Chart of the Day: Trading the S&P 500 and the S&P Futures

    Here’s Why You Need Mr. Top Step

    Here’s Why You Need Mr. Top Step

    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

    Chart of the Day: Etsy Stock Tumbles

    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

    Monthly Trading Time: The Good, The Bad and The Ugly

    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

    Chart of the Day: Can Apple Stock Hit Record Highs?

    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

    Chart of the Day: Can GOOGL Stock Stay Up?

    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

    Chart of the Day: GameStop Stock Raises Capital

    Chart of the Day: AMZN Stock

    Chart of the Day: Another Go at Amazon Stock

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MrTopStep
Home Commentary

OP: S&P Futures Hit Another Record High, Reason for Concern?

Danny Riley by Danny Riley
April 12, 2021
in Commentary, MrTopStep, News
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OP: S&P Futures Hit Another Record High, Reason for Concern?
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Our View

Bank of America And JP Morgan Report First Quarter Earnings 

You can’t make this stuff up. The S&P  futures (ESM21:CME) have rallied 152 handles or 3.8% since the end of the quarter and have made 20 new contract highs since January 1. Year to date, the S&P 500 futures are up 9.9%. 

The non-stop rally is happening while US vaccinations reach 3 million a day, more people entering the workforce and and the government is giving out $1.9 trillion in stimulus. 

The PitBull Marty Schwartz said, “the markets making record highs on the lowest daily volumes on the year on negative breadth should be a concern.” 

This week, Bank of America (BAC), JP Morgan (JPM) and Delta Airlines (DAL) kick off the earring season. Executives from Intel (INTC), Ford (F) and General Motors (GM) are meeting at the White House to discuss the chip shortage on Monday, the Coinbase IPO is Wednesday and Congress restarts negotiations on the passage of President Biden’s infrastructure package. All of that goes along with several key economic reports.

What’s it all mean? It could spell increased volatility. Last week there was a $40 million bet that the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) — considered the “fear gauge” — will rally above the $25 level and trade up to $40 by mid-July. 

Our view: the ES has gone a long way and hit the 4,120 level I have been looking for. The futures are over overdone and in need of a pullback. The PitBull’s rule is that the S&P rallies early in the day and early in the week. Our lean is to continue to buy the pullbacks. 

As we all know, there’s no crystal ball when it comes to trading stocks, options or futures. But the Market Imbalance Meter may be as close as it comes. Knowing how the “Big Money” is placing its bets can give our trading room a big wave to ride — or a warning sign to stay out of the water. Come check it out now, risk free for 30 days.

Danny Riley is a 39-year veteran of the CME  trading floor. He ran one of the largest S&P desks on the floor of the CME Group since 1985.

As always, please use protective buy and sell stops when trading futures and options.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. Decisions to purchase or sell as a result of the opinions expressed in the forum will be the full responsibility of the person(s) authorizing such transaction(s). BE ADVISED TO ALWAYS USE PROTECTIVE STOP LOSSES AND ALLOW FOR SLIPPAGE TO MANAGE YOUR TRADE(S) AS AN INVESTOR COULD LOSE ALL OR MORE THAN THEIR INITIAL INVESTMENT. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS






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